Posted on 11/21/2015 10:08:37 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Here he comes!
Come the result of the Iowa caucus so many will be surprised when Cruz takes the whole show, and the surprise will continue throughout remaining caucuses, no surprise to me and his avid supporters, he is a clear and present danger to the entire progressive liberal democrat/rino communist uni-party.
As far as the Poll’s he’s content with where he is at and will remain so right up until he blasts the competition just like he did in his Senate campaign, just laid back no fretting or panic, steady as you go always consistent.
Not if you use registered and likely primary voters.
[Carson is losing his support among evangelicals.]
As more and more disturbing articles come out about CARSON’s views and statements, his once solid base of Evangelicals is eroding and shifting to TED CRUZ!!!
Hard to keep from swerving into the dumbbell.
I rather doubt hit jobs by the media have that much influence on Dr. Carson’s supporters. People so easily manipulated wouldn’t gravitate toward Dr. Carson in the first place.
I suspect the answer is more likely found in an another article on this site (that I found after posting my question of the reason), is one of national defense or ISIS or some more in-depth concern.
I think that Reuters is an average of other polls. It is slow to move.
Well, yeah.
I think Reuters is actually a tracking poll. It has been consistent with the others only as far as Trump’s numbers.
Much as I HATE to direct anyone to HuffPo, they have an outstanding polling tool that’s way better than using the RealClearPolitics average, which selects only a very few and God only knows how they select them.
It’s here: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-gop-primary
It tracks every conceivable poll out there, and has a tool that lets you select/deselect the date range, voting filters (likely voters, all adults, registered voters), pollsters, etc.
I only like polls with Likely Voter or at least Registered Voter Screens. “All Adult” polls are useless.
There have been 7 polls in the last month with likely or registered voter screens. The average of those 7 polls is:
Trump 27.7%
Carson 18.8%
Cruz 11.9%
Rubio 11.9%
Jeb! 5.5%
Carly 3.2%
Huckabee 3.1%
Christie 3.0%
Kasich 2.4%
Paul 2.4%
Looks about right to me. Trump is holding steady. Carson is slipping. Cruz and Rubio are continuing a long, slow increase.
It’s going to be a 3 man race: Trump, Cruz and Rubio.
Hank
There is a lady that I see at church who is a Carson fan. Though she likes Cruz too.
What amazes me with this whole poll thing is i dont know a soul that has Carson as their 1st pick...NOT ONE!!!....is there anyone here on FR that picks Carson 1st??????
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Carson dropped from number three on my list down to about number six after his comments on pyramids/Joseph/grain. That was on the same level as the Hank Johnson/Guam tipping comment.
Johnson was rightly ridiculed for his comment. Carson does not get a pass.
No one on FR that I’ve seen. I do know a lot of people outside of FR like him. A lot. I don’t think the polls have been overly (just partially) cooked.
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A lot of people like his easy going, laid back manner of speaking. For me it has a sedative effect, so much so that I’m asleep before he finishes his comment.
Another one who had a similar effect on me, although not quite the same style as Carson, was Henry Kissinger.
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