[Raebie]

These numbers are staggering.

[Raebie]

Ping

[ClearCase_guy]

Help me out -- how is a disease brought under control?

I see two ways:

1) A vaccine or cure or something is developed and distributed to a population and the spread of the disease is stopped.

Problem: Can we really predict when the Ebola problem will be "solved" in the lab?

2) The disease runs its course and burns through a population until there are no more victims without immunity.

Problem: Ebola is fatal in about 60% of the cases, and Africa is a big continent, and spreadign worldwide seems inevitable.

12 to 18 months? That's a wild ass guess, right?

[Nip]

I truly love reading an article that contains serious internal contradictions.

One health organization down plays another’s predictions by saying the further into the future you go with Ebola predictions the more uncertain the numbers become. Yet that same organization claims their numbers don’t suffer the same uncertainty.

RIGHT!

BL - no one has a real handle on where this outbreak is going. Anyone who says otherwise should be made to post a personal bond that is forfeited if he is proven wrong.

My personal nightmare is the 2014 Ebola pandemic is the 1918-1920 Spanish Flu pandemic written large. Civilized society will break down and the only thing left will be radical Islamic societies. A very unpleasant nightmare!

[Smokin' Joe]

Ping...

A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread

[tiki]

There was an article yesterday about a guy turning people away from a hospital. He even said that one died at the gates and I wondered if those who die at home are even counted right now.

[tet68]

Remember too, these are probably best case scenarios.
I just don’t have much faith in their ability to
control this. Of course what do I know, but it
could solve the world population problem for the
new world order. I would not think Islam would
come out too well from such.

[HandyDandy]

An ounce of precaution is worth a measure of cure.

[maine-iac7]

Have you SEEN the videos of what passes as a huge containment ‘hospital’ compound???

I could set that up in my yard with a few sheets and rolls of plastic snow fence.

This threatens the world - and that’s the best they can do?

Where’s the UN?

Where’s the world?

They transport dead bodies and new income in the same delapid old vehicles - even using TAXIS to transport the sick!!!! Are they deliberately trying to spread it?

[null and void]

Eeeee-bolllll-aaaaaa ping!

Bring Out Your Dead

We’re gonna need

a bigger cart!

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

[trebb]

These numbers are staggering.

Yes - the prediction and the numbers give me the sense that they can't plug the hole in the dam at this time, so they'll get a better handle on it once the dam fails entirely. Doesn't give one a sense of confidence.