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A Weird Discrepancy In The US Economy Has Begun To Work Itself Out ... In A Bad Way
BI ^ | 4-5-2015 | Sam Ro

Posted on 04/06/2015 7:28:21 AM PDT by blam

Sam Ro
4-5-2015

Since the beginning of the year, the pace of growth in numerous US economic indicators deteriorated significantly, so much so that many of these metrics even fell short of economists' expectations.

Weirdly, the pace of jobs growth had been resilient even amid unexpected plunges in key measures like retail sales and durable goods orders, reports which reflected weakness in both consumers and businesses.

However, this weirdness has begun to work itself out.

On Friday, we learned the US economy added just 126,000 jobs in March, missing expectations for 245,000 new jobs. You have to go all the way back to December 2013 to see a number that low. Even worse, the prior two months worth of job creation was revised down by 69,000.

(snip)

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bhoeconomy; business; economy; jobs; retailsales
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1 posted on 04/06/2015 7:28:21 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

how... “unexpected”

DRINK!


2 posted on 04/06/2015 7:30:58 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: blam

Article talks about increase in personal savings ...

Maybe this is a yearly event where tax refunds get electronically inserted in peoples accounts and sits there as ‘savings’ until the recipient decides how to spend it.

Maybe this is nothing but another smoke and mirrors.


3 posted on 04/06/2015 7:32:35 AM PDT by George from New England (escaped CT in 2006, now living north of Tampa)
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To: blam

So savings is destructive to the economy. Savings does push down the the numbers chosen for reporting. Without savings, though, The economy must grow at ever slower rates until it goes into terminal decline, if it is not there already. Savings is the capital for future expansion. Expansion that does not come from savings is what is called, without understanding the connection, bubbles, and inflation. Savings makes for smaller numbers but real that describe actual expansion rather than the fantasy numbers of inflationary bubbles.


4 posted on 04/06/2015 7:34:48 AM PDT by arthurus (it's true!)
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To: blam

The discrepancy is in how the BLS uses numbers for categories not really applicable to how things really are.

Additionally, media reporting every bad turn of statistics as “encouraging” is downright deceitful and political.


5 posted on 04/06/2015 7:35:20 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: blam
Weirdly, the pace of jobs growth had been resilient even amid unexpected plunges in key measures like retail sales and durable goods orders

Well, if you understand that the Obama Administration has been lying to artificially pump up job growth numbers, then the discrepancy isn't "weird."

6 posted on 04/06/2015 7:35:50 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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To: blam
On Friday, we learned the US economy added just 126,000 jobs in March, missing expectations for 245,000 new jobs.

Was this "unexpected"?

7 posted on 04/06/2015 7:35:53 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: KC_Conspirator

“Was this “unexpected”? “

Only for those that think happy days are here again. Some FED regions are projecting 0% growth in the second half of the year. The sputter that was may be about to tank.


8 posted on 04/06/2015 7:39:48 AM PDT by DonaldC (A nation cannot stand in the absence of religious principle.)
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To: DonaldC

We are coming up on 7 years of bad economy. We all know who is to blame.


9 posted on 04/06/2015 7:41:19 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: blam
On Friday, we learned the US economy added just 126,000 jobs in March, missing expectations for 245,000 new jobs. You have to go all the way back to December 2013 to see a number that low. Even worse, the prior two months worth of job creation was revised down by 69,000.

Since the prior 2 months were revised down what are the chances that the low 126,000 is not really lower. We know these phony numbers never get revised up.

10 posted on 04/06/2015 7:42:09 AM PDT by Starstruck (If my reply offends, you probably don't understand sarca only ones we can gesm or criticism...or do.)
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To: George from New England

***where tax refunds get electronically inserted in peoples accounts***

I wish this had happened! The state, where we filed, sent us DEBIT cards as refunds!


11 posted on 04/06/2015 7:42:23 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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To: George from New England
No, it's not. There are $12 TRILLION sitting on the sidelines because of lack of confidence in Zero and his destructive policies. This is one reason the stock market will not fall for a very, very long time. Every time there are bargains, a small portion of the $12 trillion jumps in.

The main way you can see that people are saving more or spending less is in the slow housing market, which has yet to come anywhere near where it was before the crash.

12 posted on 04/06/2015 7:43:00 AM PDT by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: George from New England

“... sits there as ‘savings’ until the recipient decides how to spend it.”

Not trying to decide on ‘HOW’ to spend it, but rather people are sitting on their dollars until they decide ‘IF’ they’ll spend it. It’s part of the collective Conservative moratorium on ALL discretionary spending.

For MYSELF (and MANY Conservative relatives/friends) I am spending on absolutely NOTHING but necessities.... No repairs, No replacements for what’s broken, No upgrading around the house, No new car , No entertainment, No travel, etc....

THAT will remain the policy at MY house until/unless a Conservative gets into the WH!


13 posted on 04/06/2015 7:43:02 AM PDT by SMARTY ("When you blame others, you give up your power to change." Robert Anthony)
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To: KC_Conspirator

George Bush!! Right? (Sorry, shameless SARC )


14 posted on 04/06/2015 7:44:15 AM PDT by DanielRedfoot (Creepy Ass Cracker)
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To: arthurus

Well, savings means that people are awaiting conditions and/or leadership that build confidence. The money doesn’t go away. Keynes was 100% wrong in blaming the Great Depression on too much savings. It was lack of confidence in Hoover and the potential impact of the Smoot-Hawley tariff, combined with Fed deflation.


15 posted on 04/06/2015 7:44:24 AM PDT by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: DonaldC

Doubt it. If there is even a hint that the Dems are finished in 2016, you’ll see an explosion like nothing since the 1980s. With $12 trillion in investment capital sitting on the sidelines, Reaganomics will reappear with a fury.


16 posted on 04/06/2015 7:45:30 AM PDT by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: KC_Conspirator

Coming up is the Summer of Recovery 7.0.


17 posted on 04/06/2015 7:46:14 AM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: SMARTY

Same here... I refuse to participate until an adult is back in the WH


18 posted on 04/06/2015 7:46:51 AM PDT by DanielRedfoot (Creepy Ass Cracker)
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To: blam

Will the MSM be able to continue the charade through Nov 2016? Its crunch time.


19 posted on 04/06/2015 7:47:03 AM PDT by skeeter
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To: DanielRedfoot

Oh of course! If I were a coach of a losing team or a company president that had 6-7 straight losing years, I would be fired.


20 posted on 04/06/2015 7:52:20 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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