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New Hampshire Republican Primary Poll February 1-2, 2016
Harper Polling ^ | 2/3/16 | Harper Polling

Posted on 02/03/2016 9:36:56 AM PST by BigEdLB

Donald Trump maintains a strong lead in New Hampshire, earning 31% of the vote on the Presidential Republican Primary ballot test. Jeb Bush (14%) leads the field in the race for second place, followed by John Kasich (12%) and more distantly by Marco Rubio (10%), Ted Cruz (9%) and Chris Christie (6%). Note: The results from night two of our survey were largely unchanged from pre-Iowa Caucus results on Monday night.

Trump’s advantage increases among likely voters who self-affiliate with the Republican Party (34%, Bush 16%). He leads John Kasich among likely independent primary voters (23%, Kasich 16%, Rubio 12%, Bush 11%) while Trump (20%) and Fiorina (20%) tie among Democrats who say they are likely to vote in the Republican primary.

Although Trump leads in every region of the state, Jeb Bush increases his proportion of the vote substantially in the Boston (18%) and Portland-Auburn (21%) media markets. Jeb Bush (15%) and Marco Rubio (15%) tie for second in the Burlington- Plattsburgh market and Kasich pulls into second in Hillsborough County (18%) and Rockingham County (11%). Trump has comparable leads among both women (28%, Bush 18%) and men (32%, Kasich 14%).

(Excerpt) Read more at harperpolling.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: bush; trump
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Trump: 31
Bush: 14
Kasich: 12
Rubio: 10
Cruz: 9
Christie: 6
Fiorina: 5
Carson: 3
Paul : 3
Gilmore: 0
Huckabee: 0
Santorum: 0
1 posted on 02/03/2016 9:36:56 AM PST by BigEdLB
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To: BigEdLB

Bush and Kasich are in 2nd and 3rd place. Which tells me everything I need to know about New Hampshire.


2 posted on 02/03/2016 9:38:02 AM PST by Durbin
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To: Durbin

God help us all.


3 posted on 02/03/2016 9:38:43 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: BigEdLB

Cruz and Rubio are about to be displaced....by Jeb and Kasich, lol


4 posted on 02/03/2016 9:38:53 AM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: BigEdLB

Hoping this holds.
Bush and Kasich performing well will squelch some of the Rubio on the rise rhetoric.


5 posted on 02/03/2016 9:38:58 AM PST by BlueNgold (May I suggest a very nice 1788 Article V with your supper...)
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To: Durbin

lol

Bush is in 2nd!

If Bush takes 2nd in NH, Rubio’s Iowa surge would be crushed, and we would be back to a 2 man race between Trump and Cruz.


6 posted on 02/03/2016 9:40:07 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, R)
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To: BigEdLB

I suppose this means Jeb and Kasich hang on for at least a few more weeks.


7 posted on 02/03/2016 9:40:31 AM PST by mak5
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To: TexasFreeper2009
If Bush takes 2nd in NH, Rubio’s Iowa surge would be crushed,

Then Bush is portrayed as the "Comeback Kid."

8 posted on 02/03/2016 9:41:04 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: BigEdLB

Anything that kneecaps Rubio is fine with me.


9 posted on 02/03/2016 9:42:18 AM PST by LongWayHome
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To: dfwgator

God help us all.

**********************

LOL.................

Couldn’t help it..


10 posted on 02/03/2016 9:43:11 AM PST by deport
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To: BigEdLB

This pollster does not show up in the RCP average so it is hard to know what their record is like. But the fact that they have Bush in 2nd when all the others have him 4th or 5th makes me wary of their accuracy.


11 posted on 02/03/2016 9:43:16 AM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: dfwgator

They can portray Bush as any “kid” they want, but he will NEVER be the nominee.


12 posted on 02/03/2016 9:43:23 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, R)
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To: LongWayHome
Anything that kneecaps Rubio is fine with me.

Even if it means Bush is back in the race?

13 posted on 02/03/2016 9:44:14 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: BigEdLB
It's next door to Ted Cruz's home state.


14 posted on 02/03/2016 9:44:24 AM PST by McGruff (We're not in Iowa anymore Heidi.)
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To: LongWayHome

Anything that kneecaps Rubio is fine with me.

***************

You being selective about our Cuban hopefuls?


15 posted on 02/03/2016 9:44:39 AM PST by deport
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To: BigEdLB

Bush won’t get near to 14%

Kasich won’t get near 12%

Cruz will do better than 9%.


16 posted on 02/03/2016 9:44:41 AM PST by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: dfwgator

Bush won’t get any meaningful bounce anywhere outside of NH IMO.


17 posted on 02/03/2016 9:45:22 AM PST by LongWayHome
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To: LongWayHome

I hope not. But we need to get Bush out of there ASAP. Rubio can be taken down, but the longer Bush stays in it, the better chance he’s got.


18 posted on 02/03/2016 9:46:40 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: deport

Rubio is a no go for me....I have no problem with Ted.


19 posted on 02/03/2016 9:46:54 AM PST by LongWayHome
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To: BigEdLB
Ideology
Very Conservative: 21%
Somewhat Conservative: 37%
Moderate: 34%:
Liberal: 6%
Not sure: 2%

Now which candidates fit under the Somewhat Conservative / Moderates groups?

Where will the Paul and Huckabee supporters throw their support?

20 posted on 02/03/2016 9:47:03 AM PST by justlittleoleme (Do not be overcome by evil, but overcome evil with good.)
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