I notice a trend of “Syria on the verge of collapse” stories swirling everywhere in the last month.
It really has the feel of a propaganda storm designed to try to create a reality on the ground on behalf of ISIS,,,oops, I mean the moderate sunni Syrian opposition.
This doesn’t smell right,
Many U.S. analysts say the Obama administrations hopes of building up moderate forces, not the Islamic State, to fight Mr. Assads government are too optimistic and that Washingtons leverage with Russia, Iran or the various jihadi groups now dominating the war is limited at best.
I just dont think theres about to be a recalculation by the Russians and the Iranians, said Joshua Landis, a longtime Syria analyst who heads the Center for Middle East Studies at the University of Oklahoma. Theyre going to hang on and hope Assad gets through this without collapsing so theyll have a piece of the pie at whatever negotiating table may one day come to the fore.
The standard American goal is they would like to reach some kind of balance where Assad feels the need to negotiate and leave Syria, but hes not going to leave. Its just not going to happen, said Mr. Landis. The trouble is that there are so many moving parts to this war and the U.S. has almost no leverage at this point.
Syria is definitely the biggest bad outcome of the administration Wizards of Smart idea ‘Arab Spring’. Ironically Israel may be the ultimate gainer by the descent of much of the Arab Middle East into protracted chaos and anarchy.
“described to The Washington Times as a tipping point, with various jihadi forces gaining ground against Mr. Assads government forces in several parts of the nation.”
And we are on the side of the jihadis. If this is story anywhere close to true, (I suspect it isn’t) Syrian Christians should flee to safety quickly before Assad falls and Obama and McCains side wins.
Also has come out and I do look at the stories with a skeptical eye but concede it is possible are the stories that Assad/the Regime could use poisonous gases on a large scale. They have “reportedly” bombed on a large scale.
IF Assad is pushed out, he helped Al Qaeda in Iraq along with Iran in fomenting trouble there because they wanted trouble for the USA, Assad has avoided bombing ISIS while bombing other rebels. Putin and Assad have helped ISIS, Russia has funded the war there.
That story on the Alawites posted here the other day had them saying that yes, Assad has pushed them into war. It is only a crafted myth that Assad is a friend of the Christians, Assad is only protecting himself.
http://en.qantara.de/content/syrian-christians-and-the-assad-regime-assad-is-only-protecting-himself
These headlines “Syria reaches tipping point” have been making the rounds for the last couple years.