Posted on 02/05/2016 8:09:52 AM PST by usafa92
No article, just link
(Excerpt) Read more at americanresearchgroup.com ...
Trump's lead drops by 7 points in the latest CNN NH poll;
Trump's lead drops by another 2 point overnight in the latest UMass tracking poll;
Trump's lead drops by 12 in the latest PPP national poll;
Quinnipiac national poll shows Trump losing to Hillary in a head-to-head matchup by 7 points, while Cruz ties with Hillary , and Rubio beats Hillary by 7 points.
Keep comforting yourself with the one poll going the other direction...
Correct.
Trump - and his New York Values - play very well in NH. He will win there, but whatev.
Ted will clean up big time in South Carolina.
Cruz’s ground game is strong. It would be very helpful to beat Rubio here too.
You make a good point, and contrary to Rush’s over-the-top Cruzzapalooza praise yesterday, the fact was that WITHOUT an “organization” or “ground game” Trump came within about 4,000 votes and contrary to the predictions of some here at FR racked up over 35,000 votes IN IOWA. That wasn’t supposed to happen.
Yes, Cruz was a surprise, and Rubio even more so. But one put aside the pre-IA narrative and just went with “who should win,” Trump did incredibly well, and as you show, got essentially as many delegates as the winner. And it IS all about the delegates.
And keep comforting yourself with the notion that Cruz can win the general election which he can’t. I’ve noticed you show up on every thread related to Trump and spew you anti Trump garbage. You’re actually quite annoying.
To answer the question: I would say the only possible state that Cruz could pull compared to Romney is Florida. That is a long shot, and even with that the Dems would still win. Cruz would have to pull everything Romney did plus three additional big states to win. He would have to pull Florida and Ohio and either Pennsylvania or Michigan.
Again, have to always say “IF POLLS CAN BE BELIEVED,” Trump pulling 40% of 18-49, huge edge and out pulls either Cruz or Rubio 3:1 among women.
If polls are to be believed.
I always figured a Bush-Kasich ticket was the plan. However Rubio-Kaisch works as well. In the establishment minds this delivers Florida and Ohio...Morons
According to the head-to-head matchups Cruz consistently does better against Hillary than Trump does, yet the Trump supporters seem to want to ignore THOSE poll numbers. Since you say Cruz can't win in the general election, and since the poll numbers say Trump can't beat Hillary, I guess we should all support Rubio.
So your counting on Fat Fundamentalist?
I have lived in SC for 40 years and Trump is VERY popular here with the church goers and the southern good old boys and gals.. this ain’t Iowa
Trump was just here in Lexington two weeks ago and packed the joint.. and will be in Florence tonight and will pack thousands more.. he’s way up in the polls here and I expect he’ll stay there,, everyone of my college pals that I stay in contact with as well as the neighbors around me are voting for Trump in the primary.. Immigration is the number one deal down here .. we are getting overwhelmed when half our towns can’t speak English.. build the wall!
I think the Bubble Boy (Rubio) will begin to drop.
Like points scored in the upcoming Super Bowl. One team can have the most yards gained and will still lose the game to the team with the most points at the end of the game.
South Carolinians like their politics red meat - which Trump can supply.
Iowans like their politics “nice” and “orderly” - which Trump doesn’t supply.
Thank you usafa92! Please keep up the good work.
Is’nt it amazing that in the evangelical heavy land of Iowa, with only 6% of eligible voters turning out to caucus, Trump finished within 3 points of Cruz?
Hey 12 delagates is 12 delagates. I’m hoping Trump gets them.
I live in SC. I’m voting for Donald Trump all the way. But I’m also an old time horse race handicapper. I see trouble for Trump in SC.
My weekly poker game is full of wealthy good ol boys and zero of them are enthusiastic for Trump and these guys are no angels either.
I see a lot of New Jersey license plates in SC. Probably good for Trump, but I think voter turnout will favor Cruz. I hope not and I struggle for reasons to think otherwise.
Alpha males do well here.. remember we voted for tough talking media hating Newt Gingrich over Romney which shocked everybody... Trump has been well ahead here for many months because of his tough stance on Immigration (we are getting overwhelmed down here) and rebuilding the military,, big military and retired military.. and I can’t see a Cruz or Rubio coming in and changing people’s minds enough to take it from him.. unless Trump has a huge faux pas between now and primary day I’d be shocked if he didn’t win here
Yeah, and isn’t it amazing that Cruz - who OPPOSED Ethanol subsidies, a favorite of Iowans - still won Iowa anyway?
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