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America's $12 Trillion House of Cards
Townhall.com ^ | October 13, 2015 | Stephen Moore

Posted on 10/13/2015 9:13:31 AM PDT by Kaslin

What is the price tag for the audacious Obamanomics experiment? How much has it all cost -- the bailouts, the debt, the stimulus plans, the printing of cheap money, Obamacare and all the rest?

The answer to that question is just shy of $12 trillion. That's the sum of the $8.3 trillion added to the national debt since Sept. 15, 2008 (the day Lehman Brothers filed bankruptcy) for all the government spending and the $3.5 trillion of easy money flushed into the economy by the Federal Reserve through the initial monetary expansion -- QE1, QE2 and QE3.

That's nearly $12,000,000,000,000. There's 12 zeroes in 12 trillion, in case you're counting.

This gargantuan number helps explains why Americans aren't buying into this "recovery" -- and why they flatly reject Barack Obama's proclamation that everything is so much better than when he entered office.

It explains why a majority of Americans think the economy is headed in the wrong direction, even as the government statistics on jobs and inflation suggest improvement.

It explains why Obama's policies were so thoroughly dismissed during the midterm elections earlier this month.

Maybe Americans are still clinging to old-fashioned virtues, but their common sense tells them that you don't borrow and inflate your way to prosperity.

They hear the $12 trillion time bomb ticking and can't quite understand why Janet Yellen, chairwoman of the Federal Reserve, is doing an end zone dance these days. She might as well have borrowed George W. Bush's celebratory banner proclaiming: "Mission Accomplished."

Maybe Americans are a bit overwrought with pessimism. But there is no denying that the scale of government spending paid for with IOUs and the printing of money is nearly unprecedented in American history. No one knows how the story ends. But in other countries it hasn't been a pretty picture.

On the borrowing front, economists can argue until the cows come home whether the debt "stimulus" helped bump up growth when the money was spent. But now that the money has all been doled out and flushed through the economy, there is no stimulus left, just the hangover effect of $8 trillion in unpaid bills. They have to be paid eventually.

Government debt isn't inherently evil. It depends on what you use the money for.

We borrowed trillions (in today's dollars) to win World War II. It was worth it. We borrowed another $2 trillion during the Reagan years to finance winning the Cold War and rebuilding the private economy with growth hormone tax cuts.

What do we have to show for Obama's $8.3 trillion in debt? Solyndra? More than 46 million Americans on food stamps? Obamacare's dysfunctional website?

Amazingly, we've opened up the floodgates on borrowing even at a time when we've severely slashed the military budget.

The question none of the Obama enthusiasts dare answer is what happens if and when interest rates start to drift back upward. Each single percentage point rise in rates causes the U.S. deficit to rise by nearly $1.8 trillion over 10 years. So a 300 basis point rise in rates -- nothing more than a return to normalcy -- would mean more than $5 trillion rise in federal deficits.

If that happens the debt servicing costs would grow astronomically and interest payments would become the biggest expense item in the budget.

The $3.5 trillion in quantitative easing has become the crack cocaine of Wall Street. The high rollers are betting the farm that Janet Yellen will be able to pull back in the nick of time.

Maybe. But all we can go on is historical experience. When other nations have tried to print their way to prosperity, the story hasn't had a happy ending. For Argentina, Bolivia, Mexico and others, easy money policies have crashed state economies and ended in misery. The poor have been hurt the most.

The ruling class keeps advising us that we should stop worrying and be happy.

The problem for the architects of these policies is that the workers and voters aren't buying it. They don't think any of this new math adds up. And history proves more often than not, they are right.


TOPICS: Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: 0bamacare; 0bamanomics; uscrisis

1 posted on 10/13/2015 9:13:31 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Left/Progressive government is absolutely impossible without a fiat currency and the Federal Reserve. its the foundation of all their plans.

Conservatives will lose every major social and political battle as long as technocrats and central planners have control over the largest market of all - the market for money.


2 posted on 10/13/2015 9:21:36 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: Kaslin

The only comfort I get is knowing when the dust settles, we have the right to hang everyone of them from the gallows.


3 posted on 10/13/2015 9:27:18 AM PDT by Salvavida (The restoration of the U.S.A. starts with filling the pews at every Bible-believing church.)
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To: Kaslin

But libs say we haven’t spent enough to get the economy going!


4 posted on 10/13/2015 9:28:38 AM PDT by ealgeone
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To: Kaslin
Just as Clinton could not have balanced the budget(or end welfare as we know it) without the Republicrats, neither could Obama increase the the debt and deficit by a whopping factor without them.
5 posted on 10/13/2015 9:32:43 AM PDT by deadrock (I is someone else.)
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To: Kaslin
Half of Americans don't balance their checkbooks, have no grasp of economics, think printing money creates "wealth," buy lottery tickets as their retirement plan, lease their personal vehicles, max out all their credit cards, have no equity in their homes, think the "rich" are too stingy, expect to be provided a guaranteed living just for living, think every thing should be free, want their student loans forgiven . . . .

None of this registers with them.

6 posted on 10/13/2015 9:33:01 AM PDT by Oratam
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To: Oratam

Most of those same people think somehow everyone is doing better financially in this country than ever before. They don’t even realize they have a negative net worth or what that means. Their definition of what they can afford is if you can borrow the money to buy it and put the down payment on a credit card you can afford it.


7 posted on 10/13/2015 12:36:08 PM PDT by RipSawyer (Racism is racism, regardless of the race of the racist.)
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To: Kaslin
At one dollar a second, guess how long it would take to pay back 1 of the Trillions?

Don't have a big enough calculator, I will answer it for you, 33,000+ years, just for the first Trillion at $1 a second!!

8 posted on 10/13/2015 1:20:02 PM PDT by thirst4truth (America, What difference does it make?)
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