You know... I think at least 25% of Trump’s delegates will not vote for him after the initial vote. I would guess that if he doesn’t go to the convention with enough delegates he will not be the nominee. It will be Cruz or Kasich. Trump needs that 1,235 number.
Quite possible.
After that it’s a train wreck.
At least we won’t have to worry about discussing politics on FR, just guns, CWII stuff, etc....
1,237...
1,237.
But who’s counting?
There are a bunch (120+ last number I recall) of uncommitted.
If either Trump or Cruz are short a few dozen, they will try to reach the magic 1237 by enticing those uncommitted delegates before the convention.
It will be a matter of who can offer the best enticements.
‘Hey, you there, uncommitted from North Dakota, wanna ride on Trump 757? Trump steak dinner included.’
I disagree. There will be no second vote. If Trump or Cruz or Bozo the Dog is the leader, that is the nomination.
1237 is an arbitrary number that can be changed the day before the convention when the rules expire.
Same as the change that made 8 states majority a rule instead of 5.
You cannot expect candidates to go through a year of travel and stumping and literally tens of millions of dollars, and then say, oh my, you’re 20 short, tough noodles. Voters won’t stand for it