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Iowa Caucus Live Thread
2/1/16

Posted on 02/01/2016 3:07:17 PM PST by markomalley

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To: GoKnow; Bruce Campbells Chin

.
Trump’s rallies didn’t help him in Iowa.

Get a clue.


3,821 posted on 02/01/2016 10:40:10 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: kevao

She WON SIX OF THEM! Clinton wins ALL 6 (SIX) precinct coin flips — Odds: 1 in 64 (1.56%) http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/02/02/sometimes-iowa-democrats-award-caucus-delegates-coin-flip/79680342/


3,822 posted on 02/01/2016 10:41:01 PM PST by drewh
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To: Kickass Conservative

.
Non-issue.


3,823 posted on 02/01/2016 10:41:27 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: NYRepublican72

Just one outstanding precinct on GOP side, somewhere in Johnson County. I suppose it could affect the order: Carly leads Kasich by only 10 votes. I hope there’s a write in there as ‘Other’ is one vote short of ten times Gilmore’s total presently. Depending on the precinct size it could push the total over 187K, currently just 205 short of that.


3,824 posted on 02/01/2016 10:41:52 PM PST by JohnBovenmyer (Obama been Liberal. Hope Changed)
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To: Theophilus

Serious questions;

1.) Do you believe that we are a conservative country in the same way we were when Reagan was elected to office?

I ask this in light of the fact that after 43 years of Roe Wade, and an uncountable number of murdered children, nothing has substantially changed - even with the notorious revelations from Planned Barrenhood ...

I ask this in light of the fact that, following the demonically possessed jurists of SCOTUS gave us both Obamacare and sodomite “marriage,” neither the people nor their representatives rose up in armed rebellion - as they rightly should have; or, at the very least, committed themselves to a national tax strike and work stoppage ...

I ask this for reason that, in spite of those two demonic happenings and the ongoing assault on our liberties - which is being perpetrated by Marxist thugs and their PC enablers - yet the American people have not risen up against these fascist traitors with hell’s fury ...

Add to this the fraudulent banking bailouts, the destruction of our currency, the mathematically irreversible accumulation of debt, etc, etc ...

2.) Within the zeitgeist that clearly defines our post-Christian culture (and I don’t know how any could deny that to be true), do you honestly believe that a man such as Senator Ted Cruz has even a fair chance at winning the presidency (assuming he wins the GOP nomination)?

My point is this: The one sure sign that God is totally disgusted and pissed with his people is when he allows them to fall into the hands of corrupt and evil leaders - both in the ecclesiastical and secular realm ... To be totally honest - in that we get the leaders we deserve - I would not be surprise that we will find ourselves under the boot heel of direct communism - via Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders ... In truth, I believe we have been living under such for a very long time now ... Moreover, if I should be so bold as to completely reveal my thoughts on the matter, the very fact that individuals such as Clinton and Sanders hold any position of power is the most damning verdict against our culture.


3,825 posted on 02/01/2016 10:42:18 PM PST by WTFOVR (I find myself exclaiming that expression quite often these days!)
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To: NYRepublican72

Hitlery goes 5-for-5 in coin tosses in Iowa. Drawing to roughly 3% statistically. She must have made a pact with the devil.

(Ganett, link only)
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2016/02/02/sometimes-iowa-democrats-award-caucus-delegates-coin-flip/79680342/


3,826 posted on 02/01/2016 10:42:54 PM PST by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: NYRepublican72

.
Trump has no leads anywhere.

They were made out of the same MSM baloney as his Iowa ‘lead.’


3,827 posted on 02/01/2016 10:43:42 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: JohnBovenmyer

More likely than not, much ado about nothing in that precinct, but yes, it’ll close in on about 187K depending on size.


3,828 posted on 02/01/2016 10:43:51 PM PST by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: drewh

Sanders Campaign Says It Was Informed By Iowa Dem. Party That Results From 90 Precincts Are Missing

http://freerepublic.com/focus/news/3391689/posts


3,829 posted on 02/01/2016 10:44:17 PM PST by EternalVigilance
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To: editor-surveyor

Polling is polling. It’s not just done by the MSM.

With that said, they did get Iowa wrong. But caucuses are difficult to poll. Primaries are a little more straight-forward.


3,830 posted on 02/01/2016 10:44:52 PM PST by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: covertInLA
I support both Trump and Cruz for different reasons. So either way, it was a good night for me. I do think (unless something changes) that Trump will get the nomination. This is my first post but I have been reading (and donating) for a few years. This vitriol has been a bummer to read for a few weeks. If Cruz took it, well, he was my original choice anyway.

Anybody but the communists.

Well said. I like both candidates too as I believe both are fed up with what is going on in this country and will do what is best for America. I can find myself supporting either one after the chips fall where they may.

CGato

3,831 posted on 02/01/2016 10:49:32 PM PST by Conservative Gato
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To: GoKnow

Trump finished THIRD in all four Iowa counties having schools playing Division I basketball. Rubio won three and Cruz one of those counties with university sized young people concentrations. Also oddly, considering his father’s record, Rand Paul only beat Carson for fourth in one of them, Johnson County. Sounds like young folks at Trump rallies like the party more than the candidate.


3,832 posted on 02/01/2016 10:51:07 PM PST by JohnBovenmyer (Obama been Liberal. Hope Changed)
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To: NYRepublican72

Is it enough for the RNC to push Rubio into 2nd place. I mean stranger things have happened say with Al Franken or Cochran.

Also amazing on Dem side, they’re missing 30 precincts but no worry.


3,833 posted on 02/01/2016 10:52:23 PM PST by Kenny (RED)
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To: Kenny

No, looking at the surrounding areas, you’re probably looking at somewhere between 100-200 votes tops. Shouldn’t change much of anything at the end of the day.


3,834 posted on 02/01/2016 10:55:50 PM PST by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: editor-surveyor

I hope it’s a non-issue, but we aren’t talking about DemoncRat Candidates who own the Media, we’re talking Republican Candidates that the Media despises.

I make a point to tune in my XM to Alan Colmes once in a while to see where the Rats are coming from. They are ready to roll on the NBC issue as soon as the Republican Nominee is chosen.

Whoever gets the nod is who gets my Vote in the General, even Rubio. JEB! would be the hardest Vote for me, but
holding my nose is better than slitting my throat.


3,835 posted on 02/01/2016 11:03:19 PM PST by Kickass Conservative (Get the CDS and TDS Vaccines before it's too late.)
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To: altura

I guess we shall soon see ... I will support either man, but I hold to my contention that Senator Cruz has neither the depth or breadth of demographic support to win the general election. So, on this point, we must agree to disagree. God help us if the GOPe forces Rubio down our throats ... And God help us if you are wrong in your estimation of Cruz’ support. Either way, we end up in irrecoverable destitution - and I do not believe that I exaggerate that outcome.


3,836 posted on 02/01/2016 11:07:34 PM PST by WTFOVR (I find myself exclaiming that expression quite often these days!)
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To: Kickass Conservative
They are ready to roll on the NBC issue as soon as the Republican Nominee is chosen. Whoever gets the nod is who gets my Vote in the General, even Rubio.

Rubio is not a NBC either. He's an anchor baby.

3,837 posted on 02/01/2016 11:10:13 PM PST by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate "Republicans Freed the Slaves Month")
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To: editor-surveyor
As Krauthammer explained tonight, Trump has no growing room.

He is not a likely winner.

That is just bull. The 2016 Super Tuesday will be held on March 1 with a certainty of Trump gaining ground.

Winners-take-most states are those with proportional allocation and a 15 percent or 20 percent threshold to qualify for delegates. Strictly proportional states have proportional allocations with either no thresholds or low ones—typically, 5 percent or 10 percent (Iowa).

Georgia, a winners-take-most state with a 20 percent threshold, illustrates the formidable obstacles the establishment candidates face. Only Trump, with 39 percent, and Cruz, with 29 percent, would qualify for delegates, splitting the state's 76 delegates between them. So far, none of the establishment candidates are close to meeting Georgia's 20 percent threshold.

The Georgia scenario will play out in six states holding primaries on March 1, otherwise known as the SEC Primary. These six states—Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas—will allocate 422 delegates by winners-take-most rules, and all are conservative states in which establishment candidates will likely struggle to meet the thresholds.

The Republican Establishment's Delegate Problem

3,838 posted on 02/01/2016 11:12:28 PM PST by higgmeister ( In the Shadow of The Big Chicken! Trump 2016!)
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To: ROCKLOBSTER

Yes, I have addressed that in earlier Posts.

Same situation as Jindal.


3,839 posted on 02/01/2016 11:21:16 PM PST by Kickass Conservative (Get the CDS and TDS Vaccines before it's too late.)
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To: covertInLA

Should we say, “welcome to the fray?”


3,840 posted on 02/01/2016 11:34:49 PM PST by WVNan
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