Posted on 09/24/2014 7:11:02 AM PDT by centurion316
With six weeks to go, the fight for control of the Senate is down to five states, four of them currently held by Democrats.
Republicans must win only two of those contests to guarantee the 51 seats they need to control the Senate for the last two years of Barack Obama’s presidency. And they need to win only one of the Democratic states if they hold the only GOP seat at serious risk.
While things could still change — and national polls continue to show an environment that may produce a substantial GOP wave in the House and Senate — the Senate battle has boiled down to two reliably red states and three swing states.
While you can find Democrats spinning a yarn about how their party could pull off an upset in a multi-candidate race in South Dakota, that state, plus West Virginia and Montana, look poised to flip to the GOP in November.
Two Southern Democrats, Arkansas’ Mark Pryor and Louisiana’s Mary L. Landrieu, have run aggressive races as they try to survive the Republican wave that has swept over their states during the past four years. But Arkansas Republican Rep. Tom Cotton has finally opened up a small but decisive lead in his race, a lead likely to grow in the coming weeks.
The Louisiana contest will probably go to a December runoff, and while runoffs are unpredictable, the almost certain GOP alternative to Landrieu in that race, Republican Rep. Bill Cassidy, has the advantage.
If they win both races, Republicans need to net only one more seat to win Senate control, with the focus, at least right now, on Alaska, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa and Kansas.
(Excerpt) Read more at 3.blogs.rollcall.com ...
I think that yours is a good analysis, but I would say that the Republicans probably need to pick up about 3 more if they are to retain control in 2016.
“Sitting and dithering” (Hamlet-like) pretty much sums up many of our hapless Republican nominees over many decades now.
Refresh my memory, but wasn’t FL called for algore in 2000 before GA was called for GWB?
know Florida was but am not certain of Georgia.
The odds favor pubbies...don’t bank on it, between early voting, dead voting, and all types of RAT fraudulent voting, the pubs have their hands full.
And enough conservatives will bolt 3rd party to insure Hagan the win.
The bad part of that call was that folks were still voting in the pan handle.
Is anyone factoring in that the ‘pubs could lose seats they hold, for instance Mississippi and Kansas? I’m not convined the party base is ready to vote for candidates who’ve been in battle with constitutional conservatives.
Watch out for flying tacos.
Valerie Jarrett's on the phone w/ Mexican cartels and drug lords as we type......speeding up deliveries of taco boxes full of “eight balls” of cocaine baggies delivered by latino mules..... used as bribes to get Dummycrat votes.
The cartels are rounding up latino "politiqueras" to work for desperate Democrat candidates:
<><> to encourage people to vote Democrat,
<><> to bring latino Democrats to the polls,
<><> to ensure that ignorant latinos voters select the Democrat candidate,
<><> to pay-off illiterate latino voters for voting Democrat.
Vote-crazed Dummycrats need assurances that swarms of latino campaign workers will distribute cocaine in baggies to campaign workers, and $10 bills in exchange for the "ignoramusitos" to vote Democrat.
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(Sniffle) I'm just worried sick this will take time from Dummycrats' favorite occupation---wire transferring federal tax dollars to numbered accounts offshore (sob.)
No I don’t think anyone anticipates losing seats such as Mississippi or Kansas. If that happens then we all have to rethink all of this.
Breitbart.com reports that b/c of an increasingly hostile political landscape, Democrats are resorting to whining---asking voters to believe they have suddenly "seen the light" and are now conservatives.
In districts across the country, Democrats are campaigning as "true believers' in tax cuts, balanced budgets and for rolling back big government's harmful regulations.
The Dummycrats are so desperate, thry're even bleating about guns, fracking and coal....trying to appeal to the conservative heartland.
The list of Democrats carving out more conservative positions is too lengthy to mention. In fact, breitbart.com reports, it would be noteworthy to find any Democrat in a competitive election running on the platform espoused by the DNC, Harry Reid or Nancy Pelosi.
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Opportunistic Dem candidates are marching in lockstep--- separating themselves from Dummycrat-ism when facing actual voters.
As conservatives have always observed, Dummycrat-ism is not even a coherent party....just a collection of hyphenates.....and expedient alliances of special interest groups....all expecting payback.
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This is an old Dummycrat trick---from the conniving shallow mind of Chicago-land kingpins of political crime. Obama suck-up Rahm Emanuel actually dreamed up the con.
As you may recall, the contrived Democrat wave in 2006 was fueled, in large part, by Dummycrat's beating the drum about public weariness with the Iraq War...... and Dummycrats piling on GWB.
Naturally, the complicit drive-by media failed to report that this was a con game devised by the aggressive then-Cong Rahm Emanuel to recruit moderate and conservative Democrats to run for office.
This strategy worked so well that before the GOP landslide in 2010, 54 members of the House Democrat caucus were conservative "blue dog democrats." With only 14 "blue dogs" now serving in Congress, this mythical creature has all but disappeared from the political landscape.
With contemporary support for golf-addicted Obama, and his policies, nearing record lows, Democrats in Congress are again trying to pull off this trick.
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WRAP-UP: Stupid Dummycrats can run wearing Reagan masks, for all that matters----the prog/nitwit in the WH keeps reminding voters about the Dummycrat-fashioned disaster that has befallen our beloved country.
The Chicago criminals will do a-n-y-t-h-i-n-g to prevent exposing Obama's *** to Republicans.
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PJ MEDIA: Time to Mobilize the RICO Statutes
and Break Up the Democrats' criminal organization
March 27, 2014 | Michael Walsh / FR Posted by gasport
......stop thinking of the Democratic Party as merely a political party, because it’s much more than that. We’re not just the party of slavery, segregation, secularism, and sedition. Not just the party of Aaron Burr, Boss Tweed, Richard J. Croker, Bull Connor, Chris Dodd, Richard Daley, Bill Ayers, the Reverend Jeremiah Wright, and Emperor Barack Hussein Obama II.
Not just the party of Kendall “Agent 202” Myers, the State Department official recruited as a Cuban spy along with his wife during the Carter administration.
Rather, think of the Democratic Party as what it really is: a criminal organization masquerading as a political party. (Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...
HIGH ALERT---Conservatives better have a Plan B---a nationwide upheaval if Obama steals this election. That evil look on 2012 Obama's face when he came out to accept the nod was unnerving.
Conversely, it was pathetic to watch Mitt Romney "concede"---nary a word did Mitt utter about the Democrat vote-fraud meat grinder we were put through.
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However, Dummycrats are poised to "steal" another election - safe from investigations and oversight by Holder, the Obama suck-up at DOJ. Saving Obama's *** is the name of the game. The WH ding-a-ling will do anything to avoid facing a Republican-controlled Congress.
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AS ONE EXAMPLE Obamacare's healthcare.gov is a HUGE voter fraud machine-------plugging unsuspecting enrollees into Democrat voter rolls.
REALITY CHECK Local couple upset after receiving pre-marked voter registration card from "Covered California" (Cali O/Care)
10news | 03-29-2014 | Preston Phillips / FR Posted by Kevin in California
A local couple called 10News concerned after they received an envelope from the state's Obamacare website, "Covered California." Inside was a letter discussing voter registration and a registration card pre-marked with an "x" in the box next to Democratic Party.
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Turns out Obamacare is also a vehicle for consolidating Dummycrat power.....w/ a multi-billion dollar slush fund.
The Untraceable $8 Billion ObamaCare PR Budget---truly govt fraud at its finest. Egged on by Pelosi, no one in Congress told Americans about Section 4002---which mandates an $8B untraceable fund to "promote" Obamacare (Dummycrat govt fraud unlimited).
In 2010 Taxpayers are extorted $500 million, in 2011, $750 million, 2012, $1 billion, 2013, $1.25 billion, 2014, $1.5 billion and in 2015 and on, $2 billion........
Voter fraud mechanics....the reasons for all those O/Care delays, fixits, exemptions, waivers, extensions, etc........
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Not to mention the hordes swarming at the border---a smokescreen for massive votino fraud.
re: Mississippi. The base voted for McDaniel, not Cochran. After the way the base was insulted, why would they vote for Cochran? It was open warfare against conservatives, and if the powerbrokers don’t figure it out and get that rigged system to give the nomination to McDaniel, why would conservatives want the backstabbers to be a majority of anything?
It’s been quite a while since there have been any upsets to speak of in U.S. Senate race. People can always be counted on to do the predictable.
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