Posted on 06/23/2015 4:53:01 PM PDT by Kaslin
Donald Trump — yes, that Donald Trump — is edging every single GOP candidate running for president in an early primary state except for one, a new Suffolk University poll finds. He’s polling at 11 percent overall in New Hampshire, and thus only trails the nominal frontrunner, Jeb Bush, by three percentage points:
The results are mystifying, in part because The Donald’s favorables are deeply underwater (37/49), and in part because only 60 percent of the poll’s 500 respondents want him on-stage debating other candidates. Nevertheless, the director of the university’s Political Research Center, David Paleologos, provides a plausible explanation for why Trump, in the summer of 2015, is an early favorite to win the Granite State.
“Jeb Bush continues to lead, but Donald Trump has emerged as an anti-Jeb Bush alternative in New Hampshire,” he said in a statement. “Many of those who like Trump are voting for him, and although many more dislike him, the unfavorables are split up among many other candidates. It’s the politics of plurality.”
That is to say, because there are so many other candidates in the running — and 13 percent of self-described conservatives already back him — the presidential longshot is able to sit comfortably in second place with only 11 percent of the vote. The trouble with his celebrity status and early lead, however, according to Paleologos, is that he may not be able to grow his base of support, especially as other candidates begin spending more and more time in the state.
“Trump’s controversial candidacy is being constructed in a way that gives him visibility and exposure in the short term but may also limit his growth in the long run, like a glass ceiling,” Paleologos said.
If true, this means Trump will only lose supporters over the course of the campaign, not gain them. Realistically, too, no one actually believes Trump has the political acumen — or appeal — to win the nomination. But could he win the New Hampshire primary, I wonder, given the fact that he’s a billionaire, entirely self-funded, and off to an early lead?
Doubtful, of course, but I guess we’ll see.
This is on account of Trump being, at this particular time, not an eater of egg rolls. Almost all fortune cookies are made in New York.
Yikesw
The political class will never get another vote from me again. I doubt that I'm alone in that sentiment.
Exactly to whom is Jeb the Front Runner? NOBODY I know or communicate with feels that way at all. More Media ‘big-lie’ theory on display.
1 in 10 is not a “place”. None of these are “places”. You can’t claim anything at 11%. Regardless of who you want for the nomination this headline is silly.
He’s getting a lot of liberal help.
I keep track of my liberal cousins and they’re all encouraging their liberal friends to screw with the GOP polls.
New Hampshire is a “cross-over” state—subject to DemoRat plotting and treachery.
Donald Chump will never get anywhere. He can’t beat Walker or Bush. He can’t even muck things up. Just a putz.
Good for you, Donald! Go get ‘em.
Born June 14, 1946 in Queens, New York, NY (Jus Soli)
Parents were
Frederick Christ Trump, born October 11, 1905 in Queens, NY, died June 1999 in Queens, NY
Mary Ann MacLeod, born May 10, 1912 in SCOTLAND, died August 7, 2000 in Queens, NY. Arrived in US October 5, 1935. Naturalized as a US Citizen March 10, 1942.
Both parents were US Citizens at the time of his birth (Jus Sanguinis)
Donald Trump is a NATURAL BORN CITIZEN
what a sad commentary on this country
I don’t know one person who is going to vote for Jeb.
He was a democrat until 2009.
Guess who Trump’s favorite president is, Hillary’s husband.
There are a lot of things I admired about Bobby Kennedy. Doesn’t mean I would have ever voted for him.
What does your feelings for a lefty senator from a half century ago, have to do with Donald Trump who was a democrat during Obama’s election, choosing Bill Clinton as his favorite of the recent presidents?
No, it's not mystifying at all since Trump announced and has been plain talking about what's going on. Pretty fast in only 5 days.
I think we are all grown up enough to allow each other to disagree without rudeness, don’t you? My point is that you can very well like or even admire someone without being like them. But I feel sure you knew what I meant.
It is name recognition at this point. That only last a brief while.
Seriously, you aren’t making any sense, and I wasn’t rude.
What IN THE WORLD, does your feelings for a lefty senator from a half century ago, have to do with Donald Trump who was a democrat during Obama’s election, choosing Bill Clinton as his favorite of the recent presidents?
Trump liked his politics, Trump is a pro-abortion, anti-gun, hustler, probably doing this to help Bill Clinton’s wife.
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