Posted on 11/23/2014 12:31:09 PM PST by Tailgunner Joe
President Obama's executive actions on immigration threw gasoline on the fire of border politics — and nowhere is it burning hotter than in Nevada, where incoming Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) is gearing up for a tough reelection.
Obama chose the Silver State, which has proportionately more illegal immigrants than anywhere else in the country, to begin a tour aimed at winning support for his decision to stop deportations for as many as 5 million people.
His first shout-out in a Friday speech at a heavily Hispanic Las Vegas high school went to Reid, who has been emphasizing his support for immigration reform in general and the president’s decision in particular, while at the same time eying a potential challenge from popular Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval (R).
The election might be Reid’s toughest, especially if Sandoval is the opponent. Reid’s approval ratings are underwater, hovering in the low 40s in the few recent polls of Nevada. His best hope of winning reelection is to galvanize the state’s rapidly growing populations of Hispanics and Asian Americans. Immigration reform presents him with his best chance to do so.
Reid described Obama’s immigration announcement as “great news for families in Nevada and across the country” in a Thursday night statement, adding that the president’s decision “will not only keep families together, it will enforce our immigration laws in a way that protects our national security and public safety.”
Nevada’s Hispanic population has more than doubled since 2000. Hispanics now make up more than a quarter of the overall population and, in 2012, accounted for more than 15 percent of the state’s eligible voters. Asian Americans make up 8 percent of the state’s population. Fully 7.6 percent of Nevada’s population consists of illegal immigrants, the highest figure of any state in the nation.
Reid has long been a champion of immigration reform, and leaned heavily on Hispanic voters in his tough 2010 reelection battle.
Now, allies past and present believe Obama’s executive actions could help him replicate that achievement.
“This effort should help Sen. Reid in 2016… No one appreciates more than Sen. Reid the power of the Hispanic vote. After all, it played a key difference in him eking out a victory in 2010,” said former Reid communications director Jim Manley. “It's important to note he's also fully committed to this cause, which is why it's great the president is starting off in Nevada.”
But this past month’s elections showed Democrats can’t bank on demographics alone. Sandoval, a Hispanic moderate, romped to reelection against token opposition with 70 percent of the vote. His coattails flipped the state legislature to the GOP and took out Rep. Steve Horsford (D-Nev.) in a heavily Democratic district that President Obama had won by 10 points in 2012.
Sandoval is far and away the first choice among state Republicans looking for a credible candidate to challenge Reid. If he ran, he might well start off the race as the favorite. But the chances of him getting into the race are less than 50-50, many political observers believe.
Sandoval voiced measured criticism of Obama’s executive actions, noting he supports comprehensive immigration reform as a principle but disagrees with the president’s move on procedural grounds.
He argued that true solutions must come through Congress and that the use of executive power gives “false hope to the millions of people across America who will continue to wait for a permanent solution.”
That’s a sharp break from the rhetoric other Republicans have used, painting Obama as a monarch or emperor, and accusing him of breaching the Constitution. It’s also a shift from the more hardline stances Sandoval himself took in his 2010 race. The move to the center, if it continues, could make it harder for Reid to attack him on immigration in a potential Senate battle.
If Sandoval decides against a bid, other possible GOP contenders include outgoing Nevada Lt. Gov. Brian Krolicki and his soon-to-be successor Mark Hutchison. Reps. Joe Heck (R-Nev.) and Mark Amodei (R-Nev.) have said they’re not interested in a race.
Whoever his opponent turns out to be, Reid will have to fight hard to win another Senate term.
“I think Reid is an underdog and a serious underdog for reelection, but don't count him out,” said Nevada politics expert Jon Ralston. “The Hispanic vote here is critical. It dropped off the face of the earth two weeks ago. If Reid doesn't get very high turnout among Hispanics, he's in big trouble."
are RATS even capable of saying something that isn't a lie?
As long as the reid machine has the vegas unions in his pocket, doubtful that anything will change.
I really don’t give a damn what happens to nevada after what seems like 400 years of Reid.
Why do Mexicans abandon their families?
Sandoval, a Hispanic moderate, romped to reelection against token opposition with 70 percent of the vote. His coattails flipped the state legislature to the GOP and took out Rep. Steve Horsford (D-Nev.) in a heavily Democratic district that President Obama had won by 10 points in 2012. Sandoval is far and away the first choice among state Republicans looking for a credible candidate to challenge Reid.Trouble is, he won't do it.
No. Not since 1972.
“great news for families in Nevada and across the country”
Your going to be out of work and crime will go up.
It is interesting how Nevada was where Obama chose to announce his EO plan.
Nevada was, at one time, a border state. There are some Mexicans who intend to take back land that once belonged to the Mexican government.
Sandoval sounds like maybe he would be a minor improvement on Reid. We might be better off with Reid to kick around in the minority.
Nevada is mostly a huge wasteland. There were never that many Mexicans living in this state before it was a state. If the immigrant population took over Nevada it would revert to the dried up cesspool that it always was.
Sandoval is a RINO.
“Trouble is, he won’t do it.”
Why would we want an R senator who is a moderate in favor of comprehensive immigration reform? That sounds like a net-negative. At least Reid doesn’t give “bipartisan” cover to bad laws. He just votes for the bad laws from the git go.
Rand Paul's immigration speech...The Republican Party must embrace more legal immigration.[Posted on 03/19/2013 7:04:07 AM PDT by Perdogg]
Unfortunately, like many of the major debates in Washington, immigration has become a stalemate-where both sides are imprisoned by their own rhetoric or attachment to sacred cows that prevent the possibility of a balanced solution.
Immigration Reform will not occur until Conservative Republicans, like myself, become part of the solution. I am here today to begin that conversation.
Let's start that conversation by acknowledging we aren't going to deport 12 million illegal immigrants.
If you wish to work, if you wish to live and work in America, then we will find a place for you...
This is where prudence, compassion and thrift all point us toward the same goal: bringing these workers out of the shadows and into being taxpaying members of society.
Imagine 12 million people who are already here coming out of the shadows to become new taxpayers.12 million more people assimilating into society. 12 million more people being productive contributors.
Rand Paul calls on conservatives to embrace immigration reformLatinos, should be a natural constituency for the party, Paul argued, but "Republicans have pushed them away with harsh rhetoric over immigration." ...he would create a bipartisan panel to determine how many visas should be granted for workers already in the United States and those who might follow... [and the buried lead] "Imagine 12 million people who are already here coming out of the shadows to become new taxpayers...[Posted on 04/21/2013 1:52:42 PM PDT by SoConPubbie]
[but he's not in favor of amnesty, snicker, definition of is is]
Nevada was never under Mexican control, but it bumps up against land that was.
I personally think Obama was sending a message by making his announcement there: Mexicans have a right to California, Arizona, Texas, and New Mexico.
Many Mexicans have been taught that this land was “stolen” by the USA. Many students have been taught that in our public schools as well.
Nevada was part of alta California and thus Mexico
You’re right. I have been told by my former students from Mexico that they were taught that the American Southwest is Mexico stolen by the Americans. However, not one of them wanted it to become Mexico again. Unfortunately, there are plenty of others who do.
The ever affable hairy screed needs to GO>>>>>>>>>. Hard to say who might run but supposedly Gov Sandoval says he isn’t going to run. We’ll see next year when the big time lyin’ begins.
Ok I’ll take your word for it..
And what’s more, those lousy gringos stole the part with all the paved roads.
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