Posted on 03/06/2015 10:16:44 AM PST by SeekAndFind
The only poll that counts is Election Day.
What percentage of the Israeli vote is Palestinian?
Collaborators are always on Israel’s heels.
Don’t think the speech was about the elections in Israel, in spite of what O-oh’s administration thought and pushed.
Well .. the media in America lied and lied and lied about the polls in the 2004 election .. and after it was over, there were 4,000,000 more votes for Bush than the left was planning on.
Don’t count Bibi out just yet. The public knew that what he said was true .. but it may take them a few days to assimilate the information .. because many of them may not have heard all if it before.
Besides, Obozo has his minions spewing propaganda just as they do here in the U.S. in an attempt to sway opinion.
Yep
The US voters had a death wish in 2012. Will Israel this year?
Most of this may as well be in Hebrew for me. Is Bibi favored to win?
Are you making a crude joke about the holocaust? I didn’t understand your comment.
I think that whatever government follows the election, it will be a coalition government; so you have to lump together parties to get to a plurality or majority. That usually doesn’t happen in these articles, as you have to have detailed information on each party’s stance and likelihood of coalition partnership. Just my sense of what this article can’t do.
That is true and to paraphrase Michael Savage the half that needs shovel are oven-ready Jews.
Israel has a complicated electoral system. There are no districts; everyone in the country votes for a political party, and each political party gets a percentage of the seats in parliament equal to its percentage of the vote. The result is that no party ever wins anything close to a majority, and every government in Israel's history has been a coalition.
The current polling shows the moderate left (Zionist Union [the article uses its Hebrew name, "HaMachane HaTziyoni"] will get more votes than the moderate right party [Netanyahu's Likud]. But the problem is that there aren't enough other parties that would give ZU a parliamentary majority, even if it aligns with all of the hard-left parties and all of the centrist parties.
Further complicating the picture is the Arab parties (running as a joint party this year), who will probably get 10% of the seats, and they will not join any coalition with any of the mainstream Jewish parties, even ZU.
Netanyahu's current coalition is with the centrists and the hard right, but it looks like he will have a hard time putting that same coalition together again. The deciding factor will then be the Jewish religious parties. They tend to prefer the rightist parties to the leftist ones, but have in the past been willing to deal with anyone who will give lots of government funding to their religious schools and to exempt ultra-Orthodox religious students from the military draft. That last demand is very unpopular with the left, but also very unpopular with some segments of the right who see such widespread exemptions as a national security issue.
Netanyahu's current coalition doesn't include the religious parties, but if Likud loses seats to ZU, he may have to form a coalition with the religious parties to get a majority-- except that will in turn endanger his ability to include some of the centrist parties in his coalition. Alternatively, he might have to form a grand national unity coalition with ZU and the centrists, excluding the hard right, hard left and religious parties. But neither Netanyahu nor ZU really wants that.
Bibi will win by a slim number and have to get a splinter party to join with to rule. The polls showing him behind are iffy as political polls in Israel have been unreliable in the past. Israelis are not likely want to face a nuclear armed Iran with BiBi’s opponent in charge.
It doesn’t matter. He will go down in history for telling the TRUTH for a change.
It doesn’t matter. He will go down in history for telling the TRUTH for a change.
He will have to get many splinter parties in his coalition to rule (see my post #16 in this thread). The current polls show Likud at between 22-24 seats; even if he does much better than that, he needs 61 for a majority.
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