Posted on 11/03/2014 7:51:12 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Partial transcript as follows:
STEPHANOPOULOS: You might remember Nate Silver from 2012. He's the forecast from fivethirtyeight.com. And his statistical take on the presidential election was dead on, correctly predicting how all 50 states would break. He's inspired all kinds of imitators. This time around, all of them are predicting a big election for the GOP. The New York Times giving the Republicans a 70 percent chance of retaking the Senate. Huffington Post at 74 percent, and the Washington Post puts GOP chances at a whopping 94 percent. Let's hear from Nate himself. Thanks for joining us, Nate. Saw your post this morning, 72 percent and climbing for Republican takeover.
SILVER: Yes, we saw some new polls this morning in states like Georgia, Kentucky, that have further good news for the GOP.
Looks, it's still a close election. You have six or seven or eight races that can go either way. But like that poll in Iowa last night, which, as you mentioned, is one of the most reliable polls in the country. All these races are being held in purple or red states too. So the bar isn't that high. The polls are clearer now that the GOP will -- will probably win the Senate. We can bet a 73, 74 percent chance right now.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
What will change if they do?
This is encouraging.
However, if true, the more important stat will be whether or not the new congresscritters will act as Republicans or as RINOs.
Little Steffie’s heart must’ve been shattered to hear that news.
With Ernst picking up 6pt over her average with that poll, I’ve decided to add 5 points to every R candidate’s average. Doing so nets us 10 seats.
Optimistic, but not impossible.
Yep, there’s a 26 percent chance that the Dems will steal it.
The Republicans will win until the recounts.
“However, if true, the more important stat will be whether or not the new congresscritters will act as Republicans or as RINOs.”
... but you repeat yourself.
Hopefully things will be different this time...but too often a change in party control just means different pigs will be slobbering at the trough.
If the GOP wins this time, they need to make some bold moves and drive real change. If they simply support Obama’s agenda, then I think the mask will have dropped.
The races I am watching are NH and NC. If the Pubs. can take those two it will be a Democrat disaster night.
Nate Silver was the most accurate pollster in 2012.
Let’s see if his luck continues this cycle...
I’m pessimistic as well.
Obama will go full Mussolini, and the Gopers will fear opposing him because they’ll get called “racist”.
One single thing that could change would be bills not dying in the Senate. The zero would be forced to veto bills. I’d like to see a hundred on his desk. You the end of January.
He doesn’t do polls but analyses the data. “Big data” is his gig. And he’s very very good at it.
Nate Silver is on the money.
But I expect the Left to put its fingers in its ears and shout the statistics are liars.
Its just too funny.
CodeToad: 81.234549876% change GOP will take the Senate.
If he goes full Mussolini, and if the GOP allows it, then the third box of liberty has closed, and there’s only one left.
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