Posted on 03/13/2016 10:27:55 AM PDT by Steelfish
Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Illinois; Kasich Leads in Ohio by MARK MURRAY
OHIO: Kasich 39% to Trump 33%
Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in the March 15 primary states of Florida and Illinois, while John Kasich holds the edge in his home state of Ohio, according to three new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.
On the Democratic side, meanwhile, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders in all three states, although she's just narrowly ahead in Illinois.
In Florida, Trump holds a 2-to-1 advantage among likely GOP voters over Marco Rubio, the state's U.S. senator, 43 percent to 22 percent. They're followed by Ted Cruz at 21 percent and John Kasich at 9 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...
Trump wins Fl and Ohio this race is over
“NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.”
This is the poll that said Cruz was leading Trump going into SC. How did that turn out?
NBC/WSJ polls = Stool
I wonder why they are ignoring Missouri and NC? Those are winner take all too, right?
I thinks Dems are crossing over in Ohio. They know how much chaos a Kasich win will create. They don’t want the fun and games to end.
Polls? Or Poll? Liars!
Well, he’s going to lose Ohio, so it’s not over.
North Carolina is proportional. Missouri is hybrid, by congressional district.
North Carolina is strictly proportional (each candidate gets 1 delegate for every 1.38% of the statewide vote.)
Missouri is winner-take-all if a candidate gets over 50% statewide. Otherwise, each Congressional District is worth 5 delegates and the overall state winner gets a pool of 12 additional candidates.
Illinois gives 3 delegates for each Congressional District and 15 delegates for the statewide winner.
Only Ohio and Florida are winner-take-all across the board.
What poll is Lyin’ Ted leading.
Thomas Sowell had a great column this morning, the main point of which was that if people want to beat the Establishment, the best hope is Ted Cruz.
What poll is Cruz leading?
But as a Trump supporter, I consider OH a must-win for Trump. Stakes have never been higher. If Kasich wins and denies Trump the 66 winner-take-all delegates, it keeps hopes alive for a brokered convention even if Trump takes the other four (and I think Cruz has a good shot at MO.)
If Trump "only" takes FL, NC and IL and loses OH and MO, I will be very disappointed.
I don't know if Trump is running ads in OH to counter all the propaganda being put out there about him but if there is a time for Trump to open up his wallet and go all-out to win a particular state, I think OH is that state.
If Trump wins OH, FL, NC and IL, this race is pretty much over even if Cruz wins MO. If Trump has a clean sweep of all five, he can start focusing on the general as he will then be unstoppable as Rubio and Kasich will be out of the race and Cruz will have too steep of a mountain to climb.
However, if he loses OH, it plants enough of a seed of doubt for many to question his inevitability and the establishment GOP and media will double-down on disrupting his rallies and making it seem to many Americans that Trump is too divisive. I'm not worried about those already supporting Trump but the propaganda campaign may influence a lot of others.
Trump needs a big night Tuesday. The only state he can afford to lose in my opinion is MO.
As for OH, it will all hinge on turnout. Democrats cannot vote in the primary but Independents can. It will be the Independents that can put Trump over the top in OH but they need to come out in big numbers.
Thomas Sowell is the establishment as is Ted Cruz.
It’s fun, fun, fun till Daddy takes the T-Bird away.
And it will be fun, fun, fun until Donald Trump crashes and burns in the general election and you trumpers have given us 4 more years of democrat rule.
And Ted Cruz could do so much good in those four years.
Oh, well.
What evidence do you have of that?
I’ve always considered Thomas Sowell the voice of reason.
I guess the same way the polls that showed Trump taking Oklahoma, Kansas, Alaska, and Idaho turned out. Sometimes polls are wrong.
You heard it here first. Cruz will be the Republican nominee. We can’t have Trump of whom 65% of the electorate say they won’t vote for him and have him go down in flames to Hillary. Country comes first, not the Dear Leader.
All he has to do is win. Don’t blame us because his appeal is limited.
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