[kabar]

Most of the ethnic Hispanics and Asians in the US, along with most of the recent immigrants from Africa and India, are going to morph into the American conservative demographic within a generation.

The facts just don't support your assertion. They are not morphing into conservatives. If anything, just the opposite is happening. In the case of Cuban immigrants, their children are less conservative and more liberal. Most immigrants are natural Democrats. They support Big Government and use welfare to a greater extent than the native born.

We have just had the two largest decades of immigration in American history. Since 1990, over 30 million legal permanent immigrants have entered this country. It approximates the population of Canada. In 1970 one in 21 was foreign born; today it is one in 8, the highest in 90 years; and within a decade it will be one in 7 the highest in our history. In 1970 there were 9.7 million foreign born. Today it is 41 million.

During the period 1921 to 1970 we averaged 195,000 legal immigrants a year. Today, we bring in 1.1 million annually along with 640,000 guest workers. This does not include the 300,000 children born to illegal aliens who automatically become citizens thru birthright citizenship. And there are 12 to 20 million illegal aliens here. Milton Freidman said you can't have free immigration simultaneously with the welfare state. We have both. The great waves of immigration in the period 1880 to 1920 came before the establishment of the welfare state.

Comparing the immigration of the Irish, Italians, and central Europe is bogus. First, there was an end to this mass immigration given time for them to assimilate. Second, welfare was not an alternative. Third, they were not provided with affirmative action and minority business set asides giving them preference over the native born. Fourth, today's immigrants are able to maintain contact with their home countries via technology and transportation. Many hold dual citizenship. Finally, the waves of immigration since 1970 have been persistent and increasing. There is no end.

You echo the same pathetic GOPe crapola I have heard from the GOPe in Northern Virginia. They try to explain the continuing losses as just a matter of getting our message out and outreach. They don't get it. VA is now trending solid blue as Fairfax County changes demographically with one-third of the population foreign born. If you want to look at the canary in the coal mine, look at CA to see our future.

[Zhang Fei]

In the case of Cuban immigrants, their children are less conservative and more liberal. Most immigrants are natural Democrats. They support Big Government and use welfare to a greater extent than the native born.

As "Hispanics", Cubans qualify for and benefit from “racial” quotas, despite being generally white. Asians don’t, and are, in fact, disadvantaged by those quotas. Jews aren't generally hurt by racial quotas because they get to swim in the massive "white" pool. Their high IQ's mean they edge out non-Jewish whites. That is why supporting Democrats doesn't really hurt Jews from either a school admissions or a workplace recruitment perspective. Bottom line is that as racial quotas that discriminate against Asians become a bigger sticking point, and the white Democratic leadership champions blacks and Hispanics because they are bigger demographic categories, Asians will swing towards the GOP.