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Treasury Must Not Forget That With Lending, Ignorance Isn't Bliss
Real Clear Markets ^ | May 23, 2016 | Brian Knight

Posted on 05/23/2016 4:32:18 AM PDT by expat_panama

The use of technology to better assess a potential borrower's risk profile and score borrowers who previously could not be scored-or were scored inaccurately-is one of the most exciting elements of marketplace lending. That is, of course, unless you are the U.S. Treasury Department, which according to its recently released report on marketplace lending worries that technology will make loan underwriting too good. That isn't a typo; the Treasury is worried that better underwriting may be "unfair" because it can disadvantage borrowers who are currently mischaracterized as low risk by making them pay higher (that is to say, correct) rates.

Such thinking is dangerous and itself unfair. It's unfair to lenders. It's unfair to borrowers who are currently and mistakenly treated as high risk. And it's unfair to the very borrowers who are currently miscategorized as low risk. Rather than something to be feared, more accurate pricing is essential to expanding capital access and protecting borrowers, and Treasury should not discourage it.

It's important to remember that the interest charged on a loan partially compensates the lender for the risk that the borrower may not pay the money back. The underwriting used to assess this risk and set the rate is inherently uncertain, since the lender doesn't know what the borrower will do and can only use information-about the borrower's circumstances, past acts, and people who are similarly situated to the borrower-to form a guess.

If the lender cannot be reasonably certain that it will be repaid, or be able to charge an interest rate that compensates for the risk of not getting repaid, the lender won't lend. Discouraging or denying lenders the ability to make the best possible guess is not only unfair to them, but it will also discourage people from putting their money at risk by lending it out, making less capital available for riskier borrowers.

Discouraging better underwriting will also be unfair to borrowers who are currently inaccurately considered high risk. The traditional tools used to inform underwriting can be incomplete and fail to capture relevant data from sources such as utility bills or rental history, which may provide insight into a borrower's likelihood of paying back a loan. Existing models may inaccurately assess risk, especially for members of groups traditionally underserved by the credit markets.

Newer methods, such as those used by marketplace lenders, may better incorporate and process relevant data, allowing for better scoring. This is obviously good for the borrower, who is now getting credit based on actual risk (or lack thereof), and is therefore paying a lower rate to borrow. These new methods are also good for lenders seeking to loan money to less-risky borrowers, because these tools enable lenders to identify potential customers and compete to serve them. Discouraging new and more accurate underwriting will continue to deny these creditworthy, but improperly scored, borrowers from accessing credit at prices they deserve.

Discouraging better underwriting is also unfair to the borrowers currently inaccurately considered low risk. Underwriting isn't prophecy. It doesn't say for certain whether the borrower will default; it just provides information about the odds of a default happening. This information, communicated through prices, informs borrowers about the risks they are taking and helps them make choices and tradeoffs. More accurate information will improve the quality of those decisions.

While the Treasury is worried about borrowers who are fallaciously considered low risk having to pay more for loans, it should be more concerned about borrowers playing with fire because they lack accurate information. If we care about borrowers' ability to repay, we should want borrowers to have as complete a picture as possible about the risks they face and make decisions informed by that knowledge.

The Treasury cites concerns that more accurate credit models may lead to stratification where those who are credit worthy get access to credit while those who are riskier are frozen out. While such a divided world is undesirable, the answer isn't to discourage accurate underwriting.

First, we should remember that the current system isn't perfect. It creates its own divisions that unfairly penalize people who are credit worthy but whose data doesn't fit the preexisting boxes. Second, inaccurate underwriting gives people at greater risk a false sense of security about their finances. Finally, lenders need information to risk their money, which is essential for credit availability, and better information should help lenders get the info they need.

Instead of discouraging accurate underwriting, the Treasury should advocate for policies that encourage entry and competition, including the use of more accurate and expansive underwriting, so that lenders and borrowers can make informed and mutually beneficial decisions.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; US: Massachusetts; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; barneyfrank; doddfrank; economy; election2016; elizabethwarren; fauxahontas; glasssteagall; housing; investing; lieawatha; massachusetts; newyork; trump
Liberals love to complain about 'predatory lenders' who loan money to anyone and then turn right around and want the loan to be paid back with interest!  On top of that, they charge the poor high risk borrowers more than they charge the rich winners of life's lottery.

imho libs can either grow up or become wards of the state becuase reality is simply what it is....


1 posted on 05/23/2016 4:32:18 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: 1010RD; A Cyrenian; abb; Abigail Adams; abigail2; AK_47_7.62x39; Alcibiades; Aliska; aposiopetic; ..

A very merry Monday morning to all!  Stocks ended last week up a bit (NASDAQ +1.2%/heavier trade) but this morning futures traders disagree with the heat map up a % and w/ various other contracts falling.

Precious metals continue the new bases they jumped up to a month ago and the heat map says they'll continue nicely.

No econ reports today but this week will bring more GDP numbers to snicker about.

News that someone's got to start threads with:

Selling Into Panic May Not Be Such A Bad Idea - Mark Hulbert, USA Today
Why the Stock Market's Been Going Nowhere Fast - Aaron Task, Fortune
Phil Mickelson, & the Blinding of the Stock Market - John Tamny, Forbes
How Corporate America Bought Hillary for $21M - Michael Walsh, NYP
Econ Promises Trump Could, and Could Not Keep - Nelson Schwartz, NYT
Favoritism Drives Fan/Fred's Conservatorship - Michael Krimminger,RCM
Subprime & Online Lending Parallels - Robert Samuelson, Washington Post
Dear CEOs, Stop Pandering to the Activists - Lisa Nelson, National Review
California's Massive Housing Supply Problem - George Runner, Investor's
Money Doesn't Buy Long of a Life As It Used To - Cass Sunstein, Bloomberg
Are You Wealthy? If So, You've Already Won Lottery - Robert Frank, NYT
Can Google Usher In a Post-Device Future? - Vauhini Vara, The New Yorker


2 posted on 05/23/2016 4:44:48 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

>Liberals love to complain about ‘predatory lenders’ who loan money to anyone and then turn right around and want the loan to be paid back with interest! On top of that, they charge the poor high risk borrowers more than they charge the rich winners of life’s lottery.

The ONLY reason govt/Leftists, but I repeat myself, complain is because they believe all $$ belongs to THEM.

They can also use the same to make THEM ‘look good’ instead of the private sector. What matters to them THEIR folly of ‘benevolence’, when nothing is paid back/can’t be accounted/’lost’/etc.? They can just TAX the People MORE! Govt needs not worry about customer service, efficiency nor the bottom-line....not when you have the power of FORCE.


3 posted on 05/23/2016 5:17:56 AM PDT by i_robot73 ("A man chooses. A slave obeys." - Andrew Ryan)
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To: i_robot73
they believe all $$ belongs to THEM.

That really is the core loony-left ideology.  It's why they don't call stealing and sharing the wealth others created "wealth distribution", they sincerely believe it was lib wealth to start w/ so it has to be called re-distribution.

4 posted on 05/23/2016 5:33:59 AM PDT by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

Anytime the fruits of one’s labor and/or creativity is taken from that person, it is slavery. It’s just a matter of degree.


5 posted on 05/23/2016 6:39:07 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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