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May/June Polls: most often very, very wrong
Wikipedia: Polling for U.S. Presidential Elections ^ | 6/16/2016 | self

Posted on 06/16/2016 9:13:17 AM PDT by LS

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When you combine this with the horrid performance of the polls in IA (having Trump, on average, up by 5), MI (having Cankles win by 21), New York (having Trump doing worse by 3 points), etc., it's no wonder SurveyUSA stopped polling for a long time this year saying they just couldn't get it right.
1 posted on 06/16/2016 9:13:17 AM PDT by LS
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To: LS

The polls won’t get honest until Nov.


2 posted on 06/16/2016 9:16:42 AM PDT by proust (Trump/Sessions 2016!)
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To: LS
It is more than poll results. One must read the polls in a broader context; i.e. a constant stream of negative statements, lies, authority figures, celebrities and political figures all attacking Trump 24/7. It works.
3 posted on 06/16/2016 9:18:22 AM PDT by AEMILIUS PAULUS
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To: LS

We better hope this pattern holds this year. Hillary currently leads Trump by 12% and 0bama’s daily approval tracking is on the upswing since his post Islamic attack tirades. Seems this nation is siding with him and Hillary right now.

Pray America wakes.


4 posted on 06/16/2016 9:19:30 AM PDT by Angels27
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

Said the same ting of Reagan, said the same thing of Ford. Point is, polling lies some, is wrong a lot. When it is wrong, it is usually “more wrong” about a Republican than about a Democrat.

So the 24/7 propaganda, which is always there, is already factored in.


5 posted on 06/16/2016 9:20:20 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Angels27

Nah. She leads by 12 in one stupid Bloomie poll. Most polls have hovered in the 3-5 point range, and the state polls are ALL tied +1/-1 in the key battleground states. And, these polls are almost all “registered” voters, not “likely,” so again, there is another factoring down (and another reason the June polls are almost always badly off).


6 posted on 06/16/2016 9:21:43 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

when polls dont go democrats ways, they write hopeful stories like this for their liberal base.

otherwise they write stories saying why bother having the election, its over now based on the polls.


7 posted on 06/16/2016 9:23:55 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: LS

“The bottom line is that...”

Polls have a terrible track record and are mostly garbage designed to give talking heads something to talk about.


8 posted on 06/16/2016 9:24:54 AM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: Angels27

polls are based on who is surveyed.

dont put much stock in them anymore.


9 posted on 06/16/2016 9:25:03 AM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: Helicondelta

Polls don’t matter until after the conventions. This is exhibition season.


10 posted on 06/16/2016 9:25:44 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: LS; All

Consider these FRAUD POLLS, that is all.


11 posted on 06/16/2016 9:30:36 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: LS

Plus also this is summer time, people right now are thinking more about upcoming vacations.


12 posted on 06/16/2016 9:31:39 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: LS

“Nah. She leads by 12 in one stupid Bloomie poll. Most polls have hovered in the 3-5 point range,”

That is still disconcerning to me. Trumps 70% negative rating in the ABC is too. The CBS poll showing 51% disagree with Trumps post Islamic attack positions also. 0bama’s surging approval rating in the Gallup and Rasmussen tracking is upsetting to me.

I remember in 2008 and 2012 everyone was saying the polls were biased and wrong, no way were people going to elect 0bama and reelect 0bama. But the polls were right. So I can’t bring myself to disregard the polls anymore. I really believe a majority of people in this country are dumb enough to embrace Islam and elect Hillary.

But all I can do is leave it in Gods hands. I know Trump is the leader we need....but Hillary is the leader we deserve.

Pray America wakes.


13 posted on 06/16/2016 9:36:39 AM PDT by Angels27
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To: LS

This election is resembling 1960.

Like Kennedy, Hillary is leading in June.

She will probably win in November but it will be close.


14 posted on 06/16/2016 9:37:17 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: LS

Last stupid poll showed Georgia as a tossup state! I guarantee you Georgia as well as the rest of the South will be solidly in the Trump column!


15 posted on 06/16/2016 9:37:32 AM PDT by 2nd Amendment (Proud member of the 48% . . giver not a taker)
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To: LS

Predicting where things will be five months out is impossible. Too many variables.


16 posted on 06/16/2016 9:49:34 AM PDT by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
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To: Angels27

Yet I just saw another poll saying over 50% AGREE with his Muslim position; and a VERY critical biography (”Never Enough” admits that Trump’s “negatives” are purely in the realm of “reality TV” and are not traditional political negatives-—as I have said for eight months.

No way a guy with 70% negatives wins 70% of the GOP vote in these primary states-—the math doesn’t even work.


17 posted on 06/16/2016 9:54:37 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Polling before things like Conventions, VP choices, Debates, reactions to 5 months of whatever the world has to throw at us is basically pointless.


18 posted on 06/16/2016 10:26:48 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility (We need a separation of press and state!)
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To: Angels27

Yet Trump gets more people to his gatherings. That beats any polls.


19 posted on 06/16/2016 12:59:27 PM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: All

What happened in Orlando handed the White House to the Donald.


20 posted on 06/16/2016 1:05:36 PM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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