Posted on 02/01/2016 6:21:43 AM PST by xzins
A final Quinnipiac poll ahead of the Iowa caucus finds Donald Trump’s support steady at 31 percent while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)97% has dropped 5 points in the last week.
Cruz currently has the support of 24 percent of likely caucus-goers, according to the poll. Last week, his support was 29 percent.
The poll also shows a late increases in support for third-place Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL)79% . The Florida senator has 17 percent support, up from 13 percent last week.
Trump’s current 7-point lead in the poll, released on the day of the Iowa caucus, seems to come completely from the drop in support for Cruz. The poll anticipates a big surge in turnout for the caucus. Trump has an 18-point lead among first-time caucus-goers.
The surge in turnout anticipated by Quinnipiac would change greatly the composition of the electorate voting Monday. If the Quinnipiac assumption on turnout is correct, only around 40 percent of caucus-goers would be evangelicals, a dramatic drop from the previous two caucuses.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
No, there is no such thing as a PURE human being. Even Reagan signed the Simpson/Mazzoli disaster, which led to this mess.
There is no way that the GOP-E will be able to select someone who is a 5, 10, 15% candidate. It IS going to be Trump or Cruz, period. So Ted must stay if he loses, b/c his campaign will be able to educate the people and moderate the progressive’s silly ideas, of which there are many.
Name ONE conservative whom Trump donated to over a socialist throughout the years. The problem we have is that Trump’s frenzied legions do not want to accept the fact that Trump is closer to Clinton than he is to Reagan.
We’ll know tomorrow morning, dangus.
I think Trump is in the lead. As you suggest, turnout is key.
Why not tomorrow #%*
About two weeks ago, Ted Cruz started making mistakes, one after the other. I don’t see how he recovers. I don’t see him winning anything else even if he had taken IA. I still expect to vote for him on March 1, but he may not be in the race by then.
Teddy and the Cruzers better get some more shaming letters hand delivered today. :-)
I assumed from your deep voice that you were a guy! lol Just kidding!
Also, this is a caucus, not simply a poll. Lately, a lot of people are thinking Rubio might be the best bet to stop Trump. But they are still a distinct minority.
The caucus is designed to allow people to see who makes the strongest argument, see who really comes out, and adjust their intention as the evening goes on. As such, it’s VERY important to look at second choices. Rubio’s 2nd choices break 29-19 for Cruz. Carson’s 2nd choices break 21-8 for Cruz.
35% say they would NEVER support Trump. (Bush is 2nd with only 21%, in comparison.) That’s more than half of all non-Trump supporters!
Best way you can interpret these polls is to look for trends. Seemingly, Trump is surging.
We shall see, but winning Iowa isn’t really that important as this isn’t “winner take all”.
The media is hyping this more than I’ve ever seen.
There are some 80% or so of registered voters that don’t caucus. Thus there
are lots of potential if they can be enticed to get to their caucus. The big
question is ‘will they go’? We’ll see around 9pm tonight.
So you’re inferring bad or good weather favors one or another candidate? Why would it not equally affect all of them?
By Sharon Churcher | Friday, 18 Apr 2014 01:27 PM
Real estate mogul and entertainment personality Donald Trump gave $5,000 to Sen. Ted Cruz’s leadership PAC in January, according to newly released campaign records.
The Hill reported that Trump’s donation to the tea party-backed Texas Republican — the maximum allowed per election cycle — is the latest indication that the men are becoming political allies.
The relationship between the pair got off to a bumpy start. Last August, Trump said he wasn’t sure whether Cruz could be president because he was born in Canada.
Read Latest Breaking News from Newsmax.com http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/Donald-Trump-Cruz-donation-PAC/2014/04/18/id/566428/#ixzz3yvwchu1P
Without Cruz and Rubio, Santorum could be running second to Trump. Well, probably not, IA people now seem not to recognize Santorum.
Stumping with Beck was very foolish and it made him look desperate.
The “little people” are always so disorganized that they never figure out they have been had again.
Don’t count out Dr. Carson. He could be a sleeper candidate.
Don’t rule out Dr. Carson. He could be a sleeper candidate.
You realize the Rain, Snow and Ice predictions are cumulatively over 60% and trend colder?
Ever lived in the Midwest?
It’s interesting. Whose supporters will be hardy enough and motivated enough to make sure they get all the way through their caucus?
No Rubio’s. :-)
Yes I posted yesterday that I would not fall down in a dead faint if Carson won. Iowa is a screwy state.
I suspect that Fiorina will probably endorse Rubio or Jeb, Carson I'm not so certain.
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