Posted on 06/26/2016 3:33:18 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
Putting Hillary over the 50% mark will be a big deal for her campaign to tout on the media trail, and a twelve point deficit is a rather glum number to saddle Trump with. And despite the sampling used (which we’ll get to in a minute) this is the same poll that had Trump up by 2 a month ago. Still, the methodology matters and this one will be open to some of the same questions. .
The survey was conducted June 20-23 and we’re going to see some of the same issues raised about this poll as with the Reuters one. The sample size is fine, at roughly 1,000 respondents, but the demographics are rather dubious. They included 36-24-33 Democrats, Republicans and independents for the full sample and 37-27-30 DRI among registered voters. Even granting the Democrats a built-in party advantage for the general election, that’s a pretty wide spread in Clinton’s favor.
You can also draw comparisons between the ABC survey and the new Wall Street Journal / NBC poll which came out at the same time.
This one has a far more balanced spread in terms of the sample rates, was held during the same time period and used the same number of respondents. (The WSJ poll reflects a roughly D+4 spread while ABC’s is up around a dozen.) but it’s still essentially within the margin of error, showing a very tight race. And people are noticing the disparity of of the party split between the two polls.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Cooking the polls to camouflage the rampant voter fraud that can be expected in November.
It isn’t as obvious if the “polls” make us believe she’s the front runner. Political theater, graft, corruption, et. al.
We haven’t even gotten to the conventions yet.
Wake me up for the first poll after the last debate.
“Latest ABC Poll.......”
Tells me all I need to know. Its bogus!
They’re gonna steal ANOTHER election.
Registered voters.
Are you really sure about that?
Look for voter fraud prevention organizations to really go to work to prevent any efforts at voter fraud.
RIGHT!
When you see a poll like this one showing Hillary in the lead, don't immediately dismiss it!
Look at the internals, and then when you see Democrats overrepresented by 15 points, THEN you can dismiss it.
And she won’t be. The backfield is in motion.
Exactly. The polls will be ridiculously tilted in Hillary's favor until a few days before the actual election, at which point an amazing "tightening" will occur.
These polls are intended solely to manipulate public opinion, not report it.
Having said that, it's certainly the case that every American who cares about preserving their Republic should get out and vote for Trump in November.
Anything less, and Hillary will probably win...
Vote Trump!
Good one. I guess we are corrupt and doomed. Arm up .
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