2100 is a LONG way off.
their estimation may well be as far off.
Subtract one. I’m not hanging around.
The way things are going I think there’s a equal chance it may only be 2 billion by then.
Glad I won’t be here to see it.
Yes it can support 4 billion. What proof do you have that it can’t?
Yes it can support 4 billion. What proof do you have that it can’t?
Won’t happen. A Third World War will take place way before we get to 11 billion. Throw in natural disasters (meteorite, earthquakes, hurricanes, famine, disease, etc.) and legal genocide like universal abortion, euthanasia, etc.
In one hundred years we most likely will have a much less population.
There is considerable evidence that world economic systems are collapsing. When this happens, and with no strong peacekeeper on the scene, the world should plunge into a period of war and destruction (if history is any guide).
Population size is largely limited by the level of industrial complexity that a society has achieved (i.e. New York or Tokyo support far greater population density that the hunter-gatherer societies which once roamed the same land).
So my guess is that any world overpopulation problem is self correcting.
Modern society is to blame. Keeping opportunistic disease at bay, in the end, is not possible. Species require culling in order to preserve the strongest genetic material. Modern medicine has permitted inferior genetics to triumph in conditions that wold have otherwise long ago taken many of us. This will not last forever.
I’ll be long gone... It’s immaterial to me.
The superintelligent AI will kill us all.
Sure enough:
"More people on Earth will likely exacerbate problems such as climate change
If only climate was as easy to predict as liberal UN-sponsored scientists.
Population Bomb scare mongering all over again. Remember the First Earth Day? Ebola, AIDS, Malaria, West Nile, are only the first of several things that may well change this projection. We haven’t even considered, civil war, genocide, and starvation.
Having to Manufacture things to worry about should have ended when they elected Obozo in 2007.
Not my problem
Current population of
Africa 1.111 billion
China 1.357 billion
India 1.252 billion
total 3.72 billion
Compare that with the USA which is only 313.9 million - less than 1/10 that.
If you look at world fertility rates they have been coming down over the past 100 years due to the increased financial prosperity of the average human being as well as social movements like Women’s Lib and the technological achievements that helped to accelerate that climb to prosperity.
But look at the population growth rates over time.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
The world population has experienced continuous growth since the end of the Great Famine and the Black Death in 1350, when it was near 370 million.[7] The highest growth rates – global population increases above 1.8% per year – occurred briefly during the 1950s, and for longer during the 1960s and 1970s. The global growth rate peaked at 2.2% in 1963, and has declined to below 1.1% as of 2012.
Milestones by the billions
It is estimated that the world population reached one billion for the first time in 1804. It was another 123 years before it reached two billion in 1927, but it took only 33 years to reach three billion in 1960.[67] Thereafter, the global population reached four billion in 1974, five billion in 1987, six billion in 1999 and, according to the United States Census Bureau, seven billion in March 2012.[66] The United Nations, however, estimated that the world population reached seven billion in October 2011.
1 billion 1804
2 billion 1804-1927/ 123 years
3 billion 1927-1959/ 32 years
4 billion 1959-1974/ 15 years
5 billion 1974-1987/ 13 years
6 billion 1987-1999/ 12 years
7 billion 1999-2012/ 13 years
It took longer to go from six to seven billion than it did from five to six. This makes sense if you take into consideration the declining growth rate. As long as people continue to live longer and have less children we will see it continue to take longer than 2100 reach 11 billion.
These fools always do straight line projections, which *never* come to pass.
And they make these projections *knowing* that they are hooey, because they are laying the groundwork for fully funded international birth control by abortion, Chinese style.
“But we *have* to do this, or we’ll all diiiiieeee!”
The last big refrain of this was from the Science fraud Paul R. Ehrlich in the 1970s with his “Population Bomb” scare book. He made dozens of predictions, and not a single dang one of them came to pass. And he didn’t care, because he was so arrogant about his righteousness.
It is the flip side of Man Made Global Warming. Which can be said because the solutions proposed by the population bombers and the MMGW crowd are identical.
A pox on both their houses.
If everyone was liberal, single, or gay, this wouldn’t be an issue.
That’s what I get out of this article.