Posted on 04/16/2015 5:48:41 AM PDT by KeyLargo
What Is the State of the U.S. Gun Business?
By Marcelo Prince and Carlos A. Tovar
After several years of strong sales to civilians worried about new regulations, big U.S. firearms makers have recently reported lower sales. The overall number of American households with guns is declining..
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.wsj.com ...
I have a very hard time believing that 31% number. I’d like to see the methodology of their survey.
Of course, I don't have to worry about it, because in November of 2008, all of my guns were lost in a tragic boating accident that occurred during a night crossing of the deepest part of the Chesapeake Bay.
Survey Drone: "Hi, we're conducting a survey. Do you have a gun in the house?"
Aragorn: "Of course not! I do not have a gun in the house!"
Thats the number of people REPORTING they have a firearm under an increasingly hostile police state that wants to take their guns. It doesn’t mean that the number of guns in the household have gone down at all. In fact I bet they are almost double that.
I agree.
Any moron that admits to a survey taker on the phone that they have a gun in the house needs their head examined.
The way I read the second graph is: Gun prices finally rose too high in late 2012/early 2013. Momentum kept the final numbers for 2013 up, but sales dropped in 2014 because most manufacturers and dealers had priced themselves out of the market.
I don’t know for sure whether that’s the case, but it’s now 2015 and the prices I’m seeing advertised on new guns are lower than I’ve seen in 6 or 7 years.
Yep - the main line is enough to wonder about the data being used: "After several years of strong sales to civilians worried about new regulations, big U.S. firearms makers have recently reported lower sales. The overall number of American households with guns is declining."
That. would say that, after really high sales to households, that because the households aren't buying as much equates to fewer households has guns - as if lower sales = evaporation of guns.
Also, as pointed out by another poster, the gun-grabbing climate makes it more likely that folks would "understate" whether they had guns in the household.
Published Research "Trends in Gun Ownership in the United States, 1972-2014.", Smith, T.W. and Son, J., 2015
Download the PDF
Posted: 4.8.2015 10:01AM
And gee, I think we know someone that was a teacher at the University of Chicago...
That explains it then.
Perhaps they can take a survey of gun ownership in the city then especially among gang members.
How about the estimated 90% of NY gun owners who haven’t complied with the SAFE Act? Sure, they’re going to answer a stupid poll honestly.
“Would you admit having a gun in your house to some stranger taking a survey?”.......
BINGO! No way in hell would anyone with a brain tell someone they have guns in their homes. (I lost all of mine when the boat turned over).
Uhm, I don't believe that the local Homies were surveyed by the University of Chicago....
My youngest son had a physical exam last week. His new doctor (took over the practice from a very good but now retired doctor) asked if we had guns in the home. My son’s response, without hesitation, was “of course not”. He’s getting dinner at the restaurant of his choice tomorrow night, and we’re getting a new family doctor before the end of the year.
If they bought from any FFL, and filled out BATFE Form 4473, the gov’t already knows they have it.
/rolleyes
“Would you admit having a gun in your house to some stranger taking a survey?”
Now, where were those two articles, one about courts permitting police to misrepresent themselves to gain access to information without a search warrant, the other about how many unregistered “assault weapons” there are in NY in defiance of the SAFE act...heck yeah surveys show the sudden disappearance of 2 million guns from households in New York alone...
I “make the rounds” of a number of local gun stores and it does seem that sales are down. I think there are a couple factors. The piss poor economy. A certain degree of saturation of the market after several huge buying years. The fact that there is still some ammo scarcity, particularly .22.
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