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The Reason to Believe Donald Trump Will Lose
time.com ^ | Jan. 5, 2016 | James Richardson

Posted on 01/06/2016 8:45:18 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper

...Trump supporters are at best only nominally tethered to the political process. According to those pollsters shrewd enough to ask, few have voted in a general election and fewer still have participated in nomination contests.

The election day toll of this dynamic is already evident in those surveys with respondent controls that screen out all previous non-voters or those who have self-identified as very like to vote this year.

In polls that measure sentiment simply of registered Republicans, Mr. Trump leads the field in most national and state surveys, like Quinnipiac University’s snapshot of Iowa last month. But in those surveys with stricter respondent screens, like those employed by the Des Moines Register, which weeded out respondents who had not previously caucused, Trump trails by double digits.

(Excerpt) Read more at time.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: trump
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Yes.. you’re sure right!

we are so stupid for having Trump.

Gosh, you guys are going to win big, that’s for sure!!

No need to even turn out.

And ESPECIALLY if you run HilLIARy! We’d sure lose if you run HilLIARy.


21 posted on 01/06/2016 8:52:24 AM PST by Mr. K (If it is HilLIARy -vs- Jeb! then I am writing-in Palin/Cruz)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

I haven’t read Time since 1978.

My favorite source for news and commentary is IBD.


22 posted on 01/06/2016 8:52:30 AM PST by HomerBohn (Liberals and slinkies: they're good for nothing, but you smile as you shove them down the stairs.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Plus Obama handed the election to Trump with the gun control EO.


23 posted on 01/06/2016 8:52:30 AM PST by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

I believe Trump is the only candidate that will bring out every dirty thing the Clintons have ever done..and believe Hillary is scared to death of him..Which is good..


24 posted on 01/06/2016 8:53:29 AM PST by PLD
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To: dartuser

Time really doesn’t get it - that The Donald has transformed politics from a process to a movement.


25 posted on 01/06/2016 8:53:33 AM PST by Quality_Not_Quantity (Democrat Drinking Game - Every time they mention a new social program, chug someone else's beer.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Why do these people bother to show up to the rallies. Take a hard look at crowds. And they are growing. It’s like a rock star.

Get up and Dance.

TIME FOR TRUMP 2016
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-v9yQz_Gcb8


26 posted on 01/06/2016 8:53:35 AM PST by RummyChick
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To: Fido969

You are exactly correct with your assessment.
Time was an old-school printed magazine that was last relevant in the mid-1980s.
For whom do they think those voters will cast their ballots after visiting a sports arena with thousands of others?

27 posted on 01/06/2016 8:53:53 AM PST by Blue Jays (Rock Hard, Ride Free)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Thanks for the recon, but really not necessary since it’s Time.


28 posted on 01/06/2016 8:53:54 AM PST by TexasCajun (#BlackViolenceMatters)
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To: Fido969

Time needs to get a Life.


29 posted on 01/06/2016 8:53:59 AM PST by mountn man (The Pleasure You Get From Life, Is Equal To The Attitude You Put Into It)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Just like many of Trump’s supporters in the polls don’t even have to vote.
__________________________________________

??


30 posted on 01/06/2016 8:54:38 AM PST by Artcore
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To: Berlin_Freeper

As I noted elsewhere, the “likely voter issue” is most important in caucus states, less important in closed primary states , and least important in open primary states.

Also, all would be prognosticators would be wise to keep in mind that applying typical voting patterns to an enraged electorate is a recipe for “shocking” vote tallies.

In the end, it will come down, as it always does, to the undecideds. And, despite what every pollster and political savant wishes you to believe, there’s NO way to predicted how undecideds will break.


31 posted on 01/06/2016 8:54:39 AM PST by brothers4thID ("We've had way too many Republicans whose #1 virtue is "I get along great with Democrats".")
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To: dartuser

So. The “seasoned vets” who HAVE been going to previous caucus meetings, who HAVE been previously supporting previous GROPe-selected candidates in previous caucus meetings, who HAD BEEN supporting earlier repubbie candidates ... THOSE do not support Trump (nor Cruz)?

What surprise!

See, it is the NEW caucus supporters who ARE opposing the previous GROPe-selected candidates who ARE supporting Trump and Cruz!


32 posted on 01/06/2016 8:55:02 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Trump is a populist. The supporters of populists are somewhat fickle, but in a way that is not helpful to the GOPe. They tend not to show up if their guy is not selected as the nominee. So, the GOPe has too be stuffed, and Conservative Republicans need to welcome Trump’s populist base. Then, there can be a good win against the Uniparty, whether with Trump or Cruz.


33 posted on 01/06/2016 8:55:30 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (Rubio not voting on OmniSpend is RINO for 'smart'.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper
The Reason to Believe Donald Trump Will Lose

time.com stroking Clinton! ...ahhhh, yanno, the other one, with the ego!
34 posted on 01/06/2016 8:55:33 AM PST by wubjo
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To: dartuser

“Does this really believe that the thousands that show up at the Trump rallies are NOT going to go out and vote for him?”

I am a die-hard Trump supporter, but the same could be said for Romney’s rallies leading up to election day. That’s what worries me about this election, that the butthurt Cruz supporters will sit home and pout rather than do the CONSERVATIVE thing and vote to save our country from its socialist nightmare!!


35 posted on 01/06/2016 8:55:49 AM PST by ObozoMustGo2012
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To: dartuser
"Does this really believe that the thousands that show up at the Trump rallies are NOT going to go out and vote for him? "

Sure. They'll freeze in long lines to see Trump in a rally, but won't sit a spell in a heated room to caucus for Trump. They are delusional.

36 posted on 01/06/2016 8:56:54 AM PST by moehoward
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Here's a blast from the past, regarding the "journalistic integrity" of Time magazine.


37 posted on 01/06/2016 8:57:32 AM PST by Sgt_Schultze (If a border fence isn't effective, why is there a border fence around the White House?)
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Trump supporters are at best only nominally tethered to the political process.

So speaks the political correctness of ruling elitism. Liars and scoundrels.

38 posted on 01/06/2016 8:57:38 AM PST by Jim W N
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To: Berlin_Freeper

You can smell the desperation and fear.


39 posted on 01/06/2016 8:57:53 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (The future must not belong to those who deny the true nature of Islam.)
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To: dartuser
Does this really believe that the thousands that show up at the Trump rallies are NOT going to go out and vote for him?

Time Magazine represents clueless liberal elites...

They really believes people who will stand four hours in the cold to hear Trump speak will not spend 15 minutes driving in their warm car to the polls to vote.

I kid you not - that's how out-of-touch they are...

40 posted on 01/06/2016 8:58:22 AM PST by GOPJ (The MSM's the thug arm of the Democrat Party. They'll keep a lid on anything that might hurt Hillary)
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