Posted on 04/18/2016 2:48:49 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
If there’s one thing Trump knows better than just about anybody, it’s how to make a deal. It’s a skill that’ll come in handy in Cleveland.
As pundits and political prophets focus on deciphering the vagaries of “delegate math” leading into July’s Republican convention in Cleveland—how many delegates do you need, how do you secure them, how do you keep them—stories abound about how the party establishment is plotting to deny Donald Trump the nomination.
The prevailing theory is that the grand poobahs of party discipline will pursue a three-step strategy. First, they’ll use Ted Cruz as their Trojan horse to ensure Trump falls short of the 1,237 delegates needed on the first ballot. Then they’ll pivot to stop Cruz from emerging on the second and third ballots. And finally, they’ll implant their own choice as the consensus unifier—John Kasich or Marco Rubio or Scott Walker, now that Paul Ryan has demurred.
There’s just one little problem with this scenario: Donald Trump gets it. He knows the cabal is laying in wait to use the soon-to-be-infamous rule 40(b)—a nominee must have the majority of voting delegates in at least eight states—to validate the coup despite 16 million voters who by then would have pulled the Trump lever over the others.
(Excerpt) Read more at thedailybeast.com ...
Trumps’s got 10 billion worth of verbal skills. Nananananana. :^D
The big tent? You are a piece of work. How much is it going to cost you personally if Trump wins. I bet a bundle. You are like the rest of the GOPe. Friggin whores. Roll over on your back for cash, or get on your knees if you are male. You certainly are not a man. Male possibly, but your X and $ pay off chromosomes are most definitively dominant.
Simple speach is the best speach since everybody gets it. Saying things in simple way is like taking a verbal photograph —you get it in an instant. It is like a picture is worth a thousand words but simple words are the closest thing to a picture. Jesus used simple speech because he wanted to get to the heart of the matter. The Pharisees on the other hand liked to impress people with their elaborate language to establish their authority which was the authority of man and not of God.
Do you think their will be a Republican Party after this election? The GOPe has spit in our eyes too many times.
I have told you specifically this several times, Trump does not need 1237 to win on the first ballot. If Trump does not get to 1237 he will be very close and he will have several million more votes than Cruz by the convention. There are hundreds of unbound delegates. If the leadership decides that it would be in the best interest of the party for these delegates to go to Trump, enough of them will.
If the polls are to be believed Trump is beginning to surge and this will no doubt be helped by the thrashing Cruz will be taking in New England. If Cruz's fall from grace continues and it most likely will, the leadership will see no advantage in pushing a candidate with a very narrow base who they do not like ahead of the front runner who will most likely have several million more votes by the convention and proven crossover appeal.
One thing we do know for sure is that the chance of Cruz getting the hundreds of additional delegates that he would need to reach a majority of delegates on the 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th ballot are very low. This is because once Cruz has served his purpose as a tool in the leaderships attempt to deprive Trump of delegates, his usefulness to the party leadership will be gone, kaput, vaporized. It will be the same as when Romney supported Kasich in Ohio and immediately switched to Cruz in Utah. Cruz will need more than the operatives that he has managed to install as Trump pledged delegates. He will need hundreds of GOP insiders as well. Anyone who believes that the GOP leadership has any loyalty at all to Cruz is delusional.
Many of us like to think that the leadership of the GOP is stupid. They may be calculating, deceitful, and immoral, but they actually are not stupid. Their instinct for self-preservation is actually quite strong. I do not see any circumstance where the insiders will feel that Cruz will be the one most likely to preserve their power. And this is a compliment to Cruz, because I do not like the insiders or the way that they are currently using Cruz.
What we are currently witnessing with the leadership assisting Cruz in his "voterless" landslides is actually just a demonstration to help keep Trump under control. They are working to get him to agree to conditions that will help keep him under their control if he wants the nomination. This is all part of the negotiation. Cruz is just a hapless pawn. His entire campaign has been infiltrated by party insiders that he has no control over. They are simultaneously using him and destroying his reputation and career in politics. He most likely will not win a second term in the Senate and if he tries to run for the presidency again, his candidacy would make Santorum look like a superstar. Like him or not it is over for Cruz in this and in future elections. He is done.
“Simple speach is the best speach since everybody gets it.”
Yes, the whole truth without any subterfuge! Which generally excludes “professional politicians,” whose stock and trade is obfuscation and lies.
FYI, Trump’s IQ is 156.
Anybody can use big words and complex sentences—and totally fail to communicate. Trump’s verbal skills are superb.
And your evidence is?
The sort of mud an envious hater hurls.
Obviously, you don’t mind making yourself look bitter and small.
Adlai Stevenson (who never read a book) and John Anderson come to mind. Speak in a sonorous voice, appeal to the people who vote as a form of self-flattery. “I’m voting for X because I’m smarter and more virtuous than other voters.” (Many voters think this, but I’m talking about the kind of candidate who offers little else.) Kasich is one of these. No ideas other than “I’m a uniter; I have ‘solutions.’”
“...he has the GOP in a vice [sic] grip”
That would be “by the short and curlies.”
A big difference between Cruz and Trump is that Cruz radiates no sense that he loves the people. Cruz is using the rules to win in some states. He is impressed with himself, and he thinks this makes him look smart. By complaining about voterless victories, Trump is communicating to the voters that he loves them and therefore wants them to have a voice.
A big difference between Cruz and Trump is that Cruz radiates no sense that he loves the people. Cruz is using the rules to win in some states. He is impressed with himself, and he thinks this makes him look smart. By complaining about voterless victories, Trump is communicating to the voters that he loves them and therefore wants them to have a voice.
A lot of those "unbound" delegates are the automatic delegates (the state party chairman and RNC members) - do you think they will be Trump votes? And Cruz has been working diligently to get his supporters selected for even the "unbound" delegate spots. So I think the pool of potential delegates for Trump is smaller than you think.
If Trump can get within range of 1237 prior to the convention, Kasich is probably his best bet to close the gap. Kasich would doubtless be thrilled to accept the VP nod.
But I wonder how many of Kasich's delegates would follow his lead...
It isn’t going to Ballot #2.
Yea, keeping telling yourself that nonsense.
>> It isn’t going to Ballot #2.
So I’ve heard!
We will know for sure in only 3 months. I’ll hide and watch.
And he will.
So I’ve heard!
I’ll hide and watch for the reality to unfold.
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