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Petroleum refinery outage in California highlights markets’ quick price reaction
Energy Information Administration ^ | FEBRUARY 27, 2015 | Energy Information Administration

Posted on 02/28/2015 7:40:48 AM PST by thackney

On February 18, an explosion and fire occurred at ExxonMobil's refinery in Torrance, California. The Torrance refinery, the third-largest refinery in Southern California, has about 20% of the region's fluid catalytic cracking capacity and is an important source of gasoline and distillate fuel oil supply for Southern California.

Unplanned refinery outages can have noticeable effects on liquid fuel markets, disrupting supplies of gasoline and distillate, particularly in regions that are tightly balanced, such as the West Coast (defined as Petroleum Administration for Defense District (PADD) 5). When refineries undergo planned maintenance, they make arrangements for alternative sources of supply to ensure that obligations are met. Upcoming planned outages are examined in EIA's Refinery Outages report, released February 26.

However, the sudden loss of production during unplanned outages can sometimes take days or weeks for markets to adjust. As a result, unplanned outages often result in a reduction in supply that causes prices to increase, sometimes dramatically. The severity and duration of these price spikes depend on how quickly the refinery problem can be resolved and how soon supply from alternative sources can reach the affected market.

Bracketed by the Pacific Ocean and the Rocky Mountains, the mainland portion of the West Coast region (PADD 5) is relatively isolated from other U.S. markets and located far from international sources of supply, so the region is dependent on in-region production to meet demand. Additionally, California's more-restrictive gasoline specifications limit the availability of supply from other markets. Mainland PADD 5 has three distinct supply/demand centers near Seattle and the Canadian border, as well as San Francisco and Los Angeles in California. As a result, moving product to Southern California requires longer lead times.

West Coast product markets reacted immediately to the situation at the Torrance refinery. Spot prices in Los Angeles (LA) for CARBOB (California Reformulated Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending) gasoline increased $0.22 to $2.02 per gallon (gal) between February 17 and February 23. Spot CARBOB prices increased from a $0.25/gal premium above the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex) Reformulated Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (RBOB) front month futures contract, a standard pricing basis for gasoline, to $0.41/gal above Nymex over the same time.

This rapid price response is not unusual and is similar to what happened following past unplanned outages. West Coast supply disruptions in 2008, 2009, and 2012 caused spot price spikes that led to higher retail prices. As with previous disruptions, prices should stabilize as more information about the severity and duration of the expected outage becomes available.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; energy; gasoline; refinery; refinerystrike; royaldutchshell; strike; torrance; unitedsteelworkers; usw

1 posted on 02/28/2015 7:40:48 AM PST by thackney
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To: thackney

Gas is back to normal, it went up about a dollar.


2 posted on 02/28/2015 7:43:07 AM PST by ansel12 (Palin--Mr President, the only thing that stops a bad guy with a nuke is a good guy with a nuke.)
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To: thackney

Gas Prices Soar in California as Supply Shrinks
http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/gas-prices-soar-california-supply-shrinks-29282189

Average retail gas prices in the state have surged 25 cents a gallon in less than a week, from $2.98 per gallon for regular on Monday to $3.23 per gallon on Friday. That caps a run that saw the price of regular unleaded go up 60 cents per gallon since Jan. 30 as refineries prepare to shift to a summer blend of fuels....

The situation underscores the frustrating complexity of the gasoline market in California, where state environmental regulations mandate a specialized blend of fuel that isn’t used anywhere else in the U.S.

Because of that, California is economically isolated and can’t easily or quickly purchase fuel from outside the state in a crisis....

A unit of the Exxon Mobil refinery in Torrance that’s critical to producing California-grade gasoline exploded on Feb. 18, causing a fire and stopping new production there while the state investigates. The blast injured four contractors and rained a fine white ash on nearby homes and cars. State air quality regulators confirmed last week that the ash was not toxic.

At the time, another Tesoro oil refinery in Martinez, in Northern California, wasn’t producing oil due to labor unrest.

The two facilities combined make up 17 percent of the state’s crude oil processing capacity, said Gordon Schremp, a senior fuels specialist with the California Energy Commission....


3 posted on 02/28/2015 7:44:05 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: ansel12

Yeah....2.79 for regular in Oregon again


4 posted on 02/28/2015 7:45:21 AM PST by goodnesswins (I think we've reached PEAK TYRANNY now.....)
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To: thackney

The petroleum market at the retail gas pump level is like a model rocket.

Pump prices go up quickly but parachute down slowly.


5 posted on 02/28/2015 7:45:57 AM PST by Iron Munro (Mark Steyn: "fundamentally transformed" is a euphemism for "wrecked beyond repair.")
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To: ansel12
Not every, or even most places, but California saw a large increase.


6 posted on 02/28/2015 7:47:05 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: goodnesswins

It’s about $3.30 in San Diego.


7 posted on 02/28/2015 7:48:53 AM PST by ansel12 (Palin--Mr President, the only thing that stops a bad guy with a nuke is a good guy with a nuke.)
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To: Iron Munro


8 posted on 02/28/2015 7:49:49 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney
If CA wants to talk about Gas prices lets talk about the .22-cent carbon tax
on each gallon.
9 posted on 02/28/2015 7:50:24 AM PST by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
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To: goodnesswins; MaxMax

Oregon is getting the fraudulent carbon tax soon. Another green movement fraud implemented by Kitzahaber and his con artist live in worst lady. He’s out of office because of green fraud but the legislature is going to push it through anyway. It’s a democrat thing.


10 posted on 02/28/2015 8:01:13 AM PST by Cold Heart
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To: Cold Heart

Yes.... I know.....Oregon dems want us to be bottom of the barrel...


11 posted on 02/28/2015 8:04:16 AM PST by goodnesswins (I think we've reached PEAK TYRANNY now.....)
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To: thackney

“[California] Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.” - H. L. Mencken


12 posted on 02/28/2015 9:22:22 AM PST by kiryandil (making the jests that some FReepers aren't allowed to...)
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To: goodnesswins
Yeah....2.79 for regular in Oregon again

Nice! It's 3.29 to 3.59 for regular here in Orange County,CA.

13 posted on 02/28/2015 9:47:37 AM PST by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: thackney

I love the Liberals here whining about this. It was the lead story on the local News last night.

They hate Big Oil and Vote for any Politician that is an Envirowack, but when they get hit in the Wallet, look out.

When Gas Prices dropped, they were the first to give Lord Obama credit. Now, it’s those Evil Oil Companies fault that prices are going up.

When they whine, just tell them they can avoid all this by living in a Cave or buying their own Oil Company and Refinery.

Wouldn’t it be great to live in a world where reality didn’t exist? LOL


14 posted on 02/28/2015 9:55:59 AM PST by Kickass Conservative (If you think the Mulatto Marxist is bad, just wait until the Menopausal Marxist shows up.)
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To: ansel12

Didn’t Brown impose a fifteen cent gas tax in 1/1/2015 ?.


15 posted on 02/28/2015 11:26:08 AM PST by Vaduz
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To: Vaduz

Something like that.

I would like to see gasoline at 77 cents a gallon, but in California we pay 77 cents per gallon, just in taxes.

http://dailycaller.com/2015/01/07/ca-imposes-a-global-warming-tax-for-fuel-on-top-of-gas-taxes/


16 posted on 02/28/2015 11:55:03 AM PST by ansel12 (Palin--Mr President, the only thing that stops a bad guy with a nuke is a good guy with a nuke.)
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To: Mastador1
It was $1.99 @ a month ago😐
17 posted on 02/28/2015 12:54:47 PM PST by goodnesswins (I think we've reached PEAK TYRANNY now.....)
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To: Kickass Conservative
I love the Liberals here whining about this. It was the lead story on the local News last night.

They hate Big Oil and Vote for any Politician that is an Envirowack, but when they get hit in the Wallet, look out.

When Gas Prices dropped, they were the first to give Lord Obama credit. Now, it’s those Evil Oil Companies fault that prices are going up.

The thing to point out to the “liberal” is the excruciatingly obvious point that gasoline costs less at a gas station than anywhere else.

Anywhere away from a gas station, you have to go to a gas station to get fuel to carry to where you need it. It is only the oil company which keeps the price of liquid fuel below $200.00 a gallon or something.


18 posted on 02/28/2015 1:13:58 PM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion ('Liberalism' is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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To: ansel12

I live in LA and see the gouging by Brown every day taxes is all he knows.


19 posted on 03/01/2015 8:25:51 AM PST by Vaduz
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