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Who’s On Track For The Nomination? (% of target as of Mar 6: Trump 107%; Cruz 67%; Rubio 42%)
FiveThirtyEight ^
| 3/6/16
| Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman
Posted on 03/06/2016 8:12:31 AM PST by patq
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To: Balding_Eagle
Tump has overperformed in total to date, but on March 5 he underperformed:
Kansas — actual 9, targeted 16
Kentucky — actual 17, targeted 21
Louuisiana — actual 18, targeted 23
Maine — actual 9, targeted 9.
So for March 5, he got 53 actual compared to 69 targeted, for an underperformance of 16.
21
posted on
03/06/2016 10:12:31 AM PST
by
MUDDOG
22
posted on
03/06/2016 10:26:56 AM PST
by
DoughtyOne
(Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
To: MUDDOG
Your right, I hadn’t scrolled down to see the numbers.
23
posted on
03/06/2016 10:37:13 AM PST
by
Balding_Eagle
( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
24
posted on
03/06/2016 11:23:16 AM PST
by
DoughtyOne
(Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
To: All
25
posted on
03/06/2016 11:24:31 AM PST
by
musicman
(Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
To: All
26
posted on
03/06/2016 11:24:39 AM PST
by
musicman
(Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
To: TexasCajun
The trend will continue with Cruz? How on earth?
No way Cruz wins Michigan, Ohio or Florida. Mississippi doubtful. Puerto Rico...no way. Utah maybe. Idaho maybe. Hawaii maybe. New York no way. Pennsylvania no way. New Jersey...no way.
So please inform me of this prediction because I don’t see it. Cruz screwed up by not getting the south.
27
posted on
03/06/2016 12:24:58 PM PST
by
napscoordinator
(Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
To: SamAdams76
The winner-take-all states are big.
Rubio won't drop out till after Florida, if all.
That only helps Trump.
I have no idea why Kasich is even around, even if he does squeeze out Ohio, which is doubtful.
28
posted on
03/06/2016 12:46:27 PM PST
by
TexasCajun
(#BlackViolenceMatters)
To: TexasCajun
I’m a little concerned about Kasich. He did well in last debate and seems to be picking up momentum. While most polls have him behind in MI and OH, never underestimate the power of home state advantage. We just saw that with Cruz in TX, OK and KS.
29
posted on
03/06/2016 12:51:19 PM PST
by
SamAdams76
(Delegates So Far: Trump (382); Cruz (300); Little Marco (128)
To: napscoordinator
It's a tough battle for sure.
Let's let 'em vote and see how the delegate count stands after March 15.
Rubio & Kasich staying in doesn't help Cruz.
If & when they drop out, it may be too late to make any significant difference.
30
posted on
03/06/2016 12:57:33 PM PST
by
TexasCajun
(#BlackViolenceMatters)
To: SamAdams76
Kasich did have his best debate.
But everyone knows Kasich is not a Conservative, moderate is being generous.
31
posted on
03/06/2016 1:00:03 PM PST
by
TexasCajun
(#BlackViolenceMatters)
To: Balding_Eagle; patq
March 8 results for FiveThirtyEight track:
Trump: 12 delegate overperformance
Cruz: 5 delegate underperformance.
32
posted on
03/09/2016 6:23:20 AM PST
by
MUDDOG
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