Posted on 10/29/2014 10:11:45 AM PDT by PROCON
The midterm elections are one week away. Here are five reasons that Republicans are set to do much better in seven days than the polls indicate today:
1. Democrats are already playing the blame game. Josh Earnest, the presidents spokesman, told the press corps last week that the White House was not to blame for Democratic losses. But over the weekend, the New York Times reported that was precisely what Senate Democrats were preparing to do. Political campaign professionals are like squirrels in the fall: When they start packing up their nuts early, you know its going to be a long winter.
2. The generic ballot is tilting heavily Republican. When I worked for then-House Speaker Denny Hastert, we were thrilled if we tied the Democrats in this basic question because we knew it usually skewed slightly toward the other team. The Real Clear Politics average shows the GOP with a three-point edge.
3. Democrats have no message. They cant attack the tea party because the tea partyers lost in the primaries. They cant run with President Barack Obama because he is toxic to swing voters. They cant run against the president because that will disappoint their base. They cant run on accomplishments because they dont have any to speak of. Their basic strategy, at least in the Senate, is to run people with famous last names, in an election year dominated, on both sides of the aisle, populists.
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.wsj.com ...
BFL.
Aint gonna happen
The Democrats have no message...?
And the Republicans DO?
The only reason it’s not a blowout, as it should be, with the current state of the Union, is that the GOP has no verbal message.
Everyone knows they are pro amnesty, pro obamacare, pro Obama.
If the republicans do win the senate, and that is an if, then the battle will begin.
The GOP RINO wing will be racing to DC to assist the one with his agenda, which is the same as theirs.
Cornyn is already seeking an amnesty mandate
So Democrats have no message. What exactly is the Republican’s message? According to John Cornyn who is running for re-election as a Senator in Texas it’s their plan to pass amnesty if they gain a majority. What we knew all along but now he’s advertising it.
Lack of message hasn't hurt the Republicans.
Is he factoring in voter fraud?
Like Roberts & SCOTUS & obamacare, Roberts & SCOTUS & homo’marriage’, Romney in 2012, POTUS & amnesty, a repube senate will not happen. Americans, suddenly, have a profound aversion to anything resembling a democracy. Too many passwords, emoticons, apps and such.
IF it happens, it will be because people are sick of the Democrat incompetence. It won’t be because of the Republican political hacks. But, guess who you’ll see the day after taking the credit?
Here’s an idea. Quit telling us how many people vote Republican. We know that every two years. Give people a reason to be excited about voting Republican.
I really don’t care if the Republicans squeak out a win this year only to get crushed in 2016. And I don’t see much long-term strategic thinking in the Republican leadership.
I think so.
Even with the usual fraud it has to be close enough for it to matter.
Real World: 51-47-2
Bttt
And five reasons they (potentially) won’t meet expectations:
1) Vote fraud - the Democrats can make close races toss-ups and toss-up races wins by getting a few extra percent in manufactured or uncaught ineligible votes.
2) Ground game - the Democrats are masters at turning out the low-information voters through a variety of means of varying legality. From offering cigarettes to busing folks around. (Ties in to #1.) Republicans are notoriously poor at turning out the “meh” voters.
3) The media will do whatever they can to sway the election in the final hours, whether actual stories they’ve been sitting on or stuff that they just simply make up out of whole cloth, there will be a steady drumbeat against any and all Republican candidates, even if the messages are contradictory.
4) The GOP is called the “stupid party” for a reason. They’ve stayed the course surprisingly well so far, but they’ve still got a week to blow it.
5) The milquetoast candidates the GOP has pushed in this cycle don’t generate a lot of enthusiasm. This is purely a “not Obama” election and a poorly-timed random event that temporarily improves public opinion of Obama could completely ruin this strategy.
What state is he running in, and for what office?
I’ll believe it Tuesday night. Till then, meh.
1 Reason they won’t: FRAUD
>> What exactly is the Republicans message?
“We want to be in power, so WE get to choose which special interests to favor, which areas of the peons’ lives to regulate, and what areas of government to grow.”
The republicans aren’t winning anything. The democrats are loosing. Just what has the republicans offered to be for?
Well then stay home.
Everyone here is so sure that the Dems are going to win everything. God only knows why you guys are even bothering to vote.
It’s like far too many people on FR are praying for a lose so they can have their wild conspiracy theories confirmed.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.