Yes, Ted Cruz Can Win the GOP Nomination

The Washington Times ^ | 02/04/2016 | Steve Deace

[Calpublican]

When a man’s logic rests on the decorum and magnanimity of Donald Trump, you probably want to stop following his trail of bread crumbs before total and complete madness sets in. For no sooner had Ted Cruz declared victory in the Iowa Caucuses than Charles Hurt took to these very pages on Tuesday and claimed Mr. Trump to be the real winner despite the fact he didn’t win. Because, you know, Donald is so nice and all.

[usafa92]

Not hard to predict at all. Fact is, Cruz will not carry one state that Romney didn’t. Has nothing to do with being conservative. Nobody outside of Cruz’s rabid followers finds anything remotely appealing about him.

[Bloody Sam Roberts]

[Nervous Tick]

:-)

[deport]

Texas......

Texas has 155 delegates. Under Rule 38 of the Rules of the Republican Party of Texas as adopted by the 2014 Republican State Convention, 108 delegates will be awarded, three per congressional district in a graduated proportional manner based upon the primary result in each congressional district, the three RNC members from Texas and 6 additional at-large delegates will be awarded by the same method based upon the statewide vote, and an additional 38 at-large delegates, are allocated by the winner-take all secret ballot at the May 6-8 Texas Republican State Convention for a presidential candidate. However, Section 9(c) of Rule 38 provides that in the event the RNC Chair or RNC Rules Committee determines that the two-step allocation process violates RNC Rules, all 47 at-large delegates will be allocated in a graduated proportional manner based on the statewide primary vote. Texas received notification in May 2015 that the RNC Chair determined that the two-step allocation process, so all delegates will be allocated on the proportional basis of the primary vote.

http://www.texasgop.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Texas-Delegate-Selection-Process-to-GOP-Convention.pdf

[nascarnation]

Thank you.

[Teacher317]

Iowa was a five point swing for Trump (down), Cruz (up), AND Rubio (up). Swing ALL of those numbers by five points in either direction, and you can see that this is all still up in the air. I’m just trying to have some fun with math. :)

[Boogieman]

“Gallup’s analysis of political party affiliation at the state level in 2015 finds that 20 states are solidly Republican or leaning Republican, compared with 14 solidly Democratic or leaning Democratic states. The remaining 16 are competitive.”

http://www.gallup.com/poll/188969/red-states-outnumber-blue-first-time-gallup-tracking.aspx

I don’t think it’s going to be a big problem to do better than Romney this time around.

[Teacher317]

NO STATE Is “winner-take-all” until after March 15. This was the new decree from the GOP after the TEA Party scared them in 2012.

[erod]

[bigbob]

Cruz fans are banking on the notion that as Cruz and his ideas becomes more visible, more people will support him. Given that the country is much less “center right” than it has been historically and Cruz’s lack of charisma, that seems doubtful.

He will definitely have the conservative-evangelical base, but Cruz’s own plan acknowledges that is not sufficient to win. It will be those pesky independents, again...

[Lakeshark]

If either Sanders or Hildabeast are the candidate, the whole thing turns against the dems everywhere. They are horrible candidates on the level of Jeb.

The question would then be better asked: Which of THOSE two candidates can win even three quarters of the States that the bamster did?

[hillarys cankles]

My own personal opinion is Cruz’s only hope of becoming president is after serving as Vice President.

I don’t see any way he can win a general election.

[factoryrat]

At which point the GOPe congress will decide that he’s not a natural born citizen, because congress makes that decision, not the courts. That opens the door for rubio/JEB/hitlery/bern. But hey, the current campaigns make for great bread and circus for the masses.

[caww]

Foul way to put that....is your mind always in the gutter?

[riverdawg]

“If either Sanders or Hildabeast are the candidate, the whole thing turns against the dems everywhere. They are horrible candidates on the level of Jeb”

Unless she is indicted before the general election, Hillary starts with 42-45% of the popular vote and at least 2/3 of the electoral votes that Obama won. I fear that Cruz will scare off enough moderates/independents to tilt the balance towards Hillary. After 2008 and 2012, I won’t underestimate the strength of identity politics among swing/undecided voters.

[ObozoMustGo2012]

[Foul way to put that....is your mind always in the gutter?]

I suggested nothing “gutterish” in my post. If that is how you are taking it, perhaps you should take inventory as to where YOUR mind is!

[Lakeshark]

There are few identity politics voters that won't see through either of them. Certainly not enough to push them over the top this next election.

I agree, 40+ per cent of America is stupid enough to vote for either of them, but that would mean they would lose in at least 49 states.

They're both bad candidates. Really bad. Jeb bad (and yes, he would get 40+ per cent if he were the nominee). If they had a candidate with a pulse, it wouldn't be either of them.

[riverdawg]

“There are few identity politics voters that won’t see through either of them. Certainly not enough to push them over the top this next election.”

I agree with you about Bernie. He would have no chance in the general election against Cruz, Trump, or Rubio. But identity politics doesn’t help Sanders in the way it helped Obama and would help Hillary.

[usafa92]

Agree 100% with you. The country has moved so far left that the concept of a conservative platform won’t sell right now and Cruz is not the right messenger for it. We are so far gone with social issues such as abortion, gay marriage, transgenderism, nanny state, that running on these issues is suicide. About the best we can shoot for in 2016 is to end illegal immigration, build a wall, create jobs, rebuild the military and hopefully cut spending. That’s why I’m with Trump.

Give you an example. My teenagers were raised in a conservative home. They’ve been subject to political discussions, current events etc and if asked, they would tell you they are republicans. But they see absolutely nothing wrong with gay marriage, transgenders, etc. They are in high school and there are more gay kids and transgender clubs and all kinds of bs that it defies logic. The schools indoctrinate these kids. Id see homework assignments on the environment that was pushing the environmental wacko agenda, history assignments that don’t mention American history, and current events that only mentioned liberals and left wingers as the good people. After awhile, arguing with the school gets you nowhere. My point is, that someone like Cruz who beats the Bible to get Iowans support or talks about conservatism in religious terms is a sure loser in the election. The country has moved past that for now. That is why I believe Trump’s populist approach is what can win right now and will hopefully build a bridge to repairing this country.

[caww]

Don’t underestimate the voters....