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Polling avalanche: GOP leads in eight races for Democrat-held Senate seats
On what grounds did the secretary of state determine to leave him on the ballot?
Damned Republicans, following the law! How long before this is termed 'voter suppression'?
This time it is the Senate that we are after. Fingers crossed. Watch the honest polls.
In 2010 ElectionProjection.com was the best predictor of the outcome in the House of Representatives. I will be watching their Senate Predictions this time. The current EP prediction: A GOP pickup of 6. That's enough to get rid of Harry Reid as Majority Leader.
hopefully it will be a veto proof Senate to stop, or at least slow down this slide into socialism/communism.
Most polling organizations switch from Registered Voters to Likely Voters after Labor Day. This is the first round of results that reflect that switch. As expected, the (R)’s generally get a bump of several points. Good news, but it would have been a surprise had that not occurred.
The polls themselves are somewhat suspect. More and more people don’t have landlines or screen their calls. Traditional polling methods are less effective and the workarounds are unproven. None of these polling results reflect midterm turnout, even with the likely voter screen. Right now, people in the (R) camp are much more likely than the (D) camp to show up in November and I doubt that this shows in the polls at the moment.
Despite the doom and gloomers, this is going to be a good election cycle for conservatives. More conservatives will be elected at every level and they will exert their influence on the old bulls. The next Congress will behave very differently than did this one, especially if Harry Reid is not Majority Leader.
Cotton counters by running an ad with his mother.
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Pryor's/Dems’ ads against Cotton are filled with half-truths and innuendos.
Both sides have run ads accusing the other of wanting to increase the SS/Medicare age.
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Depending on the poll, the race is tight. One week Pryor seems to be a few points ahead. Next week, Cotton seems to have gained a few points and is ahead.
Warner (D-VA) has been pounding Gillespie with negative ads in the past few weeks. FINALLY Gillespie is responding with good ads that tie Obama around Warner’s neck but also has a positive message of job growth and lower taxes.
Warner is probably still going to prevail, but it’s good to see Gillespie fighting back.
CBS’ poll showed an 18-point swing toward Sullivan. Begich might live to regret that “Willie Horton”-style ad.
Time is running short ... anyone know of any movement on this front?