Given its track record, how important is IOWA, in reality?
Given the dynamics of the race, if Trump wins then Iowa predicts the next President and it’s pretty much a formality given Trumps current lead in other states. If Cruz wins, it’s ground shaking but then NH and NC become major factors in the race. Just my two cents.
Iowa has special importance this year, because it will give the infotainment complex eight days to talk down Trump before NH.
Iowa is not a primary. There are no voters. "Winning" it is meaningless - just ask President Santorum or President Huckabee.
But it's not ideal Trump territory, like NH is.
I expect that Cruz will get close to Trump in Iowa, and I expect Ben Carson to do well there, also. If Trump doesn't finish first (and I don't expect him to), the collective media orgasm will be overwhelming - until real voters get into the picture on February 9.
Probably tells you who’s not going to win. Romney, the total establishment candidate, had won virtually nothing and was just chugging along with his own personal funding, liberal backers and people like Rush Limbaugh destroying the only serious non-GOP-e opposition (Gingrich). But then he sailed in after the other candidates had destroyed each other and Rush had eliminated the competition. So I don’t really think it matters who wins Iowa and I think it’s somewhat of a waste of time to worry about it.
No matter who wins Iowa, unless somebody new emerges in the next debate and gets people behind him, the GOP candidate is going to be Bush.
It serves as a filter to weed out the also-rans.
It has a fleeting psychological value.
If Trump comes in 2nd, the scumbag media will have a field day.
But New Hampshire comes so quickly after Iowa that the leftist celebration will be shat on like bricks from a high rise.