Posted on 04/11/2015 5:32:02 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
In most presidential primaries, there is a candidate who cannot win. All the other candidates want him to finish second because they are sure that if they can get him one-on-one in a runoff, they will defeat him. The victim must have enough intense support to be able to do well in crowded fields — well enough to make the second round. But he must have sharp limits to his potential vote that doom him to failure.
In 1976 it was George Wallace. In 1988 it was Jesse Jackson. In 1992 it was Jerry Brown. In 1996 it was Steve Forbes. In 2000 it was John McCain. In 2004 it was Howard Dean. In 2008 it was Mike Huckabee (who, like McCain, may do better in his second incarnation). In 2012 it was Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum.
In the Republican nominating process of 2016, it is Rand Paul. There’s no question that Paul has an active and passionate base that will earn him votes throughout the primary process. So he is well equipped to make the second round. But, once there, he cannot win.
Particularly as foreign events continue to remind us that we live in a turbulent and threatening world, Paul’s brand of neo-isolationism cannot attract a majority of any electorate in any election. His views seem to predate 1941. While his proposals to reduce the power of the Federal Reserve and his crusade against crony capitalism will win adherents, his support for legalization of drugs, though popular on campus, will turn off voters. His advocacy of a gold standard is either very much behind the times or very much ahead of them. His tepid opposition to abortion and same-sex marriage will appeal to nobody.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
He can win is he changes his forign policy to include Israel and a few other nations as allies worth fighting for, Israel being the most important of all. Those who love Israel are blessed and those who hate Israel are cursed. Simple but most have yet to realize that the one true God is the God of Israel and His son is Jesus Christ our Lord, Saviour of all who believe how he was crucified for our sins and rose the third day to everlasting life for our justification by reconciling us unto the God of Israel, Our Father in Heaven.
Coming from Dick Morris? A guaranteed Rand Paul win!
Is this the same Dick Morris who up until the day before the 2012 election said that Romney would win in an unprecedented landslide? Yes, I thought so.
As far as I am concerned the candidate that ‘can win’ will be the one who can eviscerate the media agendas with style. Rain ain’t that guy.
I actually do get the sense that Rand wouldn’t mind bowing out after collecting enough money to fund a better PAC.
Ditto. He’s 50/50 at best, which is pretty much worthless!
Agreed. Morris has NO credibility.
I predict that there will be a bumper crop of incredibly confident yet amazingly worthless prognosticator predictions!
HA!
I love your two articles.
Nice one!
Morris might have picked up some type of disease from sucking on toes. It has really messed him up...more.
I predict that there will be a bumper crop of incredibly confident yet amazingly worthless prognosticator predictions!
I predict that there will be almost none!
I have a lot of other predictions but I’ll post them later in the thread. They will be even MORE valuable than this one.
And you can BANK on it!
Worthless? HA!
;-)
Popsicle toes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d_taHc57Qe4
That is why they call him DICK.
He cannot win as a Republican.
It is possible (but not likely, IMO) for him to be elected in the four-way race I think we will have in November 2016.
LOL :-)
I can’t believe I watched that whole video...
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