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Why Ted Cruz Could Win the GOP Nomination. In 2020.
Slate ^ | March 18, 2016 | William Saletan

Posted on 03/19/2016 1:14:20 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

[SNIP]

The argument against Cruz is that he’s obnoxious.His colleagues don’t like him,and exit polls show he doesn’t do nearly as well among moderate and somewhat conservative voters as he does among hardcore conservatives....That’s why,when my colleague Jamelle Bouie was betting on Cruz,I put my money on Rubio...I stand refuted.Cruz hasn’t overcome the Trump wave,but he has proved that in an angry party,his organization,discipline,and message can beat a broadly appealing rival.

Republicans who vote for Trump in 2016,only to see him abandoned by elements of their party and defeated in the general election,would be at least as angry in 2020.The notion that his loss would teach them not to support Cruz has two glaring flaws.One flaw is that the desertion of Trump by the GOP establishment,or at least part of it,would confound the equation.A Trump rout wouldn’t prove that Republicans are better off nominating a candidate like George W. Bush,because the right would be able to point to a difference between 2000 and 2016:the establishment’s betrayal of Trump.

The other problem is that Cruz isn’t Trump.Trump’s conservatism is visceral and stylistic....Cruz’s conservatism is ideological.He cares about tax cuts,deregulation,and social-issue litmus tests...If Trump loses the general election,they won’t conclude that their brand of conservatism has been refuted.They’ll conclude,with some justice,that their brand of conservatism hasn’t been tried.

Cruz has been making this argument for months. In speeches, debates,interviews,and ads,he has painted Trump as a donor to liberals,a socialist on health care,and a squish on Planned Parenthood. Presumably,Cruz will hammer these differences all the way to the convention.And then,if Trump loses the election,Cruz will take up where he left off.He’ll raise more money,build out his field organization,and lock up support in the Tea Party and on the religious right.He’ll tell hardline Republican audiences what they want to hear:that Trump lost because he wasn’t a “consistent conservative.”..

[SNIP]

(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2020; 2020elections; conservatives; cruz; economy; elections; gope; gopedirtytricks; keephopealive; lol; nationalsecurity; teaparty; trump
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Best path forward is to join together and unite behind Ted Cruz for 2016!
1 posted on 03/19/2016 1:14:20 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Cruz rules, but the dependency on Slate to say so is ...

Slate sucks ass.


2 posted on 03/19/2016 1:18:40 AM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

As a Cruz supporter who would sincerely like to see him win this year, it pains me to admit that I can see the writing on the wall. This article is basically on the right track. Unless there’s some significant game-changing event (e.g., Kasich dropping out, major Trump scandal, etc.), this doesn’t look like it’s going to be Cruz’s year. Let’s say Cruz gets to the convention with 700-800 delegates. That’d be a strong runner-up. He graciously concedes defeat and follows through on his pledge for the nominee but declines a spot on Trump’s ticket. The Donald goes down to inevitable defeat in November because 60% of the country hates him. And thus begins the campaign for 2020... with Ted in a very good position to take on an elderly, failed President Hillary.


3 posted on 03/19/2016 1:37:02 AM PDT by irishjuggler
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Ted is mad that everyone chose Trump over him, so he is going to continue to move middle and stay there.

He will never be elected with the stench of Romney on him.


4 posted on 03/19/2016 1:41:19 AM PDT by mabelkitty (Trump 2016 !!!!! Member of the Trumpist Party; Reject Crumney!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

The only bright spot in this scenario is that both Bill and Hillary will be dead of natural causes—if cocaine and syphilis are natural causes—within five years.


5 posted on 03/19/2016 1:42:00 AM PDT by Arthur McGowan
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To: irishjuggler

There is absolutely nothing gracious about Ted. And, he won’t be the candidate in 2020. That’ll be the incumbent Donald J. Trump.


6 posted on 03/19/2016 1:44:36 AM PDT by Rastus
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To: mabelkitty

In what way has Ted “moved to the middle”?

If anything, the “moderate middle” has moved to Cruz. And while they don’t agree with him on everything, he is the best candidate still running to defeat Hillary.

And don’t fool yourself: Any candidate, including Trump, would love Romney’s endorsement...especially with upcoming contests in Arizona & Utah.


7 posted on 03/19/2016 1:50:45 AM PDT by proudpapa (Cruz or Lose!)
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To: Gene Eric; All

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/432941/donald-trump-populist-demagogue-john-adams-anticipated

....”If you are wondering why that pedantic conservative friend of yours corrects you every time you describe our form of government as democracy — “It’s a republic!” he will insist — that is why. Your pedantic conservative friend probably is supporting Ted Cruz. The democratic passions that so terrified Adams have filled the sails of Donald Trump.”...


8 posted on 03/19/2016 2:10:15 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: proudpapa

You’re exactly right.


9 posted on 03/19/2016 2:11:53 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
This article assumes that the Republican Party will still exist in 2020.

We should be wondering if it will be existing a year from now.

10 posted on 03/19/2016 2:19:51 AM PDT by Samwell Tarly
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

The problem with what’s written is it doesn’t take into count ALL of the problems that will take place, if the Left does win the ‘16 POTUS race (as well as many of the the races for U.S. House and U.S. Senate): all voter fraud; all cheating to get what they want, politically; all judicial activism; all criminal activity, including all criminal activity caused by increased illegal immigration; the worsening of the mainstream media and entertainment world; the worsening of all, worldwide political correctness and the ongoing “dumbing down” of the general public; all worsening of political indoctrination within all government controlled schools, colleges, and universities;...all leading to the end of ANY SERIOUS political gains by non-leftists, anywhere! The non-left would remain a political minority for the long-term future!


11 posted on 03/19/2016 2:21:53 AM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (The world continues to be stuck in a "all leftist, all of the time" funk. BUNK THE FUNK!)
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To: johnthebaptistmoore

Which is why a Cruz presidency must happen now.


12 posted on 03/19/2016 2:26:10 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Call me when the Constitutional Amendment abolishing the ‘Natural Born Citizen’ Clause is ratified.
13 posted on 03/19/2016 2:28:45 AM PDT by Radix (Natural Born Citizens have Citizen parents.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; All

There are things about CRUZ you obviously just don’t know....but if you did you wouldn’t be his proponent here.

America NEEDS TRUMP NOW more than ever.

TRUMP 2016


14 posted on 03/19/2016 2:45:08 AM PDT by Halgr (Once a Marine, always a Marine - Semper Fi)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Ted Cruz is a spoiler. Nothing more. The bosses will toss him under the bus so fast he will think his US Visa got revoked. His only purpose to to get enough of Trump’s first round delegates to put the bosses in charge.


15 posted on 03/19/2016 2:45:19 AM PDT by anton
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Trump is a figure head of the American peoples anger towards the criminals in DC who gave them the finger time after time. The system is working for the people


16 posted on 03/19/2016 2:52:52 AM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Or you guys will dump this election, allow HRC to win so your guy can run in 2020?

I guess it sounds like a plan to you,

I’d rather win this year.


17 posted on 03/19/2016 2:53:32 AM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: irishjuggler

Trump is more likely to win a general election than Cruz is.

Current GOP polls have Trump just about at 50% and Cruz at 20%. Cruz appeals to true conservatives, whereas Trump draws in more moderates, independents, Reagan Democrats, those who have never voted before, blacks, Hispanics and Indians. Trump puts big Northeastern and Midwestern states in play, whereas Cruz is a regional candidate, at best.

Cruz’s best chance is to be Trump’s VP first—and the question is whether he has blown that.


18 posted on 03/19/2016 2:55:13 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Cruz’s problem is not just that he is not liked. It is that he is a globalist.


19 posted on 03/19/2016 2:56:44 AM PDT by amihow (l)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

With Hindsight, Cruz should have cut an early deal with Trump to succeed him in 2020 after 1 term or maybe VP cruz on the 2020 ticket with Linda McMahon or someone Trump-acceptable at the top of the 2020 ticket.


20 posted on 03/19/2016 2:57:14 AM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal (Mofopolitics: Trump probably gets 1,237 even w/out OH)
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