Well the RCP ave had Trump up by 4 and Cruz beat Trump by 4. Wonder how far the NH polls will be off.
Nowhere near like Iowa. Only 7 days from now.
Well, there are a couple of things different in NH. I don’t think they have same day registration (Dems changed to Pubs last night to vote against Trump) and voters don’t get in a room where people can canvass to change their minds (Cruz saying Carson dropped out)
Trump should be much more solid in every state but Iowa.
Well the RCP ave had Trump up by 4 and Cruz beat Trump by 4. Wonder how far the NH polls will be off.
Well if true that means Cruz has 16 percent.
There should never be Iowa polling. Every four years pollsters get it wrong. Can’t remember the last time a pollster got it right in Iowa. You can’t poll how many people are going to show up and who’ll they’re going to vote for and you can’t poll how many candidates like Cruz will have his staffers lying about other candidates in the caucus centers. Cruz is low-life snake who pulled out all stops to win Iowa because if he has lost he’d be giving a concession speech after NH, and he still might do that after SC, where he’ll get destroyed. In NH and SC you show to vote, you vote, then you leave. If a poll a week out shows someone leading by 20 or more points they are going to win, it’s who’s coming in second place you need to worry about.