2) Indiana is an open primary. Members of any political party, including Democrats, could choose a Republican primary ballot.
3) The polls traditionally close first in the nation on Election Day in Indiana. Tuesday is no different. Most of the state, including Indianapolis closing at 6 p.m. Eastern. However, the state will not projected until after 7 pm as the parts of the state south of Chicago (Gary) and the southern counties of the state (Evansville) close are in the Central Time Zone.
4) Trump was in front in 7 of the 8 Indiana polls released in April. The only outlier was an IPFW/Downs Center poll conducted over a two-week time frame from April 13 to April 27, where Cruz sported a 16-point edge.
5) To the victor will go the spoils. As a reliably Republican state, Indiana is in the unique position of being a large-ish state that has more statewide plus RNC plus bonus delegates (30) than they do Congressional District delegates (27 delegates (9 districts times 3 delegates)). This means whomever wins the state is guaranteed a base of 30 delegates and realistically should take at least 45 (more likely 48-54) of the 57 total delegates.
6) If Trump wins the Hoosier state, the electoral path of the #NeverTrump movement gets even narrower as the Donald would likely need just 70-80 or so delegates of the 172 available in California (if you include the Pennsylvania unpledged slate of 40 or so pro-Trump delegates) or 110-120 or so to notch the nomination with solely pledged delegates.
This projection assumes that Trump wins New Jersey’s 51 delegate slate, takes 30 of the 36 delegates in West Virginia on May 10 and gets a conservative 40 delegates from the proportional states of Washington, Oregon and New Mexico.
Sourcing
For primary dates and times:
Official GOP websites for states.
For delegate allocation:
The Green Papers
Frontloading Blogspot
For polling data:
Real Clear Politics
Election night data
The New York Times (including exit poll data)
Ace of Spades Decision Desk - Indiana GOP
Indiana Secretary of State
Over before dinner! What’s for desert?
Thanks for those links!!
6pm?
They dont screw around down there.
Really? Polls close at 6 pm?
Thank you for the links.
Any freepers from Indiana? Any stories from the ground?
It will be an interesting night tonight once the IN primary is done.
One hour ten minute wait in Rural Miami County.
Point of information. 1976. Reagan 51.3% Ford 48.7%
btt
Cruz a bit earlier begging the Hoosiers to pull him out of the losing mode he has created for himself.
Pathetic.
He says it’s his last chance.
Yeah, well lets see you drop out when you lose Mr Cruz.
Big donors pulling out of the Cruz support business.
NM and Oregon Cruz is giving to Kasich.
Cameron: a lot of the people against Trump are coming around.
Unicorn Gregg Gutfelt bringing up the Enquirer story that Trump brought up.
Is it true Carl?
They say it is not conclusive, but won’t say it’s false.
Oh my Carl are YOU coming around???
GG is losing it with his fantasy comments.
Exit Polls: Indiana voters very unhappy with the Cruz/Kasich alliance and Cruz picking a VP before he won the nomination. Bad moves #LyinTed— Heather Jones (@heatherjones333) May 3, 2016
96% of Republican voters in Indiana are saying the candidate with the most votes or delegates should be the nominee. #ExitPolls #INPrimary— FAB NEWS REPORT (@fabrightwing) May 3, 2016
Those Fox exits. Holy s—t. It looks like Trump all 57 Dems and 60%? K-thwap. They didn’t say actual numbers but they are dancing all around it. Downs poll hood for my parakeet cage bottom, but Phoebe, granny bird will be offended
Blitzer on CNN; as soon as the Central Time Zone polls close, we will project a winner.
[Sounds like they already know who wins. It may be just a matter of ‘by how much’.]
Decision Desk HQ has them at 45.4% and 41.9% with Kasich at 12.7.
http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/results/2016/primary/gop/president/indiana/
Voted.