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Why A Vote For An Establishment Candidate Could Be A Vote For Trump In N.H.
NPR ^ | February 8,2016 | Domenico Montanaro

Posted on 02/08/2016 7:15:35 PM PST by Hojczyk

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To: DannyTN
I don't see anybody else getting 8 states.

I think Cruz will get his 8 states, but they might include Guam, Puerto Rico, American Samoa, USVI, Northern Marianas, etc. I also think as some of the also-rans drop out, Trump will have a much harder time winning states. Not many who are supporting any of the other candidates are going to move to Trump.

21 posted on 02/08/2016 8:15:33 PM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: MUDDOG

“Bottom line of NPR’s nightmare scenario:”

Their nightmare scenario is Cruz winning or coming in second in NH.


22 posted on 02/08/2016 8:18:16 PM PST by EQAndyBuzz (The Trump/Cruz war is a media generated war so the establishment can stay in power.)
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To: Hojczyk

So NPR and Vox are giving advice to republicans today.

How cute.


23 posted on 02/08/2016 8:20:03 PM PST by BlueNgold (May I suggest a very nice 1788 Article V with your supper...)
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To: DannyTN

By the way, SC is not winner-take-all, but a hybrid. The at-large delegates are awarded to the overall winner, but the other delegates go to the winner of each congressional district.


24 posted on 02/08/2016 8:20:42 PM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

They wouldn’t like that either.

They’ve got Cruz winning 2 out of the 20.


25 posted on 02/08/2016 8:23:46 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: CA Conservative

The rule specifies “states”. It doesn’t mention territories. I know the territories get delegates, but I don’t think they count towards the minimum 8 state rule.


26 posted on 02/08/2016 8:23:50 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: CA Conservative

Thanks for the clarification. I was wondering since winner take all is prohibited before Mar 15th. I thought maybe they were grandfathered, but that explains it.


27 posted on 02/08/2016 8:25:13 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: DannyTN
The rule specifies "states". It doesn't mention territories. I know the territories get delegates, but I don't think they count towards the minimum 8 state rule.

As far as I know, they count toward the 8 state total. I read an article in Politico about the rule a couple months ago,and it specifically mentions that the territories count as states for nominating purposes.

However, if you read enough about the rule, you will also see that it can and probably will be modified prior to the convention. So if Rubio has a lot of delegates and Trump does not have a majority of the delegates going into the convention, you can bet that the RNC will change the rule to prevent Trump from getting the nomination by default.

28 posted on 02/08/2016 8:32:44 PM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: Hojczyk

I wonder how long Trump has been planning this run. Genius.


29 posted on 02/08/2016 8:33:03 PM PST by toddausauras ( Leftplosion.)
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To: toddausauras

Manchester Union Leader publisher said tonight on WBZ that it’s been at least two years.


30 posted on 02/08/2016 8:35:40 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: Hojczyk

Here come the clowns!


31 posted on 02/08/2016 8:56:02 PM PST by stocksthatgoup (Trump then Cruz for me. I want to see Hillary, Bernie or any demoncrap crushed)
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To: Hojczyk

Wow, does anyone want to take a trip to another planet? Just go to the article’s comment page.

It’s much more “polite” than DU, but, still...

Of course, what did I expect?


32 posted on 02/08/2016 10:14:31 PM PST by Paul R.
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To: MUDDOG
...Trump gets 10 out of the total 20 NH delegates.

Does that count as a majority for the "8 state majority" rule, or does he need 11?

33 posted on 02/08/2016 10:32:44 PM PST by CurlyDave
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To: CurlyDave

I wondered that too.

I decided it didn’t count, but just my opinion.


34 posted on 02/08/2016 10:33:45 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: LeoWindhorse
I am voting for Donald Trump because he is an Anglo Saxon white Christian American male . They make the best leaders on planet Earth. without any doubt, when the fur flies we will be glad that he is our president and the commander-in-chief of our armed forces. And the fur is going to fly. Whether we like it or not.....

'Twas a time I would have argued a bit - but have recently moved from Cruz to Trump as the first line person to back, with Cruz in second on my list (no third place so it has to be one of them) - will be sending Trump a donation today.

35 posted on 02/09/2016 4:38:16 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: DannyTN
-- S.Carolina is Winner take all. --

Almost, but not quite. Each of 7 Congressional districts can split, with the winner in each district getting 3 delegates.

Otherwise, you are right, the candidate getting the most votes statewide gets 29 delegates for that, and whatever share of the 21 delegates is obtained by winning congressional districts.

South Carolina Republican Delegation 2016

36 posted on 02/09/2016 4:47:17 AM PST by Cboldt
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To: Milhous

you thought I was being sarcastic . I wasn’t


37 posted on 02/09/2016 11:41:57 AM PST by LeoWindhorse
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To: LeoWindhorse
you thought I was being sarcastic . I wasn't

No, I didn't think you were being sarcastic. Nor was I being sarcastic by referring to Trump a Neanderthal. There's red in my hair, which means that Neanderthal blood flows in me, too. It's good to be Neanderthal, better than being Cro-Magnon. :)

38 posted on 02/09/2016 4:54:58 PM PST by Milhous (Donald Trump supporter.)
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To: Milhous

You mean I am attracted to Neanderthal females !?

Oh my God ......


39 posted on 02/09/2016 5:40:54 PM PST by LeoWindhorse
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