Posted on 12/20/2015 7:42:33 AM PST by VinL
Donald Trump, the national front-runner, keeps his big lead in two of the three early states of New Hampshire and South Carolina, but now Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has moved past Trump into a lead of his own in Iowa.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio remains in double digits in New Hampshire and South Carolina, and Governor Chris Christie has now shown upward movement in New Hampshire, doubling his support there in the last month.
The backdrop to all this is a mood of anxiety - both economic and personal security - pervading the GOP electorate in these early states. Nine in ten in all states feel the country is now a more dangerous and insecure place, including 95 percent of Iowa GOP voters who say that, and nine in ten feel the nation's economic system is one that hurts them instead of benefits them. Terrorism and national security are now specifically front-and-center on primary voters' minds: in Iowa, 61 percent say it is their top decision-making criteria for candidates, ahead of the economy; in New Hampshire, 66 percent cite terrorism and security ahead of 28 percent on the economy.
horseracegopiadecember.jpg
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
So then Cruz is up anywhere from 2 to 16 points.
"Use" that.
Cruz/Trump 2016
Oh please. We’ll see soon enough and I’ll going to ping you specifically when Trump takes the Repub nomination.
However, you still have a few days left to dream though.
Trump is taking nothing. He’s never won an election for public office since he was born. Last time he run for president in the Reform Party he went exactly nowhere.
Hey smoke, I have to get what you’re smoking. It must be some good stuff. LoL.
I am happy to accept your abject surrender. Good boy!
Libs always come home and vote for the Democrat when the media tells them. I bet your friend winds up voting Clinton in Nov. 2016.
As I mentioned in another post, my lib friend is going for Trump mainly because he (my friend) has finally woken up to the dangers of illegal immigration.
But...I suspect that he can be swayed, if only Hillary would promise him enough freebees.
Yes, usually the media will sway them back a couple of months before the election. We can't rely on these type of voters.
But if your friend is worried about illegal immigration then Cruz over Hillary is the way your friend should vote, in such a matchup.
The ground and pound is paying off for Cruz.
yeah I ran OH numbers on 2012 also.
The difference in that race was Franklin County. COMPLETELY out of whack and the only place in OH where Obama supposedly picked up 60,000 votes while losing votes or maintaining the status quo in the other urban areas.
If I had to pinpoint one country in the entire country where voter fraud may have been an issue, Franklin County would be #1 followed by NC as a whole.
Cool I found my link from 4 years ago from Google Docs. I don’t remember the password but these were the estimates I had. I thought I had a file where I updated the actual results, but can’t find it but when I went through it I know Franklin County actuals were way, way higher than projected. That is what caused everyone to miss
Trump +27% over Cruz.
Trump has this race in the bag, just like Clinton had the race in the bag against Obama in 2008!
RCP Polling Averages Democrat Party December 2008
Pew research 12/19 - 12/30 Clinton +20
FOX News 12/18 - 12/19 Clinton +29
Cook/RT Strategies 12/15 - 12/17 Clinton +12
NBC/WSJ 12/14 - 12/17 Clinton +22
USA Today/Gallup 12/14 - 12/16 Clinton +18
Rasmussen 12/13 - 12/16 Clinton +13
Reuters/Zogby 12/12 - 12/14 Clinton +8
National polls this far out, when people are not tuned into the race and focusing on the holidays don't mean much for predicting who will win the primaries
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html
Not long now we will see soon enough.
I was referring to the early voting where we were seein sharp declines in every county, with increases in GOP ballots requested. The problem was with the “independents” which weren’t indies but Dems who just did not vote in the meaningless Dem 2012 primary, and who by law were auimatically re-listed as “independents.”
More likely Trump/??? or Cruz/??? in 2016.
That is correct. Cruz campaign received $31 million from just one rich donor, Robert Mercer. Cruz is well funded to carry out his master’s orders.
Why not nominate Rubio? He is the only one beating Hillary in your table of data.
That's not a valid example - Romney was declared the winner and got all of the media accolades, victory speech, fanfare, etc. When it was eventually revealed Santorum was the actual winner it was reported, but he got none of the benefit of election night victory and everything that comes with it, therefore there was no change in momentum.
I tried that before, but Joe refused to share what he was smoking.
Your glaring error is thinking Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are similar candidates.
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