Posted on 11/25/2015 12:15:34 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Ted Cruz is now the flavor of the week. He has risen dramatically in polls, both nationally and in key states like Iowa, and now many pundits are saying he's the man to watch. Maybe so, but that vastly underestimates the challenge the very conservative senator from Texas still faces.
Cruz's rise is almost entirely due to his finally getting strong levels of support among the most angry and the most conservative elements of the party. If they were the party, it would be looking pretty good for Ted. But they are not, and therein lies Cruz's challenge. Call it the Cruz Ted bears.
The data are clear that Cruz is consolidating the party's Tea Party and very conservative factions. Three national polls in November break Republicans into three ideological categories, dividing conservatives into "very" and "somewhat" conservatives. They all show Cruz's support comes primarily from that first group. Quinnipiac has him with 27 percent among very conservatives, 7 percent among somewhat conservatives, and 6 percent among moderates. McClatchy/Marist has him at 21-8-5 among those three groups, and Public Policy Polling (PPP) has him at 29-10-1. The ideological right likes him a lot, while the center and the left of the Party are at best lukewarm towards him.
The same trends are evident if you break voters into Tea Party supporters and non-supporters. Quinnipiac has Cruz getting 30 percent of Tea Partiers compared with only 13 percent overall. PPP has him getting 26 percent of Tea Partiers but only 10 percent of those who say they are not.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Can you ever imagine, in your wildest dreams, any such analysis of the Democrats?
Imagine
-Hillary only get support of the strident angry feminist wing of the Democrat party which makes up only 33% of the Democrat voter base. She fairs poorly with center-right and male Democrats.
"One should not write Ted Cruz’s obituary quite yet. A month is forever in politics, and we have many more forevers to go before the nomination is decided. But as my forthcoming book shows, these factional trends within the GOP are longstanding and deep. Cruz isn’t done for by a long shot, but the path he has chosen to take is simply the harder one to climb if he wants to reach the GOP’s summit." Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/427613/ted-cruz-republican-primary-polls
Come on dude, Henry’s mom was the coffee lady of the 60’s.
All the cred he needs.
Ted Cruz is Ronald Reagan. Landslide victory by him will shock the gop libs.
Did this idiot write this hogwash before or after Marco Rubio suggested going to war directly with Russia?
They said Cruz couldn’t win his Senate seat, too. He ran against the establishment machine in Texas and beat the establishment candidate in the primary and won in the general by 14%.
Never count Cruz out.
More from Mr. Olsen:
FOUR EASY STEPS TO DEFEAT TRUMP
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/424613/donald-trump-defeated-four-steps?target=author&tid=8374
Why Kasich Matters and Could win
LOL.
This article is simply tone deaf to the reality of the POTUS contest this year. Neither Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio can win the general election against Hillary Clinton....for the basic reason that neither one of them has enough overall votes to best Clinton!!!
The only candidate that can best Clinton is Donald Trump!!! Why? Simple & basic...he has the votes. Without a long winded rant...here’s the facts...Trump not only has Republican/Conservative voters solidly in his camp...but, he has Independents, Democrats, industrial union members, Hispanics and a smattering of Africa-Americans supporting him, etc.!!! He reaches way out of the Republican Establishment norm and attracts voters from all stripes of politics for basically the same reason....they love and believe in America!!!
This is fact, no matter what that moron, failure, Karl Rove utters!!! I would suggest that Ted Cruz shoot for the VP spot on the Trump ticket...because I believe that Trump would serve eight years & Cruz would serve the second eight....which is exactly what this country needs today As for Rubio & Jeb Bush.....they are wasting their time!!! They are both toast, no burnt toast...no matter how the fool that penned this article tries to lay it out!!!
I apparently didn’t watch enough TV in the 60’s......
Yes, Only a McCain, Dole, Romney type can lose this thing. If only the tea party, Christians and conservatives would get behind Jeb, we would have a shot - just like McCain, Romney and Dole. And even if the moderate wins the nation still loses!
No more wimps! Liberty is a struggle that must be fought for in each generation! This our chance to see the tree of liberty refreshed by a most strident conflict or to see it wither to perish from the land. This is not the time for cowards and girly men, but the time for champions of liberty to go to war and fight to get our country back from the hands of the liberal oppressors. I want candidates that believe in liberty and will pledge their fortunes, their lives and their sacred honor for the cause of liberty. We are blessed that divine providence has given us such a patriot.
GO Cruz!
...yes, and a rabid supporter of someone else does their bidding by posting it as legitimate commentary. Maybe someone NOT among the more intelligent and aware......just maybe.....:)
NR is RINO central anymore.
I have posted ad nauseam to Cruz supporters that Ted Cruz is too conservative for the average GOP voter. The average GOP voter is middle of the road or slightly right of center. Much more into Trump territory. This is why in many national polls Cruz is still at 7%-8.5%.
Same goes for independents. Cruz is iffy in a general election. Trump is much more likely to win and win big in the general election.
Carson, Rubio, Fiorina in Best Positions to Win: NBC/WSJ Poll
Henry Olson
Rubio Surging – Leads Among Non-Outsiders
Henry Olson
Trump people are hysterical.......to listen to and just in general.
And the Piece de Resistance!
Why Kasich Matters (and Could Win)
Henry Olson
Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/420057/why-kasich-matters-and-could-win-henry-olsen?target=author&tid=8374
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