Posted on 09/10/2014 12:58:27 PM PDT by cotton1706
A new poll of the U.S. Senate race in New Jersey reveals an astonishing trend: Cory Booker, the state's Democratic senator running for a full term this fall, frequently polls below 50 percent support against his Republican challenger, Jeff Bell. The latest survey from Fairleigh Dickinson University shows 42 percent of registered voters say they support Booker, while 29 percent say they support Bell. Twenty-seven percent, meanwhile, say they haven't made up their minds yet.
That's a 13-point advantage for Booker, to be sure, but it's not exactly a ringing endorsement for the former Newark mayor, who won a special election for the open seat last year. The New Jersey seat is a likely Democratic hold, but the FDU poll is one of several polls taken over the past few months to show Booker below 50 percent. In fact, just two polls, both from the New York Times and CBS News, have Booker breaking that threshold, with the most recent of those giving 52 percent to Bell's 37 percent. One poll last month even had Booker leading by a mere 10 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
The conventional wisdom has always been that incumbents who polls at less than 50% after Labor Day are in real trouble. Undecideds almost never break for the incumbent, so they essentially have all the votes that they are going to get. The challenger can fall short, but those votes are theirs for the having.
When incumbents who poll below 50% do win, it’s because an unforseen event swung the electorate, or someone managed an heroic get out the vote effort. The latter can always occur, the former is very unlikely for Democrats this year.
If someone as conservative as Bell is competitive in New Jersey, it would indicate a “wave” election this November.
This calls for the standard election fraud.
Chickie Schumer and Harry Reid just had a pea brain quiver moment.
A retirement never look so good.
Chickie Schumer and Harry Reid just had a pea brain quiver moment.
A retirement never look so good.
What a wreck of a state. I’m waiting until I can to get out of this hellhole and into a decent state - if there are any left. At least, NYC offers so much bang for the buck. This 3rd rate state offers NOTHING.
I grew up in New Jersey, but left in 1971 when I went into the Army. I’ve only been back a few times to visit over the decades. Believe it or not, it was once a good state to live in, but this was back in the Fifties.
The state was decent for many years after that - no tax on clothes, as I remember. My mother demanded I come home to NJ to buy my little togs. My parents would never have moved there in 1960 if it had been what it is today. They’d have stayed in NYC where their hearts were.
I HATE NEW JERSEY. Always have, always will.
They say that Bell is a real conservative, hope he pulls it out.
What’s really exciting is that Bell is a Reagan-era politician who essentially came out of retirement to run against Booger.
His ads are definitely pushing the Reagan connection, so maybe people are getting hungry for that again.
I’ve also noticed that the local media have been virtually silent about Booker since the moment his term began. They seem to be avoiding something, since they’re not falling all over him the way they used to.
Booker like Landrieu does not live in NJ - he has a sham address in Newaek. An empty apartment uses as “official address”
Live in luxury building in NYC.......
But Booker is of the of the favorite group!
He will require mass quantities of affirmative action $$$ !
His personal organization may set a few dollars aside in a rainy day fund.
Once they have seen the lights of Paris; how are you going to get him back to NJ?
“But Booker is of the of the favorite group!”
Two favorite groups. (cough-cough)
My thinking was to leave it ambiguous; as there are many rumors...
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.