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5 Reasons Republicans Will Beat Expectations on Election Day
wsj ^ | Oct. 28, 2014 | John Feehery

Posted on 10/29/2014 10:11:45 AM PDT by PROCON

The midterm elections are one week away. Here are five reasons that Republicans are set to do much better in seven days than the polls indicate today:

1. Democrats are already playing the blame game. Josh Earnest, the president’s spokesman, told the press corps last week that the White House was not to blame for Democratic losses. But over the weekend, the New York Times reported that was precisely what Senate Democrats were preparing to do. Political campaign professionals are like squirrels in the fall: When they start packing up their nuts early, you know it’s going to be a long winter.

2. The generic ballot is tilting heavily Republican. When I worked for then-House Speaker Denny Hastert, we were thrilled if we tied the Democrats in this basic question because we knew it usually skewed slightly toward the other team. The Real Clear Politics average shows the GOP with a three-point edge.

3. Democrats have no message. They can’t attack the tea party because the tea partyers lost in the primaries. They can’t run with President Barack Obama because he is toxic to swing voters. They can’t run against the president because that will disappoint their base. They can’t run on accomplishments because they don’t have any to speak of. Their basic strategy, at least in the Senate, is to run people with famous last names, in an election year dominated, on both sides of the aisle, populists.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2014election
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I hope he's right.
1 posted on 10/29/2014 10:11:45 AM PDT by PROCON
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To: PROCON

BFL.


2 posted on 10/29/2014 10:12:43 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: PROCON

Aint gonna happen


3 posted on 10/29/2014 10:15:36 AM PDT by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both.)
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To: PROCON

The Democrats have no message...?

And the Republicans DO?

The only reason it’s not a blowout, as it should be, with the current state of the Union, is that the GOP has no verbal message.

Everyone knows they are pro amnesty, pro obamacare, pro Obama.

If the republicans do win the senate, and that is an if, then the battle will begin.

The GOP RINO wing will be racing to DC to assist the one with his agenda, which is the same as theirs.

Cornyn is already seeking an amnesty mandate


4 posted on 10/29/2014 10:23:17 AM PDT by stanne
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To: PROCON

So Democrats have no message. What exactly is the Republican’s message? According to John Cornyn who is running for re-election as a Senator in Texas it’s their plan to pass amnesty if they gain a majority. What we knew all along but now he’s advertising it.


5 posted on 10/29/2014 10:24:21 AM PDT by Grams A (The Sun will rise in the East in the morning and God is still on his throne.)
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To: PROCON
Democrats have no message.

Lack of message hasn't hurt the Republicans.

6 posted on 10/29/2014 10:25:05 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: PROCON

Is he factoring in voter fraud?


7 posted on 10/29/2014 10:25:12 AM PDT by Churchillspirit (9/11/2001 and 9/11/2012: NEVER FORGET.)
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To: PROCON

Like Roberts & SCOTUS & obamacare, Roberts & SCOTUS & homo’marriage’, Romney in 2012, POTUS & amnesty, a repube senate will not happen. Americans, suddenly, have a profound aversion to anything resembling a democracy. Too many passwords, emoticons, apps and such.


8 posted on 10/29/2014 10:26:21 AM PDT by GreensKeeperWillie (Sancte Maria, mater Dei, ora pro nobis.)
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To: PROCON

IF it happens, it will be because people are sick of the Democrat incompetence. It won’t be because of the Republican political hacks. But, guess who you’ll see the day after taking the credit?

Here’s an idea. Quit telling us how many people vote Republican. We know that every two years. Give people a reason to be excited about voting Republican.

I really don’t care if the Republicans squeak out a win this year only to get crushed in 2016. And I don’t see much long-term strategic thinking in the Republican leadership.


9 posted on 10/29/2014 10:27:23 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: PROCON

I think so.

Even with the usual fraud it has to be close enough for it to matter.


10 posted on 10/29/2014 10:28:53 AM PDT by cripplecreek (You can't half ass conservatism.)
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To: PROCON
Dream world:54-45-1

Real World: 51-47-2

11 posted on 10/29/2014 10:30:13 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (It takes a gun to feed a village.)
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To: PROCON

Bttt


12 posted on 10/29/2014 10:31:05 AM PDT by Guenevere
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To: PROCON

And five reasons they (potentially) won’t meet expectations:

1) Vote fraud - the Democrats can make close races toss-ups and toss-up races wins by getting a few extra percent in manufactured or uncaught ineligible votes.

2) Ground game - the Democrats are masters at turning out the low-information voters through a variety of means of varying legality. From offering cigarettes to busing folks around. (Ties in to #1.) Republicans are notoriously poor at turning out the “meh” voters.

3) The media will do whatever they can to sway the election in the final hours, whether actual stories they’ve been sitting on or stuff that they just simply make up out of whole cloth, there will be a steady drumbeat against any and all Republican candidates, even if the messages are contradictory.

4) The GOP is called the “stupid party” for a reason. They’ve stayed the course surprisingly well so far, but they’ve still got a week to blow it.

5) The milquetoast candidates the GOP has pushed in this cycle don’t generate a lot of enthusiasm. This is purely a “not Obama” election and a poorly-timed random event that temporarily improves public opinion of Obama could completely ruin this strategy.


13 posted on 10/29/2014 10:32:32 AM PDT by kevkrom (I'm not an unreasonable man... well, actually, I am. But hear me out anyway.)
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To: PROCON
The Pubbies don't have the cajoles to lead. They're worthless. Not one dime's worth of difference.
14 posted on 10/29/2014 10:32:43 AM PDT by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: PROCON

What state is he running in, and for what office?


15 posted on 10/29/2014 10:33:10 AM PDT by WayneS (Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.)
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To: PROCON

I’ll believe it Tuesday night. Till then, meh.


16 posted on 10/29/2014 10:40:58 AM PDT by Ray76 (We must destroy the Uniparty or be destroyed by them.)
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To: PROCON

1 Reason they won’t: FRAUD


17 posted on 10/29/2014 10:50:39 AM PDT by Old Yeller (D.A.M.N. - Deport All Muslims Now! Starting in the White House.)
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To: Grams A

>> What exactly is the Republican’s message?

“We want to be in power, so WE get to choose which special interests to favor, which areas of the peons’ lives to regulate, and what areas of government to grow.”


18 posted on 10/29/2014 10:55:53 AM PDT by Nervous Tick (There is no "allah" but satan, and mohammed is his demon)
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To: PROCON

The republicans aren’t winning anything. The democrats are loosing. Just what has the republicans offered to be for?


19 posted on 10/29/2014 10:57:13 AM PDT by Breto (Stranger in a strange land... where did America go?)
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To: kevkrom

Well then stay home.

Everyone here is so sure that the Dems are going to win everything. God only knows why you guys are even bothering to vote.

It’s like far too many people on FR are praying for a lose so they can have their wild conspiracy theories confirmed.


20 posted on 10/29/2014 10:58:42 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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