Posted on 03/22/2016 7:40:57 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
At some point after 8 p.m. on April 26, the cable TV networks will display a check mark next to the picture and name of the Republican presidential candidate who got the most votes in Pennsylvania - Ted Cruz, John Kasich, or Donald Trump. This time, plenty of people will be paying attention. Usually, the Pennsylvania primary comes long after the suspense has left the presidential race. But the primary is poised to have an impact this year, because the math makes it virtually impossible for Trump, the GOP front-runner, to win enough delegates to wrap up the nomination beforehand.
(Excerpt) Read more at philly.com ...
If there is a state that will throw this thing, PA is a place where the machine will happily hand it away.
I am not in contact with anyone that lives there, so I have no inside skinny on what the attitude is, but in the past, Philly and Pitts have been THE vote for Peannsylvania
Well, good. I*ll vote for Trump.
I’m looking forward to voting for Mr. Trump in the PA primary.
Love him or hate him, Trump pretty much has a majority of the delegates locked up. If he loses every other unpledged delegate available by the end of the primary season, he still only needs to win less than 36% of those available in just two places-- Pennsylvania and North Dakota. It is hard to see how that won't happen.
Cruz has the PA Mormon vote locked up!
“Folks such as Kevin R. Booth, 58, of Fort Washington. He switched to Republican, reasoning that the Democrats’ contest is all but over, and that he’ll vote for Kasich - to stop Trump.”
A bunch of liberal crossover voters that will vote for Trump in the primary, and Hillary in Nov!
This year even NM might count!
But what about the amish?
“Pennsylvania is Pittsburgh and Philadelphia with Alabama in between.”
—James “Snakehead” Carville
“Then there’s Pennsylvania. In this state, there is something like a primary election (preference vote) but, for some reason, it doesn’t really count. In Pennsylvania, 54 of the 71 total delegates will be unbound. These delegates will be elected during the primary, according to Ballotpedia, and the RNC guide to the primaries states they’ll be elected specifically as unbound. Because…Pennsylvania?”
http://www.genfkd.com/unbound-delegates-explained
~~~~~~~~~~~~
“Pennsylvania’s primary contest is unlike others.
For years, the Keystone State primary has been a “preferential primary” – simply a beauty contest – and had no connection whatsoever to delegate selection.
It’s not winner-take-all. It’s not winner-take-most. It’s not even proportional.
The vast majority of Pennsylvania’s Republican delegates are technically “unbound” or “uncommitted.””
Pennsylvania GOP delegates would be at the center of any contested convention
http://blog.triblive.com/orp/2016/03/17/delegates-contested-convention/
This was the reason Reagan tapped R. Schweiker for V.P. in 1976: so many unbound delegates. But they were really bound to “Rudolph” Ford. “Unbound” was not quite the case.
Carville is really wrong here. PA is full of liberals everywhere; they are not the majority though in a few dozen counties. But with P&P, P is liberal and shall remain so.
There are only 14 (not 17) of our 71 delegates which will be chosen by our primary voters on April 26. Three are reserved for party big wigs. However, it is nearly impossible to see Trump not getting a decent share of the 54 (18 congressional districts x 3) elected on a district basis.
This is particularly true when considering today's events and the only primaries awarding at least 30 delegates to be held between now and then:
Trump is heavily favored to win in three of the four. He will probably finish a very strong second place in Utah. With this type of momentum coming into Pennsylvania, it is hard to see him not winning here as well.
Everyone who is going to switch parties to vote in our primary will have to do so by the end of this week. At last count, that number was over 70,000 and most of those will be going for Trump.
So, yeah, even though he may not have it locked up by Pennsylvania, the momentum will most likely be irreversible by then.
“unbounded” PA delegates...live and learn.
Never before have I paid so much attention to states’ delegates, superdelegates, unbounded delegates; uncommitted delegates, delegate “math,” GOP convention rules and possibilities, etc., etc.
TY both
I’m in the big purple state and I talk to a whole lot of people every day. My take: there is no way whatsoever that Trump can lose PA in the primary.
They must take action to avoid the will of the voters from being negated, or pay the consequences and I know where they live.
There is very little enthusiasm for Hillary. Much for Trump. If she survives to November, it's Trump's to lose and he doesn't seem to have the knack of losing.
I would be beyond shocked if Trump doesn’t win PA huge, in the Primary. Cruz’s blame Trump for the agitators makes him sound like a every North East Democrat that’s been around for the last 20 years.
Of course the unbound nature of the congressional district delegates makes it interesting, but I have no doubt Trump will take PA by a large margin.
Philadelphia and the collar counties are the culprit. Pittsburgh and Allegheny county are barely a factor.
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