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National Poll Surprise! Cruz Tops Trump
Conservative Review ^ | February 17, 2016

Posted on 02/17/2016 7:10:34 PM PST by SoConPubbie

In an NBC/WSJ poll released today, Ted Cruz leads Donald Trump by two points nationally.

Cruz has 28 percent to Trump’s 26 percent. Rubio is third with 17 percent, followed by Kasich at 11, Carson at 10, and Bush in last place at 4 percent.

“The results from the poll -- conducted after Trump's victory in New Hampshire, as well as after Saturday's GOP debate in South Carolina -- are a significant reversal from last month, when Trump held a 13-point lead over Cruz, 33 percent to 20 percent.”

Donald Trump has polled first in 31 consecutive national polls since November, when Dr. Ben Carson briefly led Mr. Trump. Cruz’s lead over Trump comes a surprise given recent polling in South Carolina. Mr. Trump currently leads Ted Cruz by double digits there, with the South Carolina primary taking place on Saturday.

Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted this survey, says Trump's drop could signal being “right on top of a shift in the campaign.”

“When you see a number this different, it means you might be right on top of a shift in the campaign. What you don't know yet is if the change is going to take place or if it is a momentary 'pause' before the numbers snap back into place.”

In hypothetical one-on-one matchups, the NBC/WSJ national poll shows Trump behind both Cruz (56 percent to 40 percent) and Rubio (57 percent to 41 percent).


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1stcanadiansenator; 1strepost; 2ndrepost; 3rdrepost; 4threpost; 5threpost; 6strepost; agendapoll; canadian; cruz; gangof14; ineligible; nbc; ntsa; phonybaloney; propagandadujour; tdscoffeclutch; tedcruz; tedspacificpartners; usualsuspect; wallstreetjournal; willthemudstick
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To: digger48

I went and dug my ear protection out of my range bag, just so all the wailing and screaming doesn’t hurt my ears.

I know FR doesn’t have audio, but that’s not going to matter. It’s gonna come through anyway.


81 posted on 02/17/2016 7:53:16 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: changeitback440

In case you haven’t noticed, very few members participate in that thing. I only participated once, I’m here every day and I am a Cruz supporter.


82 posted on 02/17/2016 7:54:42 PM PST by 1035rep
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To: okie01
"Very conservative" voters are relatively difficult to poll -- as a group, they don't answer unknown phone numbers or respond to pollsters.

That's interesting... makes sense. By any chance are Bernie supporters the most likely to pick up the phone... Oh wait, they would be 'most likely' ... to only have a cell phone, right?

83 posted on 02/17/2016 7:59:22 PM PST by GOPJ (Hillary has 416 'superdelegates'... Bernie has 14...Democrats don't trust the people - it's rigged.)
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To: usafa92

Cruzers are so desperate for any shred of good news right now, if Hillary Clinton came out and said she thinks Ted will win SC, they’d be here claiming she’s a trusted source.

If you ever wanted to see what sheer panic looks like, this is it.


84 posted on 02/17/2016 8:00:08 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: 1035rep

it’s 2:1 everywhere....... some places 3:1


85 posted on 02/17/2016 8:04:13 PM PST by changeitback440
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To: GOPJ

I like how trumpeters are now admitting they oppose conservatives

We are not for trump.

Very conservative voters are for Cruz.

Correct.

NEWSFLASH: this is a conservative website


86 posted on 02/17/2016 8:05:49 PM PST by lonestar67 (Trump is anti-conservative / Cruz 2016)
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To: GOPJ
Oh wait, they would be 'most likely' ... to only have a cell phone, right?

I would suppose you're correct.

87 posted on 02/17/2016 8:05:59 PM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
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To: digger48

So far each one has some level of BS attached.


88 posted on 02/17/2016 8:06:12 PM PST by moehoward
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To: SoConPubbie

Tee hee.


89 posted on 02/17/2016 8:08:02 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: SoConPubbie

90 posted on 02/17/2016 8:08:39 PM PST by kik5150 (Cruz argued 9 times before Supreme Court judges. Trump argues with beauty pageant judges.)
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To: Windflier

Cruzers are so desperate for any shred of good news right now, if Hillary Clinton came out and said she thinks Ted will win SC, they’d be here claiming she’s a trusted source.

If you ever wanted to see what sheer panic looks like, this it.


Nailed it, FRiend.


91 posted on 02/17/2016 8:11:24 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: okie01

I’m just guessing... it sounds like you know what you’re taking about... Do you know?


92 posted on 02/17/2016 8:11:39 PM PST by GOPJ (Hillary has 416 'superdelegates'... Bernie has 14...Democrats don't trust the people - it's rigged.)
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To: smoothsailing

Thanks for the breaking news alert. This the first I’ve heard of this! /s


93 posted on 02/17/2016 8:11:43 PM PST by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: Leo Carpathian

Yes . it was the opposite of “ foreign born”for a very good reasons. We don’t want Canadian Presidents.


94 posted on 02/17/2016 8:12:12 PM PST by WENDLE (Trump is not bought . He is no puppet.)
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To: kik5150

Lol. CRuz will be lucky to make 2nd place.

Love it!!


95 posted on 02/17/2016 8:12:27 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: lonestar67

I’m conservative... a ‘common sense’ conservative. (code for backing Trump)

Very conservative is code for backing Cruz.


96 posted on 02/17/2016 8:12:57 PM PST by GOPJ (Hillary has 416 'superdelegates'... Bernie has 14...Democrats don't trust the people - it's rigged.)
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To: Windflier

You’re Welcome, I knew you’d want to know! 8^)


97 posted on 02/17/2016 8:14:50 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: dila813
The pollster knew he was adding Cruz voters... it's a category name the liberal pollster came up with - it's not my definition.I'm a conservative.
98 posted on 02/17/2016 8:15:52 PM PST by GOPJ (Hillary has 416 'superdelegates'... Bernie has 14...Democrats don't trust the people - it's rigged.)
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To: GOPJ

So he came up with an entire new category of voter?

Hmmmm, but this category of voter has been in polls for years?

Did he reinvent it?

Or are you just now noticing that it exists?


99 posted on 02/17/2016 8:18:15 PM PST by dila813
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To: Windflier

It’s been a tough day for them. Poll after poll out of SC has been devastating and prelim estimates are that Trump will take 44 out of 50 delegates with potential of 47. Nevada numbers were brutal as well.


100 posted on 02/17/2016 8:20:56 PM PST by usafa92 (Ted and Heidi = Jim and Tammy Faye)
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