Actually, I think Silver is VERY good. Back in 2008 he absolutely nailed the Democrat primaries and I believe he was very strong on the 2008 and 2012 general elections.
His politics lean left, but he seems to always follow the math when it comes to projections.
His politics lean left, but he seems to always follow the math when it comes to projections.
I don't disregard him anymore. Maybe he did have knowledge of the failure of Romney's ORCA; maybe he factors in vote fraud. He nailed 2012 when others like Rasmussen and Michael Barone didn't.
He nailed it because he knew where the cheating would happen. The man is no guru.
Yes he is very good. It’s short sighted to dismiss his analytics. They are solid.