NH Poll: Trump +16, Kasich in 2nd, Jeb Bush Surging

Breitbart ^ | 2/7/16 | MIKE FLYNN

[jimbo123]

The latest Monmouth University poll of New Hampshire shows Donald Trump continuing to lead the GOP field by a double-digit margin.

The poll, however, shows a very tight race for second place, with Jeb Bush surging 9 points since Monmouth's last survey in January.

Trump leads the field with 30 percent support, essentially unchanged since Monmouth's last poll in early January. Ohio Gov. John Kasich is second with 14 percent support, also unchanged since early January. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) has 13 percent support, up just one point in the last month. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) has 12 percent, down just two points since the beginning of the year.

The momentum seems to be with Jeb Bush, who has surged 9 points in the last month. Bush has moved from 4 percent support in early January to 13 percent support today. He is tied with Marco Rubio for third.

[LS]

No, no, no. This is good. As long as the GOPe don’t coalesce around one candidate early, Trump wins this in a walkaway. Only if GOPe make it a three way race between them, Cruz, and Trump do Trump and Cruz lose.

[jimbo123]

Rubio was supposed to be kneecapped by the GOPe-RNC after Florida but his “surge” screwed everything up. That’s why Christie did what he did last night.

[lee martell]

This doesn’t inspire greater faith in the two party system.
Makes me wonder if Michael Savage is right. The decisions were made a year ago, by monied parties both unknown and unseen.

[Bratch]

Chris Christie Attacks Marco Rubio, and People are Shocked, SHOCKED…

Posted on February 4, 2016 by sundance

Watching the media talking about why Chris Christie has such a harsh tone toward Marco Rubio is actually quite funny.  The role of Christie in the GOPe larger political scheme has ALWAYS been to use him as the junk yard dog.

It is, quite simply, his job.

Do you need to go back to Christies’ time as head of the Republican Governors Association and remind yourself when the DC based GOPe apparatus was furious at Scott Walker?… Walker was facing a recall, Christie was given instructions to let him hang, and the RGA sat by doing next to nothing.   This was DC-based punishment for the Tea Party kicking out the chosen GOPe candidates.  Destroying their internal adversaries is what the Old Guard does best.

 

Or, do you need to remind yourself of 2012 when Christie was given instructions by the Old Guard to go get that Gingrich guy who was becoming a risk to their next-in-line candidate, Mitt Romney?

C’mon, you can’t possibly forget the month long war Chris Christie waged against Newt Gingrich after Gingrich won the South Carolina 2012 primary.

Chris Christie is a tool of the DC establishment (GOPe) with a very specific purpose.  His role is so predictable when we identified the 2014 back room conversations happening within the professional political class (prior to the rule changes) to get Jeb Bush nominated, we immediately said Christie would be entering the race as a defender of Jeb.

Why?  Simple, this is always Christie’s role.

The Republican Old Guard will never allow anyone to easily jump the line and defy their next-in-line candidate Jeb Bush.   Part of the GOPe strategy is always to surround their nominee with people to defend his pedigree.

In 2012 Chris Christie brutally attacked Gingrich on behalf of Romney, in 2016 Christie is attacking Rubio on behalf of Jeb Bush.

The role of Christie in New Hampshire is less about his own candidacy, and more about positioning the Old Guard to win the battle of Jeb -v- Marco.  After New Hampshire, things might change, but before -and up to- the New Hampshire vote, the “establishment” candidate is not yet determined.

If Marco does not defeat Jeb by a sizable margin, the battle continues.  If however, Marco can beat Jeb by a wide margin, the opposition within the GOPe will shrink rapidly, and inner-party signals to support him will be dispatched in the 11 days prior to South Carolina.

The conversations are all closed door, but South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley will be the visible representation of the determination.

[Digger]

No way! Are they trying to prepare us for a rigged primary count?

Never ever put it past them.

[Kenny]

Trump needs to get the Bush eminent domain use for private projects out there asap. Show what a hypocrite Jeb is.

[Catsrus]

That’s what I was wondering too. Gotta watch those Microsoft machines like a hawk.

[The Ghost of FReepers Past]

The polls were so reliable in Iowa.

[Blue Highway]

H6w+ He looked like a dork and a chump at last nights debate. Mind boggling indeed.

[deport]

New Hampshire Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	MoE	Trump	Rubio	Kasich	Cruz	Bush	Christie	Fiorina	Carson	Spread
RCP Average	2/2 - 2/6	--	--	31.3	15.1	12.0	11.9	9.7	5.0	4.7	3.0	Trump +16.2
MonmouthMonmouth	2/4 - 2/6	508 LV	4.4	30	13	14	12	13	6	5	4	Trump +16
ARG (Tracking)ARG	2/5 - 2/6	422 LV	5.0	31	17	17	9	9	5	2	1	Trump +14
UMass/7News (Tracking)UMass Lowell	2/4 - 2/6	516 LV	4.8	36	14	9	13	10	4	4	3	Trump +22
CNN/WMURCNN/WMUR	2/3 - 2/6	362 LV	5.2	33	16	11	14	7	4	6	2	Trump +17
Boston Herald/FPUBoston Herald	2/2 - 2/6	433 LV	4.7	31	15	11	16	10	5	4	3	Trump +15
UMass/7News (Tracking)UMass Lowell	2/3 - 2/5	501 LV	4.9	35	14	10	13	10	4	3	3	Trump +21
ARG (Tracking)ARG	2/4 - 2/5	415 LV	5.0	34	16	17	9	8	5	2	2	Trump +17
Boston Globe/SuffolkBoston Globe	2/3 - 2/4	500 LV	4.4	29	19	13	7	10	5	4	4	Trump +10
ARG (Tracking)ARG	2/3 - 2/4	420 LV	5.0	36	15	14	12	8	6	2	2	Trump +21
WBUR/MassINCWBUR/MassINC	2/2 - 2/4	410 LV	4.9	29	12	9	12	9	6	8	4	Trump +17

[Sacajaweau]

Mommy was proud Yeb.

[Georgia Girl 2]

I hope Yeb’s Mom lets him stay in long enough to keep bleeding a few votes from Marco through SC. Not that it probably matters anymore but still. :-)

[maggief]

Fixed it:

NH Poll: Trump +16, Kasich in 2nd, Jeb Bush Surging Purging

[scooby321]

NH Poll: Trump +16, Kasich in 2nd, Jeb Bush Surging Purging

Where are the Cruzbots?

[DouglasKC]

I’m concerned that they’re still going to propel Jeb up there by using dirty tricks.

[TheThirdRuffian]

He did. He bloodied Trump pretty well.

Still wouldn’t vote for Yeb (even in the general), but it was funny as heck.

Trump needs to have something that resembles a poker face. You could tell he could tell he was getting beaten up.

[Psalm 144]

“I’m concerned that they’re still going to propel Jeb up there by using dirty tricks.”

Agreed. If Bush 2.5 fails too miserably to rehabilitate, I think the first hidden knife will be Romney in a brokered convention. Romney denies any interest in being the nominee, so you know he’s up for it.

[Psalm 144]

Trump had the assembled nomenklatura howling their hate at him.

I think he did quite well, given that that crowd was representative of the whole bed of maggots feeding within the defunct GOP.

[St_Thomas_Aquinas]

"The momentum seems to be with Jeb Bush, who has surged 9 points in the last month" Mind-boggling.

He's been running negative ads against Rubio around the clock for a month, and he's been running negative ads against Trump around the clock for the past several days.

Negative ads still work.

Keep in mind, too, that 40% of NH voters are independents, and that the NH Republican primary is an open primary.

[JSDude1]

I personally hope all the moderates stay in as long as possible and split the vote of their “lane”.