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New Hampshire Republican Primary Poll February 1-2, 2016
Harper Polling ^ | 2/3/16 | Harper Polling

Posted on 02/03/2016 9:36:56 AM PST by BigEdLB

Donald Trump maintains a strong lead in New Hampshire, earning 31% of the vote on the Presidential Republican Primary ballot test. Jeb Bush (14%) leads the field in the race for second place, followed by John Kasich (12%) and more distantly by Marco Rubio (10%), Ted Cruz (9%) and Chris Christie (6%). Note: The results from night two of our survey were largely unchanged from pre-Iowa Caucus results on Monday night.

Trump’s advantage increases among likely voters who self-affiliate with the Republican Party (34%, Bush 16%). He leads John Kasich among likely independent primary voters (23%, Kasich 16%, Rubio 12%, Bush 11%) while Trump (20%) and Fiorina (20%) tie among Democrats who say they are likely to vote in the Republican primary.

Although Trump leads in every region of the state, Jeb Bush increases his proportion of the vote substantially in the Boston (18%) and Portland-Auburn (21%) media markets. Jeb Bush (15%) and Marco Rubio (15%) tie for second in the Burlington- Plattsburgh market and Kasich pulls into second in Hillsborough County (18%) and Rockingham County (11%). Trump has comparable leads among both women (28%, Bush 18%) and men (32%, Kasich 14%).

(Excerpt) Read more at harperpolling.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: bush; trump
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To: LongWayHome

Agree. In my mind Rubio is the most insincere fake candidate in the GOP race. I despise Bush, but at least respect that he admits he is for amnesty. Rubio is just an empty suit.

I got a kick out of it when Trump called him a “sweaty little boy” Ha ha!


21 posted on 02/03/2016 9:47:14 AM PST by vmivol00 (I won't be reconstructed.)
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To: BigEdLB

Bush?? 2nd???

Crud.


22 posted on 02/03/2016 9:47:37 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: dfwgator

It’s possible, but Bush is polling terribly all over the nation.


23 posted on 02/03/2016 9:47:59 AM PST by LongWayHome
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To: Texas Fossil

Red Hampshire could be a secret stronghold of Jebbie, and we missed it. People there make awful choices.


24 posted on 02/03/2016 9:47:59 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: LongWayHome

That can change on a dime, especially if the rest of these knuckleheads keep it up.


25 posted on 02/03/2016 9:49:03 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Jebbie has warned all along that he will be the nominee: he is expecting a deadlocked convention that chooses him. Then he will largely stop campaigning and let Mrs. Bill have “her turn”.


26 posted on 02/03/2016 9:50:13 AM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Theodore R.

Guess we’ll see.

It will not change the prospects for Jeb. He can forget the nomonation.


27 posted on 02/03/2016 9:50:42 AM PST by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: CA Conservative

This pollster does not show up in the RCP average so it is
hard to know what their record is like.

****************

Been around since 2012......

http://harperpolling.com/about


28 posted on 02/03/2016 9:50:54 AM PST by deport
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To: Durbin

It’s a poll...and we do not know how it was carried out or what the procedures were for administering it.

The polls this weekend...right up until the caucuses, showed Trump beating Cruz by 4%...and he ended up losing to Cruz by 4%...and 8 point swing.

So...I will wait and see.

Also, when I look at polls now, I take six or eight of them from various organizations and average them.


29 posted on 02/03/2016 9:51:13 AM PST by Jeff Head (Semper Fidelis - Molon Labe - Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: dfwgator

Let me get this straight.

If you are for Cruz, you are really for Yeb!

To take out Rubio?

My head is spinning.


30 posted on 02/03/2016 9:51:25 AM PST by fooman (Get real with Kim Jung Mentally Ill about proliferation)
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To: BigEdLB
Note: The results from night two of our survey were largely unchanged from pre-Iowa Caucus results on Monday night.

So the pollsters are saying that Cruz got no bump from his performance in Iowa. Iowa is irrelevant.

31 posted on 02/03/2016 9:51:57 AM PST by Vision Thing (Cruz may've had an Iowa ground game, but he won't fly over this country.)
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To: Vision Thing

McCain finished fourth in Iowa in 2008, just some perspective.


32 posted on 02/03/2016 9:53:28 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: deport
Been around since 2012......

So fairly new to the game, not much of a track record. Okay, good to know. Like all polls, you need to scrutinize outliers with a critical eye.

33 posted on 02/03/2016 9:54:23 AM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: fooman

Well the one thing you can say about Bush is that he’s been above the fray in the post-Iowa meltdowns we’ve been seeing.


34 posted on 02/03/2016 9:55:25 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: BigEdLB

Outlier would be my guess. Don’t know this firm or their methodology.


35 posted on 02/03/2016 9:55:31 AM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius (www.wilsonharpbooks.com - Sign up for my new release e-mail and get my first novel for free)
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To: dfwgator
Although Bush has experience as a governor and received high marks, his stand on amnesty, preference of Mexico over the U.S., support of Common Core and other reasons make him unacceptable. Rubio likewise is unacceptable. He has no experience, no accomplishments - an empty suit. He supports amnesty and has too many potential scandals.

Rubio with his slick, memorized answers seems more like a cross between Pillsbury Doughboy and a used care salesman than POTUS.

36 posted on 02/03/2016 9:55:35 AM PST by Dante3
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To: McGruff

If we made Alberta our 51st state, would that settle the matter of Cruz’ eligibility? We could give them Vermont and Puerto Rico.


37 posted on 02/03/2016 9:56:10 AM PST by Redmen4ever
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To: Dante3

It’s starting to look like they all are unacceptable. So at least Jeb doesn’t have some experience as a Governor.


38 posted on 02/03/2016 9:57:31 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator

Oops, that should be So at least Jeb does have some experience as a Governor.


39 posted on 02/03/2016 9:57:54 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: McGruff

Actually Cruz was born in Alberta, not Quebec... ;)


40 posted on 02/03/2016 10:01:57 AM PST by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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