If Trump has 40 million supporters, that’s still over 260 million who don’t support him.
Not saying that he’s that unpopular, but it doesn’t take a very high percentage of the population to fill an arena.
Good point, but has anyone compared Trump’s audiences to Clinton’s? That would give an indicator of relative popularity. Bernie can fill arenas, but Hillary doesn’t seem to be able to fill that kind of venue. In the end it doesn’t matter the number of registered voters in each party, or the answers to poll questions. It only matters who goes out and votes. The 200 million who don’t vote don’t count. While it is only anecdotal, rally attendance is pretty consistent around the country and shows a big enthusiasm gap for Trump over Hillary.
If Trump currently has 40 million supporters, he is already carrying between 34% and 50% of the voting base. A win is very do-able.
according to a wiki article, 131,407,000 voters voted in 2008
according to statisticbrain.com, 146,311,000 voters were registered to vote in the 2012 election. Of that number, 126,144,000 voted that year.
according to electproject.com, 81,687,059 voters voted in the 2014 election.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voter_turnout_in_the_United_States_presidential_elections
http://www.statisticbrain.com/voting-statistics/
http://www.electproject.org/2014g
Those are pretty well much pie in the sky numbers, they deserve their own scare quotes.
It’s a mistake to equate intensity of support with depth of support. We’re going to find that out as the election cycle unfolds.
It’s also a mistake to discount any and all articles/reports/polls that you don’t agree with.
What is the strangest thing about this point in time--that Donald Trump is the de facto nominee of the Republican Party, or that the Cubs are 24 and 6 after 30 games?