Posted on 05/07/2016 8:10:50 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Admitting that the political situation is extremely volatile, the non-partisan Cook Political Report has shifted 11 states toward Democrat Hillary Clinton for the November election.
“This has been an exceedingly unpredictable year,” the analyst said. “Although we remain convinced that Hillary Clinton is very vulnerable and would probably lose to most other Republicans, Donald Trump's historic unpopularity with wide swaths of the electorate — women, millennials, independents and Latinos — make him the initial November underdog.”
Colorado, Florida, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin were all shifted from toss-up states to leaning Democratic. The “solid Republican” states Missouri and Indiana were downgraded to “likely Republican.” New Mexico is now solidly Democratic, and North Carolina is a toss-up after leaning Republican.
The analyst also shifted Arizona and Georgia from likely Republican to leaning Republican.
Cook also moved one House race toward Democrats: Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, which was considered solid for Republicans and is now classified as a toss-up race.
Maine’s 2nd District was the only reclassification that favored the GOP, going from solid Democrat to likely Democrat. The Report classifies congressional districts in Maine and Nebraska because they are the only two states that don’t award their Electoral College votes on a winner-take-all basis.
Take this survey as a starting point for Trump. It highlights the fact that it will be an uphill battle for the Republican to overcome his historic negatives in order to win the White House.
It can be done, but Trump has to either shore up his support among millenials, minorities, and especially women or find a way to depress the turnout for those groups. The latter might be easier considering what Trump has been saying on the campaign trail.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
There is no way Hillary wins Florida. Republican turnout in the primary was 1/3 larger than Dem turnout. That’s a lot of votes in a record breaking sweep. Trump won every single county except Rubio’s home county, Miami-Dade. Hillary lost several counties.
Trump going to have to deal with this. And unlike the spineless saps we normally have running he will address it. His crusade against the corrupt political established and willingness to speak of taboo subjects should aid him there.
Absolutely.
I think Trump is a lot stronger in Florida than you think he is. He’ll win Florida in a landslide.
“No. You can fund Charter Schools and you can have tax reform, but the average voter doesnt care.”
Charter schools work providing you keep them away from the teachers unions.
Cruz and Trump were the only two that could beat her. When conservatives align around a candidate that candidate will win. Moderates would rather have a conservative to back if in the race. When a RINO is n the race, moderates vote for the democrat, because the RINO lies about being conservative.
American Stinker needs to get to the ER stat. They have a real bad case of butt hurt since Ted lost. Georgia going blue? Or even leaning red? Pure Bull Plop. GA is solid red.
Do you actually see DT leading America to repent when he never asks forgiveness himself? My prayer for him is that he openly acknowledges the One True God like Nebuchadnezzar. What a way to glorify God!
Wile E. Coyote would be proud. But seriously isn’t this crap from these people wearing thin? It’s a good thing NOBODY reads them.
Yes, I agree that we can’t ignore inconvenient facts. But one fact that also
Can’t be ignored is how absolutely wrong some of these “respected” pollsters have been with regard to Mr. Trump. Nate Silver himself had to admit that his models simply didn’t apply to the new dynamic Trump had brought to this race. Ok, then it is possible that the polls are missing what the GOPe and the DC insiders missed about what is propelling trump.
My gut always says that any election is the dems to lose. They have the media on their side. Now, they also have po’d GOPer’s on their side as well. Of course, there is also the free stuff crowd that will always vote dem.
But I also have a feeling that if anyone can beat those odds it is Trump. He won the nomination with everything and I mean anything and everything being thrown at him. I suspect that all these Romeny third party, Trump is hated, women hate Trump, if you like Trumo you are uncool, etc. stories are the start of the voter suppression machine.
Nebuchadnezzar was a dictator over many nations. Donald Trump is a world-class businessman who stands to be duly elected by the people. Your comparison is a red herring.
Besides, DJT shows more love for people than many so-called Christians in that he doesn’t “sound a trumpet” to promote his generosity.
Now that he is a public figure, specific instances of heretofore unknown generosity and “loving his neighbor as himself” (which is the Law of the Lord), have been brought to the surface by OTHERS, NOT BY HIM.
If the polls are correct as of today, Trump cannot win and will take lots of current GOP office holders down with him.
So it will take some time to see if the polls change.And that’s where we are today. Trump is a religious figure in a political arena. Can he convert American voters to his beliefs.
Anyone who simply says the facts aren’t facts because they don’t believe them are exhibiting faith rather than knowledge.
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