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Trump: 82% Chance of Winning Indiana
538 ^ | 4/23/2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 04/23/2016 7:19:43 AM PDT by usafa92

Just the link to 538

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Indiana
KEYWORDS: 51atlink; 51percentchance; carrier; cruz; polls; trump
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Trump 82% chance of winning. Factor in Nate's secret sauce and it narrows to 53%(??!??). But either way, these odds should go up further after the 5 state beatdown coming on Tuesday. Have a great weekend and MAGA!
1 posted on 04/23/2016 7:19:43 AM PDT by usafa92
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To: usafa92

This thing should be over soon. should have been over months ago


2 posted on 04/23/2016 7:21:45 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: usafa92

Better than playing pocket aces! Trump 2016!!


3 posted on 04/23/2016 7:22:58 AM PDT by Kudsman
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To: usafa92

4 posted on 04/23/2016 7:23:26 AM PDT by Donglalinger
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To: usafa92

The “winning effect” is now taking hold and will be a major factor in remaining primaries. Cruz can’t make 1237. All he is now is a spoiler. The only man left is Trump.


5 posted on 04/23/2016 7:24:08 AM PDT by iontheball
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To: usafa92

The dazed and confused kamakruzies hunker down in their bunkers. After being routed in NY they await the further Trumpian onslaught in the NE sector. Intelligence reports are bleak. Their west flank (CAL) is collapsing and the center (IND) is failing to hold.

Trying to find some hope they tune their radios in to Tokyo Ted. He exhorts them to fight to the last in the republican civil war. “Wonder weapons” are coming the radio crackles, that will turn the tide in the second, third, etc ballots. Double agents are infiltrating the Trumpian forces, which will betray the Donald in Cleveland. All the kamakruzies need to do is keep hoping so that Tokyo Ted can complete his theft and betrayal operations to eliminate the Donald. The kamacruzies, their eyes glazed over, hug their radios in states of bliss.

Tokyo Ted then sets aside the microphone satisfied. He has given his kamacruzie suckers, hope for another day. But he is troubled. Should his underhanded strategies by some miracle work, he wonders what then?

There are occasions he recalls the civil war between Sparta and Athens and how soon after, they were conquered by the Macedonians. He fears for his chances leading a shattered republican remnant against their common enemy, the goblin queen and her army of orcs.

But then he casts a wicked smile. Revenge against the Donald is all that matters. After that, who cares?


6 posted on 04/23/2016 7:28:16 AM PDT by Ceebass ( Ted Cruz = Thad Cochran)
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To: usafa92; hoosiermama; Whenifhow

Thanks for the info, usafa92!

Ping!!!


7 posted on 04/23/2016 7:31:00 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: Ceebass

Cruz’s perfect family
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jK3QqDs6yiU

Ted inhaled cocaine, and talks about it. I guess that’s what “A Time For Truth” means.


8 posted on 04/23/2016 7:33:18 AM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: usafa92

Clobber Cruz Close the Convention


9 posted on 04/23/2016 7:33:19 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Ceebass

awesome!!

great prose.


10 posted on 04/23/2016 7:34:47 AM PDT by sdpatriot ("Thank you very much, sdpatriot!! Smooch!" - from JR - send him a buck!!!!)
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To: usafa92

This race is over. The south sealed Cruz’s fate or else we would have a very different race today.


11 posted on 04/23/2016 7:37:25 AM PDT by dowcaet
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To: usafa92

Ha—that’s nothing compared to his projection that Trump has a 97% chance of winning CT on the same date:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/connecticut-republican/#polls-only

(Though IN has just over twice the delegates up in CT.)


12 posted on 04/23/2016 7:41:30 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: dynoman

good grief..... that video....smh

the Cruz family is so messed up. is this what the holier that thou consistent conservatives REALLY want in the Whitehouse? wow

go back to Canada Ted and take your commie drunk old man with you...your family is a joke.... drunks and druggies...i can’t tell who raised who...


13 posted on 04/23/2016 7:42:31 AM PDT by sdpatriot ("Thank you very much, sdpatriot!! Smooch!" - from JR - send him a buck!!!!)
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To: Lurkinanloomin
Clobber Cruz Close the Convention

Clobber Cruz with Clean Copper Clappers

Copper Clappers - classic Tonight Show skit

14 posted on 04/23/2016 7:42:41 AM PDT by Leaning Right (Why am I holding this lantern? I am looking for the next Reagan.)
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To: dowcaet

The South, the Midwest, the Atlantic and the Northeast.

Cruz wouldn’t even be in the conversation if it weren’t for TX, the sparsely populated West, and his delegate inside game.

But yeah, the South had been what Cruz was betting on.


15 posted on 04/23/2016 7:43:06 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: dp0622

WooHoo!!!!


16 posted on 04/23/2016 7:46:28 AM PDT by jokemoke
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To: iontheball
Cruz can’t make 1237. All he is now is a spoiler.

You're right ontheball...

17 posted on 04/23/2016 7:50:16 AM PDT by GOPJ (If GOPe rules are rigged to steal votes from citizens it's time to walk away...)
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To: 9YearLurker

The south was supposed to be a slam dunk for Cruz. Instead, southerners slammed him into the ground.


18 posted on 04/23/2016 7:56:38 AM PDT by dowcaet
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To: dp0622

California -—TRUMP 72% chance of winning!!!


19 posted on 04/23/2016 8:01:18 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Exterminate the terrorist savages, everywhere.)
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To: usafa92
Trump is going to increase his delegate lead over Ted to 400+ Tuesday night. If he wins Indiana a week later, he'll be 450+ over Ted.

Trump will get to 1,237 and it wont' even be close.

20 posted on 04/23/2016 8:08:12 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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