Posted on 10/29/2014 4:06:02 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
In the contest for U.S. Senate in North Carolina, Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan, 43%, and her Republican challenger and state legislator Thom Tillis, 43%, are in a dead heat among North Carolina likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or have voted early. Six percent are undecided, and 6% of likely voters with a candidate preference say they might vote differently.
Hagan and Tillis maintain their support among their respective party’s base. However, Tillis leads Hagan among independents likely to vote. A gender gap also exists. Hagan has a 10 point advantage among women likely to go to the polls while Tillis is up 11 among men.
(Excerpt) Read more at maristpoll.marist.edu ...
After 08 and 12 I don’t buy that logic. But it is reassuring that this reflects what Tillis campaign strategist said earlier today, so I’ll accept . ..that they are tied for now.
It’s never good for an incumbent to be below 50%
Good. I plan on breaking the tie on Tuesday.
Too many northeast liberal transplants in NC now. I think NC is now forever purple, sadly.
Lots of push polling for this race-I’ve been called by the liberal poll companies many times. One of the companies was getting very annoying, wanting to know under what circumstances would I finally vote for Hagan. I finally said that I wouldn’t ever vote for Hagan even if Jesus himself came down & told me to. Even the pollster had to laugh.
Conventional wisdom is that the undecideds break for the challenger, but that was turned on its head in 2012 when a large share of the undecideds went for Obama.
In any case, an incumbent Rat sitting at 43% is good to see.
If he wins this race, it is a BFD.
Go vote early for Tillis, my friend.
Nope. I live here and you’re wrong.
Yes, the GOP will win.
Good for you!
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