I think you are probably right samtheman. That being the case Cruz will have a great shot at the nomination. What most of the Trump people can’t see is that most primary voters are voting either for or against Trump. That being the case an argument can be made for about 65% of republicans being anti-trump. The more it narrows down, the more it help Cruz! In a Trump-Cruz head to head Cruz comes out on top about 8%. Not my words, but several polls. The sooner most get out the better!
That assumes Trump wont win over any more people. Think back to May, 2015. Do you think 35% of Repubs were on board with Trump then? No way. He built his support and he will continue to do so.