Posted on 04/25/2016 7:23:07 AM PDT by NYRepublican72
hings aren’t nearly so competitive on the Republican side, with Donald Trump getting a majority of voters in each state. He’s strongest in Rhode Island where he gets 61% to 23% for John Kasich, and 13% for Ted Cruz. The numbers are very similar in Connecticut with Trump getting 59% to 25% for Kasich, and 13% for Cruz. Things are a little bit different in Pennsylvania where Trump’s share of the vote isn’t as high (51%) and Cruz edges out Kasich 25/22 for second place. None of these states are particularly amenable to the ‘Never Trump’ movement. Trump has the highest favorability rating of the GOP candidates in each state, and also handily wins head to head match ups with Cruz and Kasich in all three states. One thing that comes across in all these places is how unpopular Cruz is- he’s way under water even with Republican primary voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
These delegates are nails in the coffin for cruz/Kasich who aren’t even fighting for them anymore.
Wonder if Cruz will ever concede defeat?
My apologies. This is a dup. They didn’t properly copy the title to the article on the other post.
Ted Cruz is surging in the polls! smh.
Truth worth repeating.
Cruz will drop out after he loses Indiana. The convention talk is all psywar at this point to motivate his base. To have a contested convention you need two contestants and we dont’ have that. Cruz really hasn’t won much of anything outside of his home state and a bunch caucus states.
And, interestingly, for the most part, the highest percentage Mormon states in the nation....once the Beck/Romney team signed on with him.
Much ado was made of the Cruz victory in Wisconsin. Cruz's margin was +13 and for two weeks, you'd think that Trump was knocked out of the race. The "Trump defeated - cannot get the nomination" meme was pounded into us for two full weeks.
Since then, it was Trump +35 in NY (+46 over Cruz) and he's up +38 in RI, +37 in DE, +35 in CT, +26 in PA and +20 in MD. Most of those states have Kasich in second place. No telling what the margin over Cruz will be.
LOLOLOL!
This poll is great to hear but I’m uncomfortable putting much weight in it because there are no internals listed or linked to at the site. It is a paid pollster who uses automated calling. The rest of the questions they polled suggest a very Liberal poll composition.
Do the results on these two polled issues make sense?
Over 60% of voters in each of these states are opposed to the privatization of health care services provided by the Department of Veterans Affairs.
Another issue we find bipartisan agreement on is the desire for candidates who will work to lessen the United States’ dependence on fossil fuels by embracing measures like solar, wind, and renewable fuels. Over 60% of primary voters in each of these states are more likely to vote for someone who makes that a priority. That includes more than 70% of Democrats and more than 50% of Republicans in each state.
The Big Mo is rolling down the Trump Train way, and these yuggee wins will not go unnoticed by the RNC, along with the massive number of new R voters and crossovers.
Trump will show the RNC there is much more for them to gain by working with him than not. If they try pulling some crap to try to steal the nomination from him, what will they gain? We know they will lose a LOT, including most likely control of Congress...would YOU vote for GOPe Republicans if they use procedural trickery to give the nomination to Kasich, Jeb, or Ryan?
I think that Trump’s success will prove to be a disaster for America. His nomination will spell demoralization and defeat for Republicans up and down the ballot in November, b/c a significant percentage of Republicans, esp. GOP WOMEN, will not vote for him. Too many will stay home, or vote against him for spite, IMO.
Zot me if you must, but I believe that this Trump movement is irrational. It is in no sense based upon a reverence for Constitutional law.
I am proudly casting my vote tomorrow for the only conservative, the ONLY man who seeks to DEFEAT Schumer, Pelosi and McConnell, not make alliances with them.
Who would that be? The “principled conservative” Senator who campaigned to enable the secret trade agenda of the most lawless POTUS in history? The “consitional conseravtive” Senator who supported the treaty clause busting Corker Bill?
There was no gender gap in Wisconsin. The only “Republicans” who won’t vote for Trump in November are Cruzers who prefer Hillary to Trump. How principled and conservative of them.
PPP is a reputable pollster. They were one of the most accurate pollsters in 2008, slipped a bit in 2012. They lean Democrat a bit in the general, but in the primaries, there isn’t really that effect.
Cruz has no respect for the intelligence even of those who are his followers. He started out popular here on Free Republic and now literally 9 out of 10 people have switched to Trump. Most of us will freely admit Trump was not our first choice, but Ted has lied and used underhanded tactics so much that those of us with an actual moral compass cannot be associated with him any more. There is just too much that has to be overlooked.
It has taken longer for the general public to catch on, but they are starting to get it. In most polls and surveys approximately 70% of Republicans questioned believe that the person who has the most pledged delegates coming into the convention should get the nomination. Now that both Cruz and Kasich have no mathematical way to get a majority of delegates before the convention most people are starting to realize that there is a contradiction. A vote for Cruz or Kasich is a vote for someone who wants to disenfranchise the voters.
Once that sinks in most people can’t go back and they either are going to vote for the presumptive nominee or they are not going to bother to even show up or send in a ballot. At this point Cruz and Kasich do more damage to themselves with their equivocating than Trump does when he says something bad about them. This is true of Cruz more than Kasich. Kasich just sounds like he is stupid.
Cruz now reminds me of the whiny kid that was stuck on the Ferris wheel with the other lookout at the end of the comedy movie 1941. For those of you who haven’t seen the movie think of Fran Drescher’s voice coming out of a skinny teenager. After a while it doesn’t matter any more what he is saying you just want to strangle him. This is true even though he has obviously been given coaching on how to sound less annoying. At this point I just can’t take hearing him anymore even when I want to hear what he is trying to say. And I think he has reached this same point with a lot of other people. It is one of the main reasons I believe that Ted’s ability to do well in any of the remaining primaries is severely hampered at this point.
That's a very good point. The 1976 convention was the last time we had anything close to contested convention on the GOP side and if I recall, Ford and Reagan were separated by just 40 delegates going in. The gap between Trump and Cruz will at best be around 450 delegates. Not even close.
Even with a slim 40 delegate lead (or whatever it actually was), Ford ended up winning over enough unpledged delegates to gain the nomination on the first ballot.
But Reagan had a legitimate case to contest the election. While he was just short, he clearly gave Ford a run for his money. He won 24 primary/caucus states (to Ford's 26) and less than a million popular votes separated them nationwide.
Not counting the contests tomorrow night, Trump currently has a 22-11 advantage in states won and a 2.4 million lead in national popular vote (not counting what will come in tomorrow night). It's pretty much a certainty that Trump will lead Cruz in states won by 27-11 margin after tomorrow nights results come in.
It's not close.
Is that all you’ve got? Did Ted fund Hillary Rotten, Reid, Pelosi, Kerry and Schumer, just like Trump did?
Sorry, this phony liberal never fooled me.
I proudly campaigned for, donated to, and voted for Cruz in Idaho.
But the facts on the ground now are what they are.
Trump is headed to the nomination and will arrive at the convention with either more delegates than he needs to win, or he will be very, very close. At this stage, I believe he is going to have more than the 1,237.
At this stage there is only one strategy that the GOP can take to win...and I believe if they do it, then we would win in November.
The true goal is to defeat Hillary in November and prevent a 3rd Obama term...which would be an abject disaster for all of America.
So, Cruz simply MUST ultimately support Donald Trump and he must do it for the good of the country. He, and Kasich, and Rubio and all of the others....including all of us, are going to have to get together and beat Hillary.
I believe if Cruz sincerely buried the war hatchet and characterized the stakes in these terms...and if the GOP united behind that idea, that we would win in November.
Those may not be the facts I had hoped for...but they are the facts on the ground.
As to Trump...I penned this some time ago, and believe it holds now too:
The Trump Phenomenon
http://www.jeffhead.com/Trump-Phenom.htm
We simply must set emotion, pride and hurt feelings aside for the good of the nation at this point. It is that simple.
I also recently wrote a letter to Ted Cruz encouraging him to take this path:
http://www.jeffhead.com/Cruz-ltr.htm
I saw that, I just wish they linked to internals, most pollsters do.
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